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BehoId, The Underminer!

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Everything posted by BehoId, The Underminer!

  1. you have to keep the yoots engaged though. they had a 11% spike in voting in 2020 over 2016. its not that they'll vote trump, they'll just not vote.
  2. I can’t believe that’s the girl from true grit.
  3. What do they mean when they say that? Is it just the same as saying supporting the US is supporting Nazis because we have a couple thousand neoNazis? Or is there some policy they reference that is somehow Nazi-like eg genocidal?
  4. counterpoint: she's worth over a billion dollars because everything she does is for money on the table.
  5. get her into a SAT prep now. there's a thursday class that starts next week.
  6. what else are you supposed to do while driving?
  7. that's certainly not true of biden v trump 2020. that one had all the blue wall states being +7% or so. every one ended up being a nail biter. i think the median result in the electoral college was something like biden 360 EVs. https://www.politico.com/news/2021/07/18/pollsters-2020-polls-all-wrong-500050 2022 i think was the first one that generally shaded more red than actual. i think 2016 and 2020 the polls were shaded blue.
  8. i'm afraid we are going to have 9 months of hopium posts regarding polls.
  9. those tend to be a little harder to pull off unnoticed
  10. saw that anthony devolder was up in the early polls.
  11. i will say this -- it surprised me how little all the other celebs got. they did that one around-the-stadium thing showing lebron and lady gaga and some others. shot to joe montana at the beginning. other than that, it was just tswift. i think she was the only one worthy of showing more than once.
  12. perpetual motion machine conquered by carnies.
  13. You gotta DiCaprio ‘em.
  14. whew. i thought we were moving past the stupidest conversation on this board. glad you went back to this.
  15. I'm a Grade A retard so often wonder why I ever buy anything other than SPY or something. What could I possibly foresee about an individual stock that the market has not already foreseen?
  16. meanwhile, nate silver thinks it is all rational. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/12/opinion/biden-trump-consumer-confidence-economy.html
  17. if you want to win hearts and minds in this country, you gotta promise the people more doritos.
  18. appeared to be going 88 mph.
  19. I'm just glad you made it out.
  20. It was Krugman. Here's the punchline from one November article: Anyway, the analysts at Briefing Book delved into one possible reason for this disconnect, which I speculated about right from the start — but they’ve done the math. It’s now a well-established fact that partisan orientation affects expressed views about the economy: Democrats are more positive when a Democrat holds the White House; Republicans are more positive when the president is a Republican. What Briefing Book shows is that this effect isn’t symmetric: It applies to both parties, but the partisan effect on sentiment is two and a half times as large for Republicans as it is for Democrats. And here is a more recent one.
  21. nyt had a good article the other day about how partisan perceptions of the economy are now. d's think it is good, r's think it is bad, no matter what. just more of the politics-before-everything that exists now.
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