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Darth Tron

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Darth Tron

  1. In fairness, he once scored 70 points in a game with Casey Thompson at QB. Think of what he could do if we got him a Manning.
  2. Brent Venables thinks our state capital was named after Stone Cold Steve Austin.
  3. OU sucks. We're a wounded animal. Texas is going to kick their Sooner ass up and down the field this Saturday, and I am going to make carnitas.
  4. I promise that I try my best not to be reactionary after games like this. It's understood that inevitably as a fan we will face frustration and angst, especially as we move towards the top of the pile where teams are more evenly matched on the athletic front. However, as I watched our team go out on the field and look like an overmatched, clumsy, weak, dumb, pile of steaming shit on both sides of the ball today, it was really disappointing. We looked like Mack Brown Texas Football against Big Game Bob circa 2000-2004. They were more physical than us, they were more intentional than us, they were better coached than us, they were superior to us in every way. Their running backs were balls of muscle that took multiple hits and guys to bring down. Their linemen on both sides rag-dolled our "large humans" with regularity. Their team came to play. Perhaps the most disheartening thing was watching us trot out the exact same offensive scheme in the second half that didn't work in the first. We changed out some players, sure, but our coaches didn't seem to know how to change their plans to accommodate what they were seeing with their own eyes. We started the second half with a drive that was indistinguishable from the drives in the first half. I'm not talking about playcalling. I'm talking about philosophy. Same formations, same play designs, just different players and the hope that "this time, it'll work." Even Napier's brain farts and Arch actually looking like a QB couldn't bring us back from the brink. We flat out sucked today. I hope there is some major soul-searching on Sark's part, because whatever people like Flood and Banks are selling him isn't working. We gave up a blocked punt for a safety. We punted from inside field goal range twice (what's up with that? Did Sideshow Bert scar us or something? Or is our kicker injured?). Our offensive line has been unable to move people for years now. Yes we've run the ball successfully, but when was the last time we were able to move the defensive line in a critical moment when they knew we were coming? Alabama in 2023? This team is at a crossroads and every single individual from Sark down to the walk-ons needs to decide how they are going to approach their craft going forward, because otherwise this is going to be a long, long season.
  5. Mine likes Bama by 9, but my spread mechanism is still being calibrated. Spreads are a crapshoot.
  6. 45-24 Texas. Texas offense uncorks, defense plays fine, Jeff Banks gives up a special teams buttfart, and the Gators score in garbage time to make it closer than it was.
  7. Is there any sort of entry fee, tickets to prepurchase, or do we just show up yelling "Muledick"?
  8. Right now Lockett ain't playin with nobody.
  9. I can post the generated top 25, sure. Early on it spits out weird results, small sample size and all that. I don’t think we’d pick BYU over everybody but Oregon, for instance. But their defense has smothered their opponents so bad that strength of schedule can’t kill them off no matter how much I weight it. So I live with the beginning of season wonkiness. Here is this week’s updated “Top 25”.
  10. He’s too mean. Stroh brings cookies and koolaid to practice, and says “yes sir.” Neto picks fights with his teammates and is a loose cannon. Can’t have anybody that aggressive on the offensive line.
  11. Has Arch tried this?
  12. I should have clarified that I don’t have a problem with it. They SHOULD be able to move fucking UTEP off the line. I get where Sark was coming from. And that was the game to have that mindset in, anyway. We weren’t going to lose, even with our O line playing like wusses and Arch playing like my 8 yr old on NCAA. Might as well run it over and over again until they get it right.
  13. As I watched Sark call running play after running play into the teeth of the vaunted UTEP defensive line, I got real “If you children don’t start behaving in the back seat, I’m driving this car into the ditch” vibes.
  14. Friendly reminder not to listen to me.
  15. I'm hammering that spread. NC State should win by 3 touchdowns.
  16. You definitely touch on the heart of the issue here. Summative vs Predictive, essentially. You are correct that FSU/Bama was settled on the field. FSU earned it. Going forward, it will be interesting to see if they maintain that trajectory. That's where the predictive part comes in. Based on metrics like points per play, yards per play, turnover margin, and others, depending on the weighting, you can get a feel for how things would go in the future. Like I said, it would be interesting to see what would happen if Bama/FSU played again. Did FSU perform above their pay grade that day? Did Bama wake up hungover and underperform? Doesn't matter for now, FSU won fairly. But down the road would the result be the same? That's the fascinating thing about trying to predict the future with math, two weeks into a long season. Hopefully our Horns finish higher than 12th! Addendum: Regarding scratching preseason after week 1, then you get things like Texas Tech winning by 60 points against Arkansas-Pine Bluff week 1. You have to factor in something to mitigate that, and it might as well be some sort of ancestral memory from how those teams did the previous season, at least until we have more data.
  17. Yeah, it gets more predictive as the season goes on. Since some of the data is stuff like "expected points per play" and things of that nature, single game occurrences may not turn out like "expected". I do wonder how Alabama v FSU would go if they played again.
  18. I use this site: https://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/ranking/schedule-strength-by-other Their methodology uses some previous season's stuff for SoS, now that I look into it, but the rest of the data comes from this season only. Good catch.
  19. 44-3 Texas 325 APY from WR position
  20. Germane to the conversation: I maintain a spreadsheet tracking all current 136 FBS teams throughout the season, updating with raw stats every Monday using a proprietary formula to determine a "Power Rating" metric. This metric uses only data from this year, and heavily factors in strength of schedule throughout the various categories. This is the current output of the Top 25. Obviously it's two games in and we'd be surprised if Nebraska ends the season at #4, but as a thought exercise it's interesting to see what things look like when you remove all bias from the previous season. This metric correctly predicted literally every game of last year's playoff, for what it's worth.
  21. Depends on how fast he was going.
  22. Texas - 42 SJSU - 3 Rushing - 243
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