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Texas Football 2025 - Careening Towards the Abyss
Darth Tron replied to closetojumping's topic in Football
He’s too mean. Stroh brings cookies and koolaid to practice, and says “yes sir.” Neto picks fights with his teammates and is a loose cannon. Can’t have anybody that aggressive on the offensive line. -
Arch Manning: Doing his best JAG impression to fool scouts
Darth Tron replied to LTtxfan's topic in Football
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Texas Football 2025 - Careening Towards the Abyss
Darth Tron replied to closetojumping's topic in Football
I should have clarified that I don’t have a problem with it. They SHOULD be able to move fucking UTEP off the line. I get where Sark was coming from. And that was the game to have that mindset in, anyway. We weren’t going to lose, even with our O line playing like wusses and Arch playing like my 8 yr old on NCAA. Might as well run it over and over again until they get it right. -
Texas Football 2025 - Careening Towards the Abyss
Darth Tron replied to closetojumping's topic in Football
As I watched Sark call running play after running play into the teeth of the vaunted UTEP defensive line, I got real “If you children don’t start behaving in the back seat, I’m driving this car into the ditch” vibes. -
Friendly reminder not to listen to me.
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I'm hammering that spread. NC State should win by 3 touchdowns.
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Can we talk about Alabama and Michigan and objectivity?
Darth Tron replied to BluTechsan's topic in Football
You definitely touch on the heart of the issue here. Summative vs Predictive, essentially. You are correct that FSU/Bama was settled on the field. FSU earned it. Going forward, it will be interesting to see if they maintain that trajectory. That's where the predictive part comes in. Based on metrics like points per play, yards per play, turnover margin, and others, depending on the weighting, you can get a feel for how things would go in the future. Like I said, it would be interesting to see what would happen if Bama/FSU played again. Did FSU perform above their pay grade that day? Did Bama wake up hungover and underperform? Doesn't matter for now, FSU won fairly. But down the road would the result be the same? That's the fascinating thing about trying to predict the future with math, two weeks into a long season. Hopefully our Horns finish higher than 12th! Addendum: Regarding scratching preseason after week 1, then you get things like Texas Tech winning by 60 points against Arkansas-Pine Bluff week 1. You have to factor in something to mitigate that, and it might as well be some sort of ancestral memory from how those teams did the previous season, at least until we have more data. -
Can we talk about Alabama and Michigan and objectivity?
Darth Tron replied to BluTechsan's topic in Football
Yeah, it gets more predictive as the season goes on. Since some of the data is stuff like "expected points per play" and things of that nature, single game occurrences may not turn out like "expected". I do wonder how Alabama v FSU would go if they played again. -
Can we talk about Alabama and Michigan and objectivity?
Darth Tron replied to BluTechsan's topic in Football
I use this site: https://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/ranking/schedule-strength-by-other Their methodology uses some previous season's stuff for SoS, now that I look into it, but the rest of the data comes from this season only. Good catch. -
44-3 Texas 325 APY from WR position
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Can we talk about Alabama and Michigan and objectivity?
Darth Tron replied to BluTechsan's topic in Football
Germane to the conversation: I maintain a spreadsheet tracking all current 136 FBS teams throughout the season, updating with raw stats every Monday using a proprietary formula to determine a "Power Rating" metric. This metric uses only data from this year, and heavily factors in strength of schedule throughout the various categories. This is the current output of the Top 25. Obviously it's two games in and we'd be surprised if Nebraska ends the season at #4, but as a thought exercise it's interesting to see what things look like when you remove all bias from the previous season. This metric correctly predicted literally every game of last year's playoff, for what it's worth. -
Texas Football 2025 - Careening Towards the Abyss
Darth Tron replied to closetojumping's topic in Football
Depends on how fast he was going. -
Texas - 42 SJSU - 3 Rushing - 243
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Texas Recruiting Notes 2026: Boulevard of Broken Bagmen
Darth Tron replied to texifornia's topic in 🤫$9.95🤫
Sweet. Debating the merits of Quanell X was the final missing square on my “Offseason Hell” bingo card. Now I’m set! -
Quinn "La Joya" Ewers - The Man The Myth The Mullet
Darth Tron replied to Coach pop a bitch's topic in Football
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