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Wulaw Horn

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by Wulaw Horn

  1. This is dumb. The results this week say something about the overall strength of schedule for teams that aren’t playing. if Clemson destroys SMU that makes USCe win last weekend better. If Texas destroys Georgia that diminishes Bama’s best win. It’s more data and it should all be weighed, even if those teams aren’t playing. Dumb dumb dumb.
  2. So, the Buckeyes get a fucking home game. Awesome. also- if the sec ends up with 3 teams (they won’t I bet it’s 4) because SMU loses, the reason it will be is because they absolutely horsefucked USCe in the game with LSU. Maybe they shouldn’t orchestrate ref fuckery and let the games play themselves out.
  3. Like I said- I'm out on this for now. Signing day eve wasn't probably the best time for it. I'm happy for the class we are about to sign, whatever it ends up being. Thanks again for the work you put into making it happen.
  4. It’s only the most topical big picture issue in 2024 recruiting- sources and amounts of money in NIL and what that looks like. this might not be the thread for it. I’m out.
  5. NFL makes big profits. Baseball and basketball operates at break even if you believe the ownership. Either way you aren’t even talking about operating revenue that a 100B guy would notice in those two sports. or, put another way- people are doing it and the group of people that are doing it grows larger every day. So, it obviously makes sense to the right person. if I was worth 1B I would go take over the AD at Sam or something and crowd source Surly to run the entire program for shits and giggles. Or, give Sark 10M, get Terry fired, drop 5M there and spread another 5M around the non revenue sports just for my own amusement. I would guess I wouldn’t be the only one here that would find this to be the best use of 2% of their net worth any particular year.
  6. Cool. I responded to someone talking generally about billionaires and you made it specific. That woman is hot but I’m sure he has had hotter or could have had hotter if he wanted. Him being sugar daddy to her, Michigan or anything else he does is personalized version of fun for him. I’m sure he has his reasons. my general point is this- being involved in NIL at a high level is a toy for someone with a huge net worth. It has obvious fun benefits for the right person. It’s not a surprise that this is a toy lots of people want to associate with if they have the money, and the cost of that toy is less than ownership of a pro franchise with less work associated with it. I’m just grateful we have people willing to do the heavy lifting on one side, and that y’all helped set up a conduit for crowd funding to do work on another level.
  7. I edited my post while you were responding- if you note I was talking about Billionaires in general when I said 10 figure net worth (or 11 or 12) so for some people it would be affordability (1B is enough to drop gobs of money on being defacto owner of a college team but not enough to buy an NFL team), as well as it being a major bitch to actually buy an NFL team, when it comes up for sale, and then get approved by the other owners. As far as the hassle of owning an NFL team you become the public face of a city's aspirations and hopes and dreams, and you can't buy your way into a title because it's a salary cap league. Maybe he doesn't want the notoriety. Maybe he doesn't want to be motherfucked by everyone in town when his team goes 5-12. Maybe a bunch of different reasons. The fact of the matter is though- he doesn't own an NFL team and he is playing sugar daddy to an NCAA team so I'm sure he has his reasons for that- even if they might not be obvious to either of us. Maybe he's like Saban and he's more interested in playing a rigged game? I have no idea. But it's something I've speculated off line would happen for a couple years now- Billionaires that can't get into the professional sports ownership world becoming "defacto" owners of collegiate programs.
  8. Sure. If there are any for sale. And if the owners decide they want to let him into the club. You have on average a sale of a team every what 3rd year? And the commissioner basically hand picks who they want to be the buyer that buys the team, and that's based upon how well they think he will fit in, follow directions and not rock the boat. So, other than that- sure- it's exactly the same.
  9. Fun. Also- 10 figures is 1B right? Which was my point about Billionaires in general not Ellison in particular. But the same logic would apply to him worth a measly 1B or his actual 225B.
  10. I've been saying this for 5 years that it would and could and should happen. It's insanely hard and expensive to buy a professional sports team. If you wanted to drop 20M a year you would basically be the sugar daddy of all sugar daddies as it relates to athletics at a university. Like- total and complete access- coach doesn't take a shit without letting you know about it first blah blah blah. You could get like 95% of the perks of owning a sports team with like 50% of the hassle at like 1/100ths of the cost. It's a logical decision for a guy whose net worth is 10 figures that's a big sports fan, and it's a no brainer for someone with an 11 or 12 figure net worth.
  11. All his fip and xfip stats were fine. Monitored it all year b/c it certainly didn't match what my eyes told me. His expected BA and slug were good. Again- this did not match my eyes or recollection but there is an argument that he was merely unlucky. His ERA was 3.49 that's not bad. His fip was 3.1, that's actually pretty good (better than Hader and Abreu). WOBA- 314. Xwoba- 308. Hard hit% in line with career numbers. K% 24% v career norms of 28%. BB% 7.4% vs 6.9% for career. That's what- 1 extra walk and 8 fewer strike outs over the course of the year with his inning load? Chase% and GB% is still elite. Breaking run value and offspeed run value is above average. Fastball run value below average. He needs to gain another MPH, Throw less or throw more junk balls maybe? I'd bet he's not cooked and for 1 year he's probably a mid tier closer. Mid tier closers on 1 year deals make that kind of money. Nobody is going to give you anything of great value, but my guess is you can offload him to someone without eating a ton of money.
  12. I can't even imagine what level of dickhead you'd have to be to have Kirby Smart decide to wash his hands of you. Sounds like a good fit for aggy.
  13. Chapman is a dickhead that everyone hates and is unpitchable at times. Presley is better.
  14. They are watching the same QB'ing I am in college football. It's why it's a down year around the nation imo without any really great teams.
  15. So, the OTF guys were talking about 9 Texas linemen possibly being drafted (this is them) Givens: Williams, Majors, Banks, Collins, Sorrell Likely- Broughton Possibly- DJ, Hayden Connor, Lole (draftable- said not likely b/c of injuries but could happen), Trey Moore (if he leaves he will absolutely be drafted- but might want to come back. Call it 7 out of those 10 is my take on it. Givens for sure, Broughton, and at least one of the other guys Add to that: Quinn, Bond, Golden, Helm, Barron, Makuba, Taffe who all will absolutely be drafted if they were to come out. Let's say 2 of those guys come back (or transfer if Quinn decides not to go in the draft)- that makes 12 or 13. I was being provacative with 16 to begin the year but from September on I said 16 was going to be closer than 10 and set the o/u at 12.5 and took the over in early October last time I really looked at it. Nailed- Broughton, Cam Williams, Majors (was on all those guys being drafted this time around before the season Absolute dead ass wrong- Blue- I thought he was damn near a guarantee Never developed- Holmes- I didn't expect Barron to be so fucking good at CB and thought he might get a decent amount of play- nope- Barron got rid of any chance of him flashing and getting late round love Gbenda- I had him in the maybe. If the season ended at OU he probably gets drafted. I can't imagine that happening now. I've been calling DJ Campbell all year. He's playing really well right now. He has the size and prospect pedigree. It's just a question of if he wants to get drafted now or try to do better next year. Taafe- good for you buddy- you've played yourself into an NFL career. I had Hayden Connor in the maybe group. He's had a really good senior year. What do yall think- he get drafted or nah? Locks (if they leave- but have eligibility): Quinn, Golden, Bond, Williams, Banks, Cambell, Tre Moore, Guilbeaux, Taffe (prediction- 6 of those 9 go) Locks and gone: Helm, Majors, Collins, Sorrell, Barron (5) Likely & gone: Broughton, (1) Coin Flip & Gone- Hayden Connor, Lole (1) unlikely- possible- gone- Gbenda, Holmes, Bolden (0) 13- final guess right now.
  16. Thanks for that information. I can follow up with him and make sure he gets back with you b/c they are supposed to be shopping for you every renewal period.
  17. Did they shop you around again to a different carrier? If not I can call and holler at him. Insurance prices have just gotten stupid in the past 12-18 months...
  18. I e only seen sark absurd on the headsets like that one other time in 4 years. It was brutal.
  19. I see the argument. Some nfl models run that way too with the Gm above the coach in the scheme of things. I think the argument against at the college level is that the coach not only brings schemes but also is in charge (somewhat) of convincing guys to come there (money talks but coach matters too) so it’s hard to make him subservient to a back room guy, but sure- Stanford ought to try that. It certainly might work better for them than what they’ve been doing if they can’t go hire the next Jin Harbaugh or Bill Walsh.
  20. We will see. I’ve been banging the drum at 12-14 guys getting drafted and have him as a potential early entry. I’m not guaranteeing it or anything but he’s a guard. If he gets a 5th or 6th round grade and every other person on his oline is gone I could see him saying peace out. We shall see.
  21. They couldn't possibly need another DE I wouldn't think. I have them getting an OL b/c I have Cam WIlliams gone (and have all year) and I think DJ goes as well. I don't see how he benefits from being the only returner coming back to a brand new line- it's so important to play as a cohesive unit that's one guy that I don't know actually improves his stock coming back- but if he doesn't come back then that frees up money for someone else and if he does we are paying him anyway, so... probably nets out at a wash either way. I think you are dead bang on with all the numbers and at exactly those positions. I think what's maybe more interesting is trying to asses the quality you need at each spot. OL (if DJ is back)- you need a guaranteed above average player WR- 1 star, 1 depth piece TE- Pass- I love Washington though TB- Pass (the incoming freshmen look good- I could see them taking one if Blue leaves which I'd suspect he will)- hit that in the spring if you get bad news on Baxter LB- Depth piece DB- 1 starter 2 depth pieces K/P- Star. Even star shouldn't cost more than 100k each, right? Don't fuck around with shitty specialists on a team that you think is going to be really good- go get top of class guys at each place. So- that leaves DT. I wasn't worried this year and hand waved away all the concerns. I was right to do so. Next year is terrifying. I think you need to bring in an all conference type plus another starter type plus a depth piece. Other than WR for the star this would be my 2nd and 3rd highest paid portal guys. It's really bleak what's going on right there. I think we overstate a bit how important the position is (especially if the backers are good) but you don't want a fucking donut in the middle either.
  22. 1M for an All American DT sounds fine- if that's your only hole from being a playoff team vs. not. It's too bad we probably need more like 2 or 3 dudes there, that all probably need to be starter quality. Needing a couple of WR's, a LB, a Corner (I'm guessing), Kicker, Punter and an OL (again- guessing they will want to get at least 1 if the entire line is gone) would have me believe they don't go AA or top of the market at that position, but if they want to I wouldn't complain. What's your portal number guess? I've got 10 incoming.
  23. Money or something. In addition to eternal glory. We will figure that something out after the SEC title game where we see which way the playoffs go.
  24. Week 12- Texas @ Texas aggy Game Winner- 16-6 prediction (was 17-7) @t_eight missing by 2 total points Prop winner- 217 yards passing for Texas (actual was 218) @Sgt Hulk Good job fellas.
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