Wulaw Horn

He’s too much of a sure thing. Dezenzo is top 50 on a couple lists. I’d have spaghetti on my list I think.

I think he’d go there on those guys right now. I think. Those deals are ok for their current ages.

Getting crazy: sign bellinger- 6/150 sign Snell- 6/150 sign Soler- 2/25 extend Altuve- 6/110 Trade Chas, McCullers, Urquidy, Montero and Graveman to someone or someone’s for a couple minor leaguers. Yes I know nobody wants pay McCullers or Montero and Graveman won’t pitch this year and makes 8M, that’s what the big time extra value is for in Chas and to a lesser extend Urquidy heading out. Plenty of teams would be happy to do that deal. 62.5 million added to the payroll 48M subtracted from the payroll- net 14M still keeps us under tax line number 2. That 14M costs Jimbo 18M total with the tax. 24 team: Diaz/abreu/altuve/pena/bregman/soler/bellinger/tucker/yordan bench: Meyers kessinger, Vic caratini, Dubon Rotation: JV/Snell/framber/javier/Brown bullpen: France/garcia/whitley/Souza/tons of choices here/ Hader/abreu/presley 25- Bregman walks and our #1 prospect is a 3rd baseman comes up and the Astros shed 30M in real salary and 20 M on the cap and duck back under the tax line to first tax. If you develop a good OF from the minors amongst a ton of candidates you could then trade Abreu and slide Bellinger to first and then be absurdly stacked still. after 25 Framber and Tucker, Presley, JV all likely leave and your core through ‘28 is: Snell, Brown, Javier, Hader, France, Garcia, Bellinger, Altuve, Pena, Yordan. Thats 170M or so for those 10 guys. Thats a playoff team if you develop at all around them all 3 years. If you develop well and maybe make 1 more big FA signing that’s maybe a WS contender below the tax line.

Lots. The same crowd that thought 2022 was a 5-7 team with an absolute ceiling at 6 or 7.

And now we are down 6, computer must have burped there for about 7 or 8 minutes. Didn't even give Habib time to call me. I hate the market sometimes.

From weird to shitty. Down 35 now for who knows why. I expect to get a phone call from Habib in T minus 3, 2, 1...

Lies. That 100 year old bridge laughed at my RV. Maybe a tiny little chip in those old iron hang down rails.

Me either. Everything was as expected to good news. I would expect 25 basis point improvement today in the mbs market. We are down 1 point. Huh. Interested to see the dig in beyond the headline numbers.

Yeah but guys in the bullpen also pitch less and less as well. Bullpen guys used to pitch damn near 100 innings now they go 60/70. So both sides are being limited in innings with the rise of 13 man pitching staffs.

I don’t see anyone else making this point- but if it’s made already then sorry. the big 12 was being propped up by Texas and OU fans even in games Texas and OU didn’t play in, and Texas viewership was being tamped down by the schedule. think about it- how many OsU v KSU type games did you watch as a Texas fan because we share a conference with then and would play them some day- or it would affect our conference position? Tons. I will never watch that game again. I bet Texas v OU does 10-20% more viewing next year when it’s in the SEC than it did when it was in the big 12. Auburn fans that never watched us play tech will tune in to watch us play ole Miss because now it’s a conference game. This is getting ignored and undersold imo.

I’m not a green fan but there’s no way he’s being viewed as a negative contract that would have to have shit attached to in order to move.

Thats awesome.

It’s irrational the anger. 65 innings will never be remotely as close to 200 innings in terms of value. But I still love you and hope we can be friends.

Yep. Like Insaid- based upon their internal logic if you have 8 closers in he should be the 9th.

All his rate stats are awesome too.

Tomorrow tells the story. A solid inflation number and we are off to the races. Miss expectations and we trade sideways for another month.

Huh- interesting. We haven’t gotten much of a bump in mbs just up 9 right now. GDP also overperformed at 3.3 v expectations of 2.0. Maybe cancelling each other out?

Blew the Portland game. Shouldn’t have. But did.

Sorry for partying.

I already said it’s fine if you want to out RP in there I guess, and if you do he should be in. I only pushed back because someone called him a top 10 player at his position and he’s just not. The position is pitcher. You are just taking about usage pattern beyond that. Also go look up winning percentage for a team and you will find even exceptionally shitty closers have teams that win 85% of the time.

He tried to be a starter. He want good enough. He couldn’t stay healthy or effective with 1.5 pitches multiple times through the lineup. He’s basically the case study for relievers aren’t as good as starters.

But yeah, by defninition a relief pitcher is a position, like LF for example, made up of a subset of people not good enough to play CF (or starting pitcher). So, that kind of works. Nobody in the world moves a guy that can play a great CF over to LF or RF, just like nobody in the world moves a Pitcher to RP that's good enough to start. Same with 3b, 2B and 1b as compared to SS. But, the main driver of a guy that plays in the field is his bat- they fit those with a good enough bat into the hardest defensive positon they can handle.

Or third down back in football. IT's a running back. That is limited for whatever reason. So he can only be effective on third down. Just like a relief pitcher is a pitcher, that's limited, so they can only be effective in small doses. It's dumb that it's in the hall beyond Mariano, who as the best to ever do it probably accumulated almost 70% of Curt Schillings value, and 15% more value than Roy O, to name two guys not in the Hall of Fame.

The answer as to why is because you have to write baseball for 10 years and they never take away your ballot, never provide guidance. So, you get a bunch of senile old fucks that are yearning for "baseball the way it used to be" in a romanticized way that wasn't ever real even when they were going through it, and only dimly remembered, and that dude is just way more likely to vote no than yes. Voting should be limited to only people actively working in the game- and should be extended to blogs, pods (not mine obviously) online stuff etc where the person has covered the game for 10 years at a level that's generally considered to be quality.

He's not one of the 10 best pitchers or 100 best pitchers or 500 best pitchers of all time though. That's his position, pitcher. Period. It's dumb that any closer (other than maybe Mariano) got in. It would be like if the NFL HOF started letting in "3rd down backs". That's not a thing. It's not a position. It's a specialist subset of an actual real position, running back. That said- those morons made Mariano the only unanimous guy ever and he probably barely qualifies as like the 100th best pitcher in baseball- and they let in 7 other closers, so under that metric Wagner should certainly be in.