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Wulaw Horn

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by Wulaw Horn

  1. 90-92 wins with neutral luck. 100 of things break right with health and a couple rookies. 84 or so if we end up snakebit with injuries again.
  2. Episode 91 breathing orange fire up. Nonsense is front loaded for first 10 minutes then we talk Bregman, then catchers then pitchers. https://open.spotify.com/episode/3A0BZKQxfIV5M8W7cKeG9w?si=l-PaKF6RQ9uELDsQ-aV0kw
  3. Bennett until he didn’t then he won it all then he lost again. I’d put tournament record something like 1 in 5 of the importance of a coach. No coach knocks dow. 1 and 2 seeds every year and loses in the first and second round every year. Lute Olsen was a choking dog until he wasn’t. I’m sure there’s a bunch of other examples those just spring to the top of my mind. 35 games is a way better sample than somewhere between 1 and 6 games.
  4. Yeah but it’s a 1/2/3 year deal. All those guys that signed 10/300 would be making way more than 40M if they signed a 1/2/3 year deal.
  5. Sure. But even still you aren’t talking about a total and complete circus all the time. It’s a negligible difference and shouldn’t be dispositive. Same as bunting. It’s less bad in NCAA than in MLB because of the reason you said- but it still not great. my Buddy who is a d1 manager has completely shifted his view in the last 5 years. Hated strikeouts. Shrugs his shoulders now as long as the guy hits the ball hard, which is what his metrics and numbers say is the most important thing at the ncaa level, and hitting the ball hard and striking out is generally correlated.
  6. I mean- I knew it was a dumb decision at the time and it wouldn’t work out, but I also shrugged my shoulders and said “what are you going to do?” There was no way he wasn’t getting the job. I’m just glad it was a short deal with a small buyout.
  7. People that prefer college baseball over MLB or refused to get on the mlb bandwagon after they solved baseball (at least at that level) refuse to get rid of the paradigm they grew up with in the 60’s 70’s and 80’s. Most people hate change. hell- you are almost there but still got it wrong- as the strikeouts aren’t even really particularly all that important- he really just needs to get on base a shit ton.
  8. Any team that gets in the tournament can make the sweet 16. Happens all the time. Tournament success is awesome and makes me happy every time it happens. It’s also an absolutely horrific way to judge a coach because any team can make a sweet 16 (or get bounced early) there is just so much luck involved.
  9. Present day value on his contract is 32M. With taxes and stuff like that it’s only a slight upgrade at essentially 6/180. Comes with downside risk. Alex just wasn’t well that interested in being here. It’s his right. Bums me out a bit that he felt that way, but I’m not sad he didn’t sign with us for 6/160 or 165 or whatever our final offer was after they said they upped it a little bit.
  10. he’s so little. And didn’t do kick returns- but in the nfl with those goofy new kick rules that might help him.
  11. I think we missed out on Correa. I would have taken him on any of the deals he actually signed with the twins. His body not getting through a physical cost him 160M.
  12. He got a lot of deferred money. Present value is like 90M. he ain’t making much more money than if he’d have done the Astros deal. Maybe less.
  13. I’m going to be waaaaay more right than wrong. Not likely to get 16 but that was always way more possibility than probability. I’ve been calling for 13 plus since mid year and bet we get there. My final list: Quinn, Gunner, Blue, Majors, Banks, Williams, Connor, Bond, Golden, Broughton, Sorrell, Collins, Makuba, Barron, 14 be my guess. 25% chance or less: Gbenda, Holmes, Bolden. 15 with a little luck. edit to add- I didn’t see the combine list. Basically all my guesses hit the combine. Ha. Less people are invited to combine than are drafted so anyone invited would be more likely than not to be selected.
  14. I don’t see where the glut of inventory will come from unless we get lower rates. I think that might bring in an even greater number of buyers though so doubt that it helps pricing (from a buyer perspective) and think it’s more likely to hurt.
  15. That’s the joke. Well, part of the joke.
  16. You misspelled Forest Whitley.
  17. Ditto. So dumb with the 0.7 bound from top to bottom. Sure Jan.
  18. In the long enough term we are all dead.
  19. Ha. I fat fingered it. I was like what is he talking about- that’s just his career ops against LHP and then I saw the damn typo. 760 ops is like 120 ops plus. Thats 1/3 of the AB’s in the platoon. Blended with Gamel against RHP that would be about a 730 combined platoon out of the position which is the 110 ops plus I was talking about.
  20. Va also has a rehab loan that’s basically the same as the fha.
  21. People mock gamel by the move is fine for 1.2M. Career 730 ops against RHP. Meyers career 860 against lhp. Combined in a strict platoon they should be a 110 ops guy. That sets an acceptable floor cheaply and doesn’t preclude you from anything else more important.
  22. Fangraphs sucks. Losers.
  23. I had a Sunday school group where like 8 of the 10 couples bought a house over a 5 year period. I did none of their loans. The teacher was my wife’s doctor. She stopped going to him once we joined that class. Some things aren’t super comfortable being mixed in some relationships. Cool for you on that!
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