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BehoId, The Underminer!
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Everything posted by BehoId, The Underminer!
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There are post 2024 reasons as well. You let a state go and it'll keep going.
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A daily conversation: "I'm thinking we should migrate." "But to where, sweetie?" "To a country we hate." "Not the US then. They have rules against that."
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Sounds like he understands it pretty well.
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I just looked at AZ 2020 and they have a crazy right wing county up near Las Vegas that completely undoes-and-then-some the Maricopa county D advantage. So it ends up being Tucson/Pima versus the rest of the state.
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That's San Fernando Valley.
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Bollocks, imo
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Straying quickly into jlaw.okay.gif-land
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Someone posted this the other day for NC which I thought was insightful. You can get a lot of insight from how an individual state will do if you know the overall national baseline to start from.
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edit: (i mean: " happened to align with the results of ONE group (biden votes).)
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seems to me there are two possible explanations. if something says, say biden 51 trump 44, and the final result is biden 51 trump 49, then either (1) js's theory that they nailed biden number but missed on all late deciders, or (2) they missed really bad. a 7 point lead ended up a 2 point win. it was happenstance that the bad miss on three groups (biden, trump, undecided) happened to align with the results of two groups (biden trump votes). seems to me that 2 is more likely. i just did the thatsbait.gif because he and i have discussed polls in opposite directions multiple times, and that was going to get me discussing it again.
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if you don't think there are fact/statistics to back up the polls missing in 2020, i've got very bad news for you.
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also, lulz at the 'you must really love trump' sign-off.
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i only respond to correct the record when obvious cheerleading pumps out disingenuous stuff. if that happens to always be your posts, well then ...
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thatsbait.gif. pick the worst polling year in 40 years and figure out how to say it was actually quite good,
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i switch my username every few years for the exact reason of mr robinson's bust, and my posts have never been 1/100th as controversial as his.
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Awesome.
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I forgot Robinson was the dude that was the subject of one of my favorite tweets.
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allegedly online nazi-esque comments by robinson
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I've always loved that clip because Jerry is such a bad actor you can tell when they are doing the first shoot and he really doesn't know the joke and when they are splicing in different takes.
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538 claims she is the favorite in NC. 53% chance of winning.
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Ol Johnny Reb, picnicking on the slopes of sunny Mount Rainier.
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god i hope not.
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you just need enough states to add up to 270 electoral votes to agree. the idea is those states all agree to pitch their ECs to whoever wins the national popular vote. doesn't matter what a single other state does outside of that group. problem is some pretty concerning constitutional issues are apparent to even a 1st year law student. i can send you mine.
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there's that state compact that people throw around that doesn't require a constitutional amendment.
