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BehoId, The Underminer!

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Everything posted by BehoId, The Underminer!

  1. I think the deep motivation underneath it all is a belief they are voting for their interest. If you're a left-behind uneducated white person, its rational to believe that voting for a racist system will provide fewer opportunities to black people, which means more opportunities to you.
  2. I think demographics has NC trending blue and FL trending further red. Charlotte is looking at 10% increase in population since 2020.
  3. had to double check because that would be the funniest, but no it doesn't have that.
  4. close, but i think OK, AR and TN go blue too.
  5. lulz at every possible implication of this. it gotta watch this section (n.b.: i absolutely will not) to see if it really says this. black people very much love lower conviction rates because they like innocent people being tried. or maybe it is black people want more criminals to get off. or maybe it is black people like prosecutors that overcharge. it's something like this.
  6. I have a little bit of a fear that it’s hard to move people this late in the race. Once you’ve opened your mind to voting for somebody, you start considering their good points and maybe playing defense for their positions. Changing this late feels to some like an admission that they were wrong. No one wants to do that.
  7. Japan loses 800,000 people last year, even while supplementing foreign born by 300,000 https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/07/25/japan/society/japan-population/
  8. I love Pete but I will be absolutely terrified if he's the pick.
  9. First thing I've seen with a Biden ranking. It's not in easy copy and paste format, but a survey of 150 poly sci guys put Biden 14, Trump last. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/24/opinion/trump-lies-charts-data.html
  10. about 20,000 acre-feet straight to LBJ in the last six hours, which presumably will be passed straight to travis. thats a nice 2% bump.
  11. If they think Vance is a mistake, it’s far far more likely he just fades into the background. No one gives a shit about VP.
  12. I believe this. I just don’t think it is a negative.
  13. A lot of ifs in there. Not a lot of ifs in hating brown makes white love me.
  14. also, he's off by a factor of ten.
  15. 33k per second headed to LBJ right now, which will end up in Travis.
  16. i remember when i first learned of the +80s and +90s democrats get from black voters. i had no idea there was a such thing as racial polarization. when you go from assuming everyone is 50-50 to seeing that, it totally blows your mind.
  17. random thinking this morning: i predict a female president will feel a need to overcorrect on tough guy / foreign policy image. kamala is smart enough to do that by telling a bunch of nato folks we want orders on our desk for f-15s by the end of the day. this could really be excellent.
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