Everything posted by BehoId, The Underminer!
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
The entire history of the U.S. in four presidents. WHHarrison: 1773-1841 Grover Cleveland 1837-1908 LBJ: 1908-1973. Any of the living presidents. Carter: 1924-present, Obama, Clinton, Biden, GWB. or wood.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
It would skew old, so that points R, but recall that early Covid impacts were almost all urban.
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Jimmy Carter [RIP 12-29-24]
🎂
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Interesting article about female Gen Xers having outsized support of Trump. https://wapo.st/3ZGWAI0 Premise is shaky, but it is this: (Author acknowledges premise is shaky later in the article. Maybe that poll cited is just wrong). She goes and contacts some of the people polled who said they're open to discussing. Reasons include the retarded: Not really any conclusion drawn except that this is a generation of scared people.
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Beverly Hills Cop: Axel F (Netflix, Summer 2024, Bruckheimer, Eddie Murphy, Judge Reinhold, Jospeh Gordon-Levitt)
no
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2024 Celebrity Death Pool
the finger wag is a classic
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
yeah, shifts i bet aren't huge. but i do bet that there is real affect on actually getting to the polls. people are going to be living hand to mouth for a while there and won't have the ability to worry about esoteric things like voting.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
And here is some population
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Here's the map of flooding here's the map of voting. obviously, western NC is blue Asheville and red elsewhere.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
It's the October Minus Two surprise.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
My impossible-to-verify prediction: the North Carolina destruction changes more voting behavior (either preventing people from reaching polls, spurring people to get to polls, or changing minds) than the winner's margin in that state.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Yes, very few Americans realize that.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
With NE2, Harris just has to win the right half of this chart. Spend as much in PA as humanly possible.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
you're leaning on the exactness of polls where even the biggest poll believer would acknowledge very ordinary error exceeds the margins.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I would also recommend never visiting.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
yes, it’s child slavery. But is it really a scandal?- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
You of all people know the answer is yes.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
reduced enthusiasm is always good. the flip side is i've always thought the white trash branding that Rs do these days has to be a net negative. maybe they're wising up to that too.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Basic decency is lacking more than basic intelligence. People were a lot less educated 100 years ago but figured out how to elect Lincoln- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
got there based on experience.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
then implement my plan for an aleutian beach condo!- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I don't really understand the question, but I think Nate was saying that by registration, in 2020 it was R+3 or something and now it is R+6.1. That is, for every 1000 D registrations, there was 1030 Rs in 2020 and now 1061 Rs.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Nate Cohn tweeted this morning that AZ by voter registration is 3.1 points more red than in 2020. Hard to be confident that could be overcome. - 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
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