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Dbeasy

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Dbeasy

  1. This whole update sounds like bullshit.
  2. Ya I was just telling my wife the story. They prematurely took off the shelter in place while the guy was still roaming the neighborhood, after shooting his accomplice and the cop. Thank goodness the homeowner loaded up when he heard the shelter in place message.
  3. Am I the only one who thought this was the guy who was shot?
  4. You say agree to disagree, but I stated above Biden was also to blame. So that means you believe Trump wasn’t also to blame. So using your own sources, here is the summary from them during Trump’s first Presidency. Why people don’t understand that inflation never shows up immediately, I’ll never understand. It’s completely obvious. 1. Lawrence Summers In 2020, Summers (former Treasury Secretary) cautioned that the Trump tax cuts (2017) plus emergency COVID stimulus created risks of overheating once supply recovered. He later (in 2021) became the loudest critic of excessive stimulus in the Biden era, but his warnings built on the idea that the U.S. had already primed the pump with Trump-era fiscal expansion. 2. Olivier Blanchard (former IMF chief economist) Blanchard warned in 2020 that the scale of COVID stimulus (Trump-signed CARES Act, $2.2 trillion in March 2020) was “larger than necessary” and could lead to inflation once demand rebounded. His point was that fiscal packages were not just relief, but also injected huge demand capacity. 3. Douglas Holtz-Eakin (former CBO director, conservative economist) Criticized Trump’s 2017 tax cuts and 2020 stimulus for dramatically increasing deficits without long-term growth offsets. He flagged the inflation risk, even if it didn’t show up immediately due to depressed demand in lockdowns. 4. Jason Furman (former Obama economic adviser, Harvard economist) Supported emergency spending in 2020 but also warned about lagged inflationary risks if fiscal and monetary policy stayed loose as the economy reopened. He noted that the Trump-signed relief checks and expanded unemployment benefits were unusually large compared to past crises. 5. Federal Reserve Voices While Jerome Powell (Fed Chair) emphasized in 2020 that the priority was stabilization, Fed minutes from mid-2020 reflected concerns that the size of fiscal stimulus under Trump could “eventually be inflationary” once bottlenecks cleared. Some regional Fed presidents (like Robert Kaplan of the Dallas Fed) flagged that a surge in government spending would likely push inflation higher in a delayed way. So like I said earlier, people need to stop blindly following “their team”. And you are one of the worst offenders of that. You are a smart enough person, like many others, to hold these politicians accountable for their behaviors, but why you don’t, I’ll never understand. When a politician is doing stupid things, it should be pointed out.
  5. Yes, except I would point out that the initial inflation that was so bad was caused by the trillions of dollars the Trump administration dumped into the economy during Covid, not Biden. It was the most egregious financial move in us history. Then Biden, rather than trying to rein it in more aggressively, let spending as a percent of gdp still remain too high. Trump in his second term, is making spending as bad if not worse than Biden. So we have two Presidents and three Presidencies that have caused these problems. People need to get educated and put a leader in office who is effective, Republican or Democrat , and quit being duped by disinformation.
  6. Wow. Finally caught up on the thread and it’s been interesting. I experienced the full range of emotions. Disgust. Confusion. Laughter. And Disgust. Based on that, I’ve completely revamped my top ten list of what constitutes a successful season for Texas. 10. Parker Livingstone makes SEC second team. 9. Parker Livingstone makes SEC second team 8. Parker Livingstone makes SEC second team 7. Parker Livingstone makes SEC second team 6. Parker Livingstone makes SEC second team 5. Parker Livingstone makes SEC second team 4. Parker Livingstone makes SEC second team 3. Parker Livingstone makes SEC second team 2. Parker Livingstone makes SEC second team 1. Parker Livingstone makes SEC second team
  7. I think most people have felt for awhile that the employment situation seemed worse than the reported numbers. I’ve certainly felt that way for about a year. But with that said, you do realize that there are 160 million people employed in the US, right? The unemployment rate is still not high, and these number adjustments are still relatively small on a large denominator. We haven’t even begun to see the types of job loss numbers you see in a recession. Those numbers are coming, though, because of the government policies being enacted. The economy is being driven into a ditch as we speak, and it’s not due to Fed policy. It’s a President looking for someone to blame. The BLS numbers have become the latest politicized topic for people to try and bolster their “team”. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.a.htm Rate cuts are definitely coming now, but too much too fast and the inflation problem that is already a problem (PPI 3%, etc) will become a serious problem. Oh, and the inconsistent tarriff policies, global foreign relations disasters, and other bad policies make it virtually impossible for the Fed to do their job. The problem is this President. Period. There is a reason this administration has been begging for rate cuts. They don’t care about inflation, and especially don’t care about the fact inflation is an incredibly regressive tax on the lower income populations. They care only about business growth for their wealthy donors and their own business interests. And there is a real chance he wants a recession so the wealthy can buy up even more of the country’s wealth during it. All this to say that the Fed has not been driving thru the rearview mirror, and I don’t think you’ve fully realized who this President is really working for.
  8. We had family in town last weekend. For those of us that punted our season tickets during Covid, does anyone stay during the game and watch it from the tailgate?
  9. Pretty interesting video. Survived a hellfire missile hit.
  10. Jesus. This is unbelievable. The US has become the Taliban. edit: what’s even more frightening is all the Aggie rubes supporting the firings on Facebook. Thousands of people.
  11. Dbeasy

    TexMex

    Eating here now. Pretty decent food, and the hot sauce is good too.
  12. So did I miss who won this? edit: clarifying for a particular rube that I’m talking about the score contest not the game.
  13. I tend to get overly critical of the Horns after games when they don’t play to their potential, but this thread is ridiculous. That game was not that bad. Grow a pair, pussies.
  14. Haven’t watched the whole game but when I have watched Mateer looks ok against an over-rated Michigan team. His running will give the Texas defense problems if they don’t use a spy.
  15. The game threads are intolerable. There is so much negativity. I see that some of that has leaked over here. It was a basic game against an inferior opponent and was never in doubt. So they didn’t look dominating. It was good enough.
  16. A very talented running back with great vision, decent speed, and nice escapability. And he will never see the field again. He just can’t hold onto the ball.
  17. Arch’s mobility and pocket awareness gives him a huge advantage over Ewers.
  18. Based on that the throw a few plays ago, it seems Arch may have an injured shoulder. He’s still throwing darts, but something’s up. That grimace was not normal.
  19. That was very concerning. It was like his shoulder is hurt.
  20. MVP? Longhorn Hall of Honor?
  21. Spreading sour cream on anything is one of the most annoying things ever. Whatever you use to spread, the sour cream will stick to it like a Velcro super glue fastener.
  22. I’ll just say it again. If they had bunted the runner over to second, instead of hitting into a double play, Altuve’s hit would have scored a run. I don’t believe the analytics these teams are using.
  23. Or some ill-booten gotty.
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