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Wulaw Horn

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by Wulaw Horn

  1. That guy meaning CB Buckner.
  2. Cams one out today he got rung up by CB Shit for brains Buckner. Welcome to the bigs kid. That guy sucks.
  3. Any interest? @Huckleberry you in? Rest of the crew? Shout out here if yall are in.
  4. And now we are all the way down for the day. Son of a bitch.
  5. Back to up 12. If it wasn’t Friday I might expect reprice for better with another good hour- but it’s Friday so probably not.
  6. Mbs up 20 points. Unemployment up to 4.1. The good run continues for MBs
  7. Ok from someone who would know on the internet on another site: Walker out 4-6 weeks will not be ready by opening day. my conjecture: This is awesome if you are a Cam Smith truther like me. Paredes to 1B, Cam starts the season at 3B and gets a solid 3 week look. If he belongs then Walker comes back mid to end of April and Paredes goes to 2B or Cam goes to RF, whichever position needs the most help. We have a lot of guys who are ready to see if they are ready. I like 3 week looking at stuff while Walker gets healthy.
  8. Episode 93 of breathing orange fire is out. First half is talking about what’s the point of a farm system and how the Astros have done the last 5 years as they’ve been ranked so poorly. Last half is Astros actual prospects.
  9. It would be a team trading up into the end of the first if it were to happen.
  10. I’m not completely giving up hope for late first. If someone likes him enough to take him in the second they might rather have the extra year and trade up to 31 or 32 to get it. Depends on if he’s 3rd QB taken obviously.
  11. Yes. Ton of pent up demand in millennial cohort. Like- historic levels right now. If affordability wasn’t a thing.
  12. Everybody! Cue the boner chart. @closetojumping is super excited to see where Hayden Connor is going.
  13. So, yall figured out that we are going in the teens yet with dudes drafted?
  14. I don’t consider the LmJ injury unlucky to your point. JV could go either way as absent TJ which he was fully and CY young caliber recovered from he’d always been a workhorse. Call it 4.5 out of 6 that wouldn’t be considered to be expected.
  15. They for sure are. I’d argue harder hit than us even. Nobody pays attention because both teams chug along and make the playoffs. We aren’t uniquely hard hit but way worse than average is suspect.
  16. Javier, Garcia, LMJ, Urquidy, France, JV all missed basically the majority of at least one year of not 2 in the last 2 years. I would say having 6 of the top 10 guys on your organization chart as of 2023 have season/career ending injuries go down is much worse than average injury luck but maybe not. it’s worse than we’ve ever had happen in a 2 year period that I’ve been following the Astros for, I think.
  17. I think health is so important. It’s been ignored as this Astros team has been ~90 win team the last couple years just how snakebit we have been from a health perspective. Fuck gamblers fallacy- we gonna be healthy now because we haven’t been the last two years. Science!
  18. I didn’t post any singular event that was particularly unlikely in my scenario. Neither did you! Going to be an interesting year. If we meet in the middle on all our outcomes yeah- it’s probably 90 wins.
  19. Best case scenario on the mound 1) health! Garcia and LMJ make it to the starting mound sometime end of April or beginning of May and pitch somewhere around 100 innings each. Javier comes back in July or August and pitches 1-3 innings per outing 2 times a week. Framber- dominant Ace level- all star and receives Cy Young Votes Brown- consistently is the guy he was the last 4 months of last year- All Star and recievers Cy Young Votes Arrighetti- has another healthy year that’s more dominant starts than bad- wins 15 games with a couple clunkers mixed in. Blanco- solid MOr guy that answers the bell every start- pitches to a 3.5 era and provides lots of value Wesneski or however you spell his name- sees different pitch mix happen/ gives up fewer HR and pitches like a MOR guy Blubaugh- gets his feet wet with flashes of good and bad. Finds his way into bullpen when all starters are healthy. whitley- becomes dominant 7th inning guy Abreu/ stays healthy- is guy he’s always been which is all star level Hader/ stops giving up so many Hr- is the guy he normally is rest of the bullpen- pieces it together and doesn’t actively sabotage us.
  20. Just waiting for someone to lay out how we are going to finish 80-82 as a counterpoint. To be clear this isn’t a prediction of what will happen this is sort of best realistic case scenario. I’d expect 4 or 5 of these to more or less play out and 4 or 5 to be worse.
  21. Best realistic case scenario for Astros by WAR C-6. Does plays like a 5 win all star and Caratini is good again for 1 WAR 1B- 3 WAR. He keeps doing what hes been doing 2B- 3 War- strict platoon gets to league average offense with gold glove caliber defense as every day SS- 4 war- Peña gets back his defensive groove when he was a GG w average offense 3B- 4- Paredes hits 35 or 40 HR’s as a dead pull hitter at MMP and continues to walk LF- 4 war. Altuve catches balls well and is 30 or 40% better than league average at plate CF- 4 war. Chas is average against RHP and plays average defense/Jake is GG caliber on defense and mashes LHP RF- 2 mashes lefties and Gammel or someone else is above average against RHP DH- 6- stays healthy all year and does Yordan things. Total- 36 War. On the way to winning 105 games as everything plays out well and the Astros are the best team in the league against LHP and top 5 or 7 against RHP as platoons work well for them, Altuve is fine in LF, Yainer becomes a star and Paredesoverlay chart becomes HR city at the ice box.
  22. Which is, you know, why him being in Lf won’t be that big a problem.
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