Jump to content

Wulaw Horn

Burnt Ends
  • Posts

    19975
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

Everything posted by Wulaw Horn

  1. Andrew and I talked astros pitching in the postseason and this start was exactly what you wanted. best option was JV dominant and ready for the postseason but absent that you wanted him to shit the bed so he’s unplayable as a starter. You didn’t want him to muddle through 5 or 6 and give up 2 or 3 while whit knuckling it and pronounce him fit and ready to go. This is for the best. note- he might not be washed (probably is) as it’s possible this could still be injury related, but he’s definitely washed for this year. I’d offer him something like 1/8 next year- with $2M incentives for 100, 125 and 150 IP, and like 10M in incentives for if he gets cy young votes. That could get him to 25M or something if he has a really good year, and if he’s bad you can cut bait and be out the price of less than a good 7th inning reliever on the open market. Seems reasonable. No idea if he’d be interested. I wouldn’t do more than that.
  2. Someone said that he gets an 8th year next year if he wants it. No idea how that works out (something to do with the settlement) but I’m here for it.
  3. I’m fine with that happening, but I don’t know that Presley is. He has 10/5 so they can’t trade him without his ok.
  4. Gerry is a pussy. It’s well known that all of Broughton, Conner, Bolden, Gbenda and Holmes are getting drafted. I mean- not all of em but I’d bet on 2.
  5. hope that's not true. With what we traded for him and what we gave up, and actually unlocking the best pitching of his career it would be nice if we signed him to something like a 3/48. That seems fair if you look at his year in it's totality, age and all that. If you just go by the last month since he became an Astro and say that's him that's about 1/2 of what he will probably get. If that happens next time we need to avoid trading for a guy and doubling his value.
  6. OK- so if we don't catch Cleveland and have to play in the WC series- this just in- the fighting AJ Hinches are now only 0.5 games back of the Wild Card. I doubt anyone has the slightest concern about playing them. Also- holy shit looked up Correa's stats yesterday after the Twins lost 5-4 and Correa was 4-5 with all 4 RBI- they are awesome. He's playing good defense and he's got a 920 OPS. Stud. Then I looked at games played and it was like 78 and I laughed. Stud, that's made of glass. I wish him well. I really really liked him on the Astros. I hope he finishes out his career really well in Minnesota and ends up getting indcuted into the Hall of Fame (he has 44.5 WAR and he's going to be 29 for another 2 days so he is absolutely on that kind of pace) and has a great career and life. All that said, damn dude, mix in a 150 (or even 140) game season every now and again. Dudes games played: 99, 153, 109, 110, 75, 58, 148, 136, 135, 78 and counting
  7. Arms on any loans have been pretty dicey for at least 2 years. Now that the yield curves are getting un-inverted again I would imagine that you will see those start to be better again.
  8. 30. I didn't see any benefit on the 7/1....
  9. If non primary means second home I'd say you'd be doing well to get 6.499 if you weren't paying points If non primary means investment 6.499 would probably cost you about $750.00 Now- if you could get your loan to value below 70% (that right there is like 71%) then 6.125 might be on the table with no points.
  10. What’s the loan amount, appraised value and credit score?
  11. It would take him 387 pitches to get through 9.
  12. Yeah- you weren't wrong when you said coin flip. 100 was best case scenario between now and the end of the year and that looks like what we are going to get- that wasn't fully priced in so sort of odd- but yeah- better days ahead I highly suspect.
  13. And looks like the market closes down 14 for the day. It managed to briefly get into the green for like 5 minutes with a high at 7 bips up. Lenders re-pricing for the worse. I must say- I didn't have market worsening and breaking through technical support after getting a 50 bip cut from the feds on my bingo card for the day. Can't imagine how ugly it would have been if we only got 25 bips. Oh well, didn't have to happen today- but it will happen I'm sure going forward. Doesn't make any sense not to as that's where all the data, history and now government policy points to.
  14. How you feel about Habib over the last year would be 180 degrees different if the BLS hadn't reported a fake 850k jobs and the market wouldn't have reacted to the headline number and ignored the revisions. That really messed us up.
  15. 25 in November, 25 in december Thanks Gabe
  16. Eh- you know a lot. You are one of the most knowledgeable posters on things economic on this site. I just eat, drink and sleep this particular subset of economics b/c it's my job. The media sucks at financial reporting so most of the headline shit is utter nonsense.
  17. we were at - 17 bips the minute before it was released. Will be interesting to see what the swing is between now and the end of the day. I'm betting 30 points better to end the day (so finish plus 13). We shall see.
  18. Anyone else feel like throwing up now with 11 minutes to go before the fed announcement? This is like me watching Texas v OU but if I had about a $50k bet on the game right now. I don't know if I'm going to make it.... I'm in a glass cage of emotions.
  19. Yep. But more sellers than buyers this morning- as people taking profits from good move higher the last couple weeks/month.
  20. Market down 10 points this morning in mbs. After everyone got groggy and 67% of the market started pricing in a 50 basis point cut looks like they are getting scared and selling before the announcement today. I was telling people to buy futures in 50 basis point cut when it was trading at 17% on poly maker and sell when it was at like 38%, take your profit and leave your initial stake in investment in. It hit 74% the other day. Yesterday was down to 54%. This morning it’s at 48%. Interesting.
  21. Only 4 in the loss column. Astros 1 more Cleveland loss away from controlling their own destiny for the 2 seed.
  22. And yet- the clown last night was even worse.
  23. Because I have no idea how to spell it officially I guess? My spelling of it if that’s a common misspelling is clearly monkey see, monkey do.
  24. Portal losses: I’m paying almost no attention tot his. I know Murphy is starting at Duke and looks like he wouldn’t be in our 3 deep- good for him to find a better opportunity, Neyor is getting lots of love at Nebraska. There’s nowhere for him here at Texas either, imo, but if he can catch a bunch of balls and make the league also good for him. have paid very little attention to any of the other losses- anyone doing good things? I guess I heard Catalon had a couple picks the other day (I think) but wasn’t super locked in to whoever was talking about that.
×
×
  • Create New...