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Wulaw Horn

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by Wulaw Horn

  1. Yep. Also they will count every shift you pick up as a separate job probably…
  2. Not sure if this is our best game if the year but it’s by far the best I’ve seen us look. LSU must suck. I think we are going 9-9 and getting a 7 or 8 seed btw- after the last 3 or 4 games that’s been my feel.
  3. Depends on when we are talking about them. I don’t think Roseanne would have ever been a would for me. Rosie O at one point could have gotten it.
  4. They overstated by double and that’s after they revised downward 2X. Its absurd. I have no idea why you persist in talking about my post about the mbs market since inauguration. As should have been obvious when I started the sentence with incredibly small sample size and then further obvious when I had a follow up post saying I wasn’t making any definitive statement other than Mr marching band isn’t even a half wit and should probably let the grown ups talk, it’s odd that you are making substantive long cat posts responding back to me mocking Mr matching band- after Phil also slightly more delicately told him he was a window licking moron with his post as well.
  5. Yeah- I wasn’t spiking any football dude. “Incredibly small sample size” was literally the lead in my sentence. The main point was it was irrelevant. The other point was it was incredibly fucking dumb and he doesn’t even know that mbs up means rate down, nor did he understand that the post he quoted was literally talking about what rates did last year and how last years job numbers being wrong- which I have been posting about on here for 24 months, while mocked by many, only to be proven over and over and over again conclusively to be right- made rates too high for months now. inflation might spike again. I don’t think it will. Someone will be right and someone will be wrong as it is anytime you are lining up bets about a future event, but that’s entirely different than what that was.
  6. If that accurate fuck him. I’m not going to boo him or anything but that’s pretty bitch made and shows he doesn’t really want to be here. Which cool- he didn’t choose to come here in the first place so can’t blame him in that regard, but whatever.
  7. Yep. Also- mbs market is up since inauguration which means rates are down. Incredibly small sample size but uh, yeah not only was that response totally and completely irrelevant to what was being talked about but it was also factually wrong, so… yeah!
  8. I meant the lack of walks. But yeah, he's basically hitting in front of guys that they fear more than him (that's some of the reason) so he's not going to walk as they go right after him.
  9. Thank you for everyone here who let me help them last year. I truly appreciate it.
  10. If you did that at the rate the private sector data shows, which would be much better, inflation would be at 2.2% Which would be up from the 1.5-1.7 it would have been at for the last 6-9 months. I HATE this. So irritating. Add in the bullshit job numbers and we are punching ourselves in the dick repeatedly and making life much harder for everyone (credit cards, cars, homes) for NO FUCKING REASON. Grrrrrrrr.
  11. THe one thing that's comforting is that his K's didn't jump so his bat to ball is pretty similar but his walks went into free fall. I think it's a combo of him not being as feared and Yordan or Tucker being behind him so pitchers get after him.
  12. Keith law is a cunt. he told me that Hunter Brown would be lucky to be a 7th inning guy. And that Yordan was a fringe top 100 guy. He knows shit all about the Astros system. Fuck him.
  13. Business Employment Dynamics report in today. It's where they look at what was reported 12 months ago and then compare to what actually happened when they get the data in. The birth death model added 653,000 jobs. The actual figure was a loss of -163,000. Good job fella's good job. Net everything out and here's what happened: April 108k jobs reported should have actually been 51k May- 216k jobs reported should have been 159k reported June- 118k reported should have been 61k Total for the quarter: 442k reported, 271k actual. This was a fucking fiasco. Heads should roll. That's probably difference in 1/2 a point (at least) in mortgages if we were getting honest and accurate numbers then vs what was reported. By the way- inflation the numbers are wrong too. something like 40% of the inflation figure for shelter is owners equivalent rent. This is an absurd measurement of shelter costs. You basically ask someone who owns and lives in their house- "how much would you rent this place out for" and they sample that and average it out and get a figure. It has NOTHING to do with actual rental prices or the market- it's me asking yall to pull a number out of your ass and tell me what it would rent for. Last month- shelter was negative in the real world- but I bet we come in at 3.5% or something dumb like that. This one simple trick, getting honest and accurate numbers, would make a huge difference in where we are at right now. So frustrating and infuriating.
  14. I don’t think so, as I’ve got 2 scheduled to fund on Friday and no word directly about any problems with it, but it’s not that big a deal in all likelihood. Your lender funds the loan and eventually sells them to the VA a day, a week or a month or 3 months down the road. However long it takes them to bundle it and get it done and scrubbed and signed off on/ but it’s a normal course of bundles for them, and the market isn’t exactly smoking hot right now (ha- understatement alert). Now, if the freeze lasts too long the market could get illiquid I suppose, but I wouldn’t think that would happen for a good stretch of time.
  15. We are back. Talk money, explain how the luxury tax works because everyone gets it wrong online, talk Presley trade, Bregman coming back and why the OF doesn’t suck as bad as you think. https://open.spotify.com/episode/7IogKswzwBZ0qIkFSvJBYe?si=qjb4Q84MRsWQeibK9so8jw
  16. This would be my strategy if I was Jim Crane: I’d invite Alex out to lunch and talk about the good times we had together. Then, I’d tell him that I loved him. Then, I’d point out that I gave him an offer I was exceedingly uncomfortable with (more than 5 years) and nobody else had received. I’d tell him that if he can still play 6 years from now he would have my word that I’d take care of him with another extension so that he could retire as an Astro and only an Astro. I’d tell him that the offer wasn’t budging a single penny because that’s already higher than I’d ever gone before and he seems to not be going to get the 200M he wants anywhere. I’d end it with “hope you come back, that’s a lot to think about why don’t you sleep on it, talk to your wife and let me know tomorrow morning. Because the offer expires at 9:00 am and I’ve got to go get a couple OFers and finish building my roster before they were all gone. I’m not saying this would work, but if he wants Alex back and Alex wants to be back maybe it breaks through. If not you have certainty and move on to something else. Kind oflike Hakeem and Charlie Thomas heart to heart on the way to Japan when he was asking to be traded.
  17. Sure. And I think they should be willing to go up to 40M over (the money hit gets a little worse moving from tier 1 to tier 2 but you don’t get hit with any more competitive disadvantages like draft pick or the like) because it should be so easy to duck back under next year when you lose 57M in salary between Framber, Caratini, Jose Abreu and Montero. If you signed Bregman you would not have a single offensive guy leave in FA after the 25 season, almost no big arb raises exist, and you’d still have plenty of guys I project to be between average and awesome as starters for 26. Signing Bregman would mean this team either needs a Chas bounce back or one of Melton or Dezenzo to be a good bat and we are awesome offensively. Thats entirely plausible. Maybe we can get through the season without 3 Tommy John’s. That would be helpful.
  18. We were already like 2-6M under. Now we are 10-14 or something like that under. If Alex is coming back at 26 that would mean we have to trade Montero (11.5) and Caratini or something like that. And before anyone tells me that nobody wants Montero the answer to that is no fucking shit- but you could trade him to a team like the Marlins who have to spend some money to get to the salary floor necessary to collect their revenue sharing and attach 2 or 3 interesting prospects with it to make it worth their while. Also- since any team buying prospects from us by taking on Montero will likely suck they could trot him out there for 3 months- hope he pitches well and then becomes a guy they could move at the trade deadline. with how volatile relievers are stranger things have happened.
  19. Didn’t he blow a save in game 2 of the Detroit series before Hader came in and lost it? Or did he just give up insurance runs to make it the game out of reach before Hader did the same?
  20. I’ve got 79 people on my hot sheet for this year that I want to refinance if the market gets where I think it’s going. I’m ready for it.
  21. They did win it all. They were lucky to escape us in the WC round.
  22. It’s a free room, with no doubt that water and electricity will be there, with a casino giving out free drinks. How is that hard to understand?
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