quigley

To buttress this point, here are the run/pass splits on the long drives OU's given up this year. Total plays (run plays), % runs vs Tulane - 10 (4) and 11 (3), 33% vs Neb - 9 (5), 12 (7), 14 (7), 54% vs WV - 11 (5), 17 (7), 43% vs KST - 10 (3), 11 (6), 12 (4), 19 (7), 38% On ball control drives vs OU's defense, teams pass more than they run. Nebraska was ~ 50% on their long drives. So far this year, OU loves it when teams try to run at them. UT's got the best back OU's going to see pre-bowl game. We'll learn if the Horn OL can block for him.

If OU can't stop the run, you're right, UT will score a lot and it may be game over. But running the ball efficiently vs. OU hasn't worked so far, the stats and eyeballs agree. OU has been vulnerable to short passing success. T eams have a 67% completion percentage and passing rating of 145 vs OU this year. Passing game efficiency is the reason OU's giving up L O N G D R I V E S: vs Tulane - 10 and 11 plays vs Neb - 9, 12, 14 vs WV - 11, 17 vs KST - 10, 11, 12, 19

Do they list UT as home or is it neutral? I can't tell from what I see on the site.

I read this as you thanking OU for your marriage.

One of my cousins is their C-suite. Way to live up the the stereotype!

Of course you're right about Rattler being lazy with his mechanics and giving away turnovers, but there are so many story lines this game. It may be boring to say, but I think the OL's will decide it. OU's OL has been screwing up in new and interesting ways each game this year. If they put a good game together against what statistically appears to be a weak UT run defense, that may be enough to win it for OU. When OU can run the ball, that offense is tough. On the opposite side, this will be the best passing game OU's faced. If the UT OL can keep Thompson clean, OU's back 7 probably won't hold up, especially without Turner-Yell and Washington. The national media will focus on the new coach at UT and a new QB, a new QB who grew up an OU fan and who would be at OU if they'd have allowed him to be.

I didn't neg you because of the Sooner hate. I negged you for the peloton. Anyone who brags about paying 3K to sit on a hamster wheel should be derided at every opportunity.

Some thoughts on the game from an OU perspective. - The UT and OU defenses seem comparable on paper. The Sooners run defense has improved. They held Deuce Vaughn to 3.4 y/c and 40% success rate. Leddie Brown went for 3.7 and 27%. Bijan is better than both, but we'll see if OU's DL can dominate like Arkansas's did. From a positive perspective, OU isn't getting burned deep this year. However, OU's giving up 65% completion percentage, and much of it due to poor zone coverage by LB. OU missed their best safety (Turner-Yell) and a starting CB (Washington) versus KState. Washington is likely still out. Turner-Yell's availability will be key because OU replaces him with a guy who runs a 4.9 (Broiles). Washington's replaced by Davis, and he's okay but short so we'll see if UT can exploit that. The DBs haven't converted interception chances well this year either, including failing to convert any of their 3 chance vs KState. OU's defensive 3rd down success rate is 38%, 40th among 65 P5 schools, mostly because of successful short passes on 3rd down where the LBs aren't communicating well. In addition, teams are going for 4th down an average of 4 times a game vs OU (no W.Car), tied with Cincinnati for most in the country, and they've convert 11/16. This explains why OU's defense has had to face these really long drives this year. Different from the Stoops era, OU rotates a lot of players at all levels so the 2nd half swoon the defense has seen in the past hasn't been present in the first 5 games. - I think this is the first time UT will have the better offense in the Riley era (2015-present, seven games). The OL has been spotty and flag-prone, and this is the biggest problem for the Sooners. The RBs have contributed to the problems in pass protection by blowing blitz pick up so OU's using a FB in the backfield on passing downs. OU's missing the deep pass this year is due to OL issues decreasing the number of attempts, Rattler failing to see open receivers, and poor accuracy from Rattler. Rattler's arm velocity and accuracy have still been elite on short/intermediate throws. He's reacted poorly to pressure and has thrown off his back foot too much. The RB room has 2 scholarship players, neither very big. Both are above average, but UT's got the best RB on the field this year again. For short yardage, expect Caleb Williams to come it, and FB Hall to get some carries. The WR's are okay. One thing that hasn't been mentioned much is that the WR blocking has gotten worse over the last couple of years, limiting the bubble game and big plays off drags and other short completions. I think Willis has been underused. - OU's favored, but only by 2.5 to -4.5, and the Sooners have lost to Texas as bigger favorites several times recently. These projections still factor in preseason expectations going into week six. OU's underperformance, especially on offense, will start really showing up in the numbers in the next couple of weeks. As usual, this early October game sets the trajectory for both programs.

It worked out great for OU recently also. Trejan Bridges and Seth McGowan were good for about 300 total yards from scrimmage over three scholarship years each. They were bad at football and even worse at crime. Great return on investment there.

Hopefully, this class will be different, but OU's history of signing early commits is pretty poor. Some notable early commits who ended up elsewhere: 2018 Cam Rising (starting at Utah) 2019 Isaiah Spiller (starring at A&M) 2020 Drew Sanders (starting LB at Bama) and Jase McClellan (2nd in carries at Bama) 2021 Brock Vandagriff (Georgia) 2022 Luther Burden (tbd) All were recruited to the offense, just like the 7 current commits in the 2023 (Sanders was recruited as a TE).

Wondering this also. Did he go to camps and perform poorly or get into trouble off the field?

There are like 400 of them, so what's another.

This doesn't hurt at all. Not one bit.

I hope this is right. There are reports he isn't practicing and no injury has been uncovered.

Wanya Morris is apparently also in jeopardy. Hopefully, no news is good news.

Inniss reclassifying would somewhat explain the seeming lack of urgency in WR recruiting for 2022. Three of the top five projected WR for 2021 (Woods, Wease, Haselwood) could leave after the season, so numbers for the WR room would seem to be needed.

Seems like you took that personally. Sorry to have offended you. This is the 2022 thread.

Does he project to reclassify to 2022? It would be great if he does, but otherwise, wrong thread.

Fits the pattern, right? Big time QBs in 19, 21, and 23 all associated with good WR recruiting. No significant QB recruit in 18, 20, 22 so weak WR recruiting. Doesn't make sense to me.

The boom-bust cycle in OU WR receiver recruiting continues. In years that OU doesn't bring in a top QB (even number years), WR recruiting drops too. Doesn't really make sense. Messes up the depth chart and costs scholarships at other positions too.

He's not being counted on in Norman. Hope he gets a degree.

Global warming has made it much better.

OU's obviously displeased with the punting. They took another transfer punter this cycle, coincidentally (?) from ASU Josh Plaster. OU starts the season AT Tulane, which has just instituted a requirement for proof of vaccine or negative Covid test to attend the game. Fifty percent of Oklahomans are vaccinated (only 54% of Texans are), and OU message boards are fired up about this. It would be so ironic for OU's season to be derailed by trying to gain a marginal advantage from better punting. It is so hard to root for college sports teams.

OU plays with 2 TE/HB frequently. The 3 TE they have committed (2 in 2022 and 1 in 2023) will likely be the ONLY ones on the roster in 2023. That isn't enough unless you're counting on a walk-on or portal player.

KD just hit 50% on contested 3s in the NBA playoffs. The international line is 20 inches shorter. As long as he can shoot, he can play.