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quigley

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Everything posted by quigley

  1. Fuck that. He should get dysentery like the rest of us. I've already started probiotics.
  2. This isn't going to be Red Dawn. The Proud Boys and associated fucks fled DC after J6 last time. Trump didn't bail them out. They know that they don't have the big guns, the military does. And Biden controls the military. Last time, DC did NOTHING to prepare for this shit even though it was obvious shit was going go down. We had an office 6 blocks from the WH. We'd never before or since closed for non-holiday/weather reasons. We closed J6 because we knew there would be trouble and that DC was unprepared. DC is already prepping for this shit this time. If the fucks want shit, they're going to get it in the face. Think 49-0.
  3. I'm in if we use the proceeds to start a PAC (1.9m- 6m). I could do 25k. https://www.franchisedirect.com/restaurantfranchises/chilis-franchise-12683/ufoc/
  4. Drink enough margaritas and you won't need the prep.
  5. Tambien. Haven't been to Chili's since...decades?!?! But, pour la démocratie!!!
  6. I agree with BOTH of you regarding bigger operations. In the initial discussions, I stipulated I was talking about small farmers.
  7. The "fake news" has carried so much water for him over the last 9 years.
  8. You're suggesting that anyone that posts here date women? Are you a traitor to your gender?
  9. Yeah, we're skeptical that she's got the special sauce allows her to know what people are thinking. But it may be that the "balanced" prior voting strategies that many other high profile pollsters are employing don't capture changing attitudes of voters (reframing abortion as "reproductive health" has moved older white women apparently). That said, even if she's off A LOT and Trump takes Iowa by 2, it's a great predictor of Dem success other places and in the Senate and House.
  10. Well, if they're hot, i'd probably listen (am i doing this right?)
  11. All I care about is judges for the first two years of the (potential) Harris term. Judicial votes (non-SCOTUS) don't get a lot of press. Hopefully he votes with the Dems on those. 2026 Senate map is a little better so Dems hopefully won't need him.
  12. Yeah, so that's the one obvious problem with Selzer's strategy. We don't know here response rate and whether we can trust it is reflective of the voting population of Iowa. So farmers are attune to the weather so I doubt there's one who's a flat-earther. Also, your rhetorical flourishes are diminish when you verge to edge cases. Farmers comprise a significant voting population in Iowa. The point was me trying to explain why farmers may have switched to Trump to Harris. I was giving people who I've known my whole life the opportunity be on the right side of history because of self-interest and in spite of their abhorrent views (and behavior). With county level data after the election, we may see that I'm wrong or right, don't know. I'm sorry to learn about your father-in-law. Mine is in the same situation.
  13. I have to laugh at this. Isn't the whole conceit of this board that we're smart but come on here and learn that our world view as lacunae. Would we deny other people the same grace? What does your father-in-law thing about the tariff-bailout cycle? Does he like it?
  14. Agree. I grew up in Oklahoma, not Iowa and don't know one person who lives there. Most farmers I know have second jobs. And the wife works off the farm too. The farm provides a lot of tax benefits too. And the 4-wheelers and boats are off the public dole. The racism is baked in just like farming is part of their identity. I'm positing why there may be a shift.
  15. We agree Did she talk about her methods and how they may differ from other pollsters?
  16. Yes they are. There are several published reports of this in many states. I don't know if I've seen this directly for Texas.
  17. This is the REALLY big picture point of the Selzer poll. Watch NE Senate seat.
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