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swraith

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by swraith

  1. Griddy ERCOT customers getting shafted today.
  2. If you are on Griddy in ERCOT, tomorrow could be very....interesting. ERCOT Load Forecast ERCOT load forecast for 8/12/19....LF is >1000 mw higher than scheduled generation. Maybe more wind shows up or maybe more thermal generation shows up....or maybe the Load Forecast disappoints and load comes in lower. If none of those happens...real time pricing should see some real fireworks.
  3. So long Surly...Trump’s coming for you.
  4. Pretty sure if my lawn could talk...it would just mutter “don’t bother watering me...it’s too fucking hot regardless of how much water you give me...I just want to shrivel up and die”
  5. My kids basically refuse to go outside in this heat. Can’t blame them.
  6. ^^ He doesn’t give a shit. He knows the path he is on and isn’t going to change because a few local protestors.
  7. I was confused with the OP...thinking he was returning to delivering pizza. In that context...the whole post was gibberish. Not until I read some of the responses mentioning spades did I realize my error.
  8. Well this looks fun this morning.
  9. Enjoy your 1.7” 78757 got a whopping 0.16 inch.
  10. I welcome any and all rain at this.
  11. Doesn’t have quite the same gravitas as Moscow Mitch
  12. The Oak Hill project could be as wide as 12 lanes wide? Holy shit that is huge.
  13. Radio said 103 high at Camp Mabry today. That is a wee bit on the toasty side.
  14. Just back from a 9 day family vacation. I read about the cooler temps last week in Austin while away but the lawn looks roasted. Granted I don’t have an irrigation system but damn the yard is dry as fuck. Huge cracks in the clay soil. Lots of shriveled browning In the lawn. Started hand watering a bit this evening. Water just instantly disappears on the ground. Going to take a shit load of water to make a dent.
  15. ERCOT has no meaningful exports to other power grids. The multiple DC ties exist but their capacity is very small. This is what allows ERCOT to avoid FERC regulation. As such, MW generated basically equals the load consumption in ERCOT. Wind generators do not generate excess energy if the load can not consume it. ERCOT uses SCED to send price signals to all generators. Wind is going to be the last to backdown generation based on economics because their fuel cost is zero and their marginal cost of production is negative with the subsidies. So thermal generation is going to back down production before wind. The two exceptions to this will be 1) transmission constraint leading to significant negative pricing is wind generation heavy parts of the grid or 2) unsafe wind conditions that force with wind turbine operators to backdown the wind turn one to keep it safe. Capacity utilization factors for wind farms vary wildly based on their location. Think 20% to 40% annually. Some of the wind farms on the coast line may exceed those numbers to the high side.
  16. One can only hope.
  17. Basically it’s a permanent state of Hot War per your original post.
  18. Exactly this is not a both sides discussion. The schools action was way out of proportion with the violation. And they doubled down on stupid in rejecting the charity payoff. Those residents can decide if they should have new leadership of that school district.
  19. What is your proposal to make things change? You ask when people will wake up. It appears they are awake and actively choose to support continued deficit spending. How that plays out in 5, 20, or 50 years is open to debate...but the voting population clearly doesn’t care about those risks today. No political party supports deficit reduction...let alone debt reduction. The Tea Party appears impotent at this point. So Pepper, what do you propose to “wake people up”?
  20. I don’t think Boris will just accept the EU deal. I also don’t think he is going to delay Brexit. I anticipate him defying convention in some unexpected way that gets everyone’s panties in a wad. This brinksmanship behavior may lead the EU to offer an improved deal. It may also just lead to a crash out.
  21. The Democrats got their domestic spending...at least I am assuming they did...not having seen any actual legislation yet. What else specifically did you want the Democrats to accomplish?
  22. How are you imagining Trump not making it to Election Day ?
  23. I foresee many embarrassing events in UK near future. Boris said no UK intervention in Iran if the US does something. I can appreciate that sentiment from Boris. Of course that was before the Brits started losing tankers.
  24. Clickbait thread title. Lawyer defends his client for free and the frivolous complaint is withdrawn. The other recipients of complaints could also receive similar free services. The article is effectively a public shout out for the 14 potential clients to contact the author to receive free legal services. 1 potentially Canadian citizen attempting to abuse their legal system.
  25. They got it done and got the GOP on record.
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