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Wulaw Horn

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by Wulaw Horn

  1. Off days are awful, that's true.
  2. Who you gonna believe- the guy telling you this is a 92-97 win team all year of the sky is falling crowd?
  3. Dubon is your every day shortstop. That should not even be remotely up for discussion. Slap dick Guilerme is his backup. Chas comes back and is the 4th OF. Yordan is right around the corner this time without a broken hand. Don't be bedwetters, we are completely and totally fine.
  4. You replying to me? Because no- Pena not to the 60. Yordan or Arrighetti or some of the other dudes on the 10 or 15 that could be on the 60.
  5. Nah, you could transfer guys to the 60 day IL and kick that can down the road. Yordan isn't on there and he's probably already spent 60 on the DL. Dezenzo. Arrighetti. All those guys could easily be on the 60 man. Also- we have some slap dicks on the 40 man roster that could go bye bye and it wouldn't matter. Matthews should get the call. It's past super 2 if he stays up and sticks. If he doesn't you just keep him down next year until May and he doesn't earn the extra year of service time. Like Kyle Tucker. If yall recall he played a fair bit in 2028 and 2029 (like 75 AB's each year) without earning any service time or even super 2). So-best case he belongs and you've solved 2b for 6 years. Worst case he needs more seasoning and you actively fuck with his clock next year and call him up in May if he's ready.
  6. Baseball in general, Astros in particular.
  7. Nahlin is hyping up Moore- I don’t see it, but sure- it’s possible I guess. DJ Campbell for sure. Travis Shaw maybe? hopefully Arch has a decision to make after winning a Heisman and National title and decides to come back. Tre Wiesner. Moore. None of this is prediction, just plausible guys that could go. if it’s not 10 again it should be close.
  8. That’s because those cowards in Cleveland wouldn’t let us makeup the rain out. Grrrrrr.
  9. He came into Frambers jam so he could be on point right away. It’s his process. Yall need to respect it.
  10. I’d have pulled him too. He wasn’t fooling anyone that inning and they were getting really good swings.
  11. This is scary time right now. Need to note it with an emoji in my scorebook.
  12. Baseball is America. I celebrate all of it.
  13. If I was pitching he’d get one in the ribs automatically at pitch #6. Every time.
  14. Paredes takes such a good AB every time up regardless of the result. He’s the anti Altuve or Diaz.
  15. After law school I was assistant GM for a wooden bat league team in the Northwoods league. I ran the scoreboard and PA system at home and was traveling secretary on the road. I was responsible for keeping and uploading all the stats and doing the media so I kept score on every single pitch for 64 games. I have 3 kids. I’ve never felt the need to keep score for the rest of my life. It’s a bit odd if you don’t have a reason for doing it. still- I feel it’s something every adult American man should know how to do- like changing a tire or your own oil or something like that. You will get one in the 8th or 9th and like it.
  16. Framber is always nasty. That’s what aces do and that’s who he is. it’s amazing how many of our fans struggle with this (not saying you do- comment was just handy).
  17. Tuesday. Always have to rest the day before an off day. Astros science.
  18. Mid season grades for the org (not players) tell me what I got wrong. Fans got one of the worst grades. Fight me. https://medium.com/@breathingorangefire_71114/grading-the-astros-at-the-half-way-point-non-player-edition-78d12741adc6
  19. Monday Luis Garcia’s arm will come flying off and poke Chaz in the eye rupturing it. Tuesday yordan will line one off Javier, fracturing Javier’s arm. Yordan will break his ankle on the sprinkler head going out to check on him.
  20. I think you could pretty easily get out of Chas deal without attaching any prospects or paying cash. Rodgers isn't making anything so he's the definition of replacement player after the Astros waive him. Walker needs to keep doing what he's doing since May 1 (not great but not terrible) but do it from the 7th spot after Yordan comes back and nobody will feel as bad about the contract then. Your ideal playoff lineup (saber sound): Pena, Yordan, altuve, Paredes, Diaz, Smith, Walker, Caratini, Meyers. IF Melton is healthy and hitting he plays left and hits 9th, Caratini goes to the bench and Yordan goes to DH. I don't honestly see anyone that can easily be upgraded from that playoff 9. I don't honestly see anyone that isn't at least sort of average for that place in the lineup). Diaz I'm assuming is the 760 or 780 OPS guy he's always been and his expected stats say he will be again this year with even luck.
  21. I was pretty surprised when I wrote my luck articles that the team was probably a shade unlucky in both pitching and hitting based upon expected results (if you control for who always outperforms their expected stats b/c they are outliers in some ways). Brown and Pena are almost assuredly going to get worse (but from like Cy young and MVP level respectively to run of the mill all star) but everyone else has sort of average luck or bad luck so far (especially Yainer- and maybe the rookie pitchers too btw) to expect a little better performance coming in. If Yordan comes back we are a rolling ball of butcher knives (assuming health from our 4 most important arms in Hader, Abreu, Brown and Framber). But yeah- this team the last 3 years has been a 100 win team ravaged by injuries and stupidity in the managers office and bad luck which disguised it as a 90 win team. I think we are just water finding it's level right now.
  22. So, I think 1 run games is probably like 70% luck, 20% great bullpen and 10% manager. Our manager eats paint chips but we have a great bullpen so that part is good. Also- our record in 1 run games has gotten better since we got rid of contreras and scott who were the ones taking the L's (see start of the sentence- our manager eats paint chips). So, yeah- call it 55 or 60% in close games coming in would be my guess.
  23. Wouldn’t Jermey Pena be a position player all star for us with the final vote deal and commissioners choice stuff? He’s got to be the odds on favorite to win that.
  24. I don't love the Cooper Hummel experience so far, but if we keep winning every game he appears in I might change my tune.
  25. He's really good.
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