Dbeasy

I bought cabbage and smoked cheddar at the grocery store today.

Sorry, I’m not including anus involved beans.

For some reason my Netflix was frozen. Logged into thru Roku and it’s fine. Weird.

Why can’t I log into the fight?

I’d like to wager ten million dollars that Motown isn’t done.

Dammit I’ve had it with the coffee disinformation. The best coffee beans on the planet are grown IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA! The Kona region of Hawaii produces the best beans on the planet. Ethiopia, Colombia and a few other places are great too, but Kona is unmatched. Now, back to leopards.

This will be a great Leopard. GM, Ford and Chrysler put in significant effort to get Trump elected. Now Elon is using the withdrawal of the government EV tax credit to wipe out his competition. I expect Elon to pick up either Ford or GM for a big discount in the next few years, allowing him to paper over the inability of Tesla to create a consistent profit. He will have the hype of EV market sales leadership, combined with the steady profits from acquiring either GM or Ford. https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/trumps-transition-team-aims-kill-biden-ev-tax-credit-2024-11-14/

Does anyone else’s Victory+ feed freeze up occasionally? I have to exit the game and then re-renter it. Have had to do it four times so far.

Your history timeframe is pretty limited. We have not had a debt to gdp ratio this bad since world war 2. They ran inflation high for ten years to inflate away the debt. So the environment today is very different than the last 20 years. Now will this result in higher, lower, or the same mortgage rates for the next few years? No clue. I’m not saying you’re wrong, just that it would be wise to not automatically assume rates will come down significantly. Stagflation is also not an impossibility in the future.

Anything that enables fat Americans to lose weight I’m for. Sorry.

Alien dollar store balloons.

The esteemed Name-Based Recruiting Prognosticator (NBRP), me, is proclaiming that Littleton will be a solid contributor at Texas due to his name’s lyrical similarity to Carrington Byndom, also a solid contributor at Texas. Be on the lookout for my post signing day review of all Texas 2025 recruits, where I will project their success based solely on their names. This is science. You won’t find this type of quality content from a run of the mill 9.99 service.

What you failed to point out is that these balloons are alien balloons, not man made balloons! Wake up sheeple!

It's taken several days to recover from the shock that half this country elected one of the most vile, weak candidates in US history. Much like I did in 2016, I'm taking stock of having Trump as President to see if there is anything of value that he could deliver, given his first Presidency was nothing but a coattail ride on Obama and on the Republicans who cut taxes to artificially juice the markets, in exchange for nation-crippling debt levels. So let's take a look: 1. Republican action on deficit reduction/govt spending - yes, these toddlers having full control of the government is quite unnverving. However, because they refused to work with Democrats to solve problems from Obama forward, being the toddlers they are, maybe they will tackle the deficit with a plan that doesn't go too deep on cost-cutting and raises some taxes somewhere, somehow. I highly doubt it, but we will wait and see. The good news is that if they just cut taxes and balloon the deficit even more, or cut government spending too hard and fast, the economy will fall apart and a Democrat or moderate Republican will be President in 2028. 2. Republican action on Medicare and Social Security stabilization - same as above. Because they are toddlers who refuse to govern when not in control, maybe they will do something now that is only partially devastating to the aging, not fully devastating. At least it's not ignoring the problem, like they've done to date with a Democrat in the Presidency. 3. Healthcare - Obamacare is not perfect. Maybe they do replace it with something that works better. I highly doubt it because they have no plan and don't seem to want one, but there is room for improvement. Who am I kidding, there is no way this one becomes a positive. 4. Ukraine Foreign Policy - The US has been footing the bill for Ukraine, and even though a lot of that money goes back to US companies, maybe there is a solution there that doesn't involve the Ukraine being partially for fully taken over. I highly highly doubt it. But, it seems half of Americans don't care, which is amazing to me. 5. China Foreign Policy - I've been a huge critic of China for a long time and whether it's tariffs or something else, I'm all for developing some sort of improved relationship where the trade isn't so imbalanced and Taiwan doesn't get invaded. But in my opinion, nothing good will happen, just like nothing good happened during his first four years. I do think there is a nonzero chance China holds off on invading Taiwan until 2028+ because they probably do think Trump is an unhinged idiot who would launch a nuclear weapon, which he probably would. So that's a positive I guess. 6. Immigration - Biden was slow to do anything about immigration and Trump torpedo'ing the immigration bill was bs, but we do need to have more secure borders, so maybe this time they can do it without as many human rights violations? Doubtful, but we can hope. Unfortunately, all of the following will definitely get worse because he's President: 1. Hate speech and actions will continue to rise quickly. 2. Wealth inequality will soar, with billionaires becoming even more insanely wealthy 3. Other foreign relations will be a disaster; we will get no support anywhere in the world for anything 4. Women's rights will continue to erode substantially. 5. Separation of christian religion and state will erode substantially. 6. Palestinians could be substantially worse off. 7. Minority, LBGTQ rights will erode substantially. As I type this, I can't believe people voted for this. Nevermind, yes I can.

Trump reached out to every possible group he could: nationalists, racists, blacks, Latinos, etc. He said crazy shit to all of the various groups that should have alienated them, but didn’t. How? First, he simply acknowledged their existence. Harris ignored many groups, never mentioning them. Then, the Republican messaging focused on issues that generated massive emotional responses in the majority of people. For example, the Trans issue on women’s sports is a tiny minuscule issue, but it evokes massive emotions in people. It gets people off their couches and to the polls. So the combination of the right messaging with the relentless outreach to every possible group produced just enough voters, despite him being unfit for the office. Trump’s campaign manager is a veteran of multiple campaigns over many many years. You learn a lot through experience. https://ballotpedia.org/Chris_LaCivita Harris’ campaign manager had minimal experience. Throughout the campaign I thought she did a great job but I was completely wrong, because the messaging really appealed to me, someone who was already going to vote for Harris. She didn’t expand the tent enough using emotional messaging to a majority of the population. She hit certain segments only, like women and abortion rights. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Julie_Chávez_Rodriguez

Is the sound cutting out for others?

I learned during football season that you don’t need to have espn+ to watch the horns football game on sec+ IF you have Uverse. I’m wondering whether it will be the same tonight, since the game is on sec+ and not espn+.

Trying to watch the horns on espn sec+ network. It looks like o can see it because I have Uverse. Once I connect my Uverse to espn, I see sec+ content. If o switch to YouTube tv, will I still have access to sec+, or will I need to subscribe to espn+ to get it?

No one knows where rates are headed. No one. Yes, near term inflation looks good right now because the only number left high is shelter, which is a very lagging indicator. However, we are moving into a world that could be very different from the last 25 years. In addition we still have an inverted yield curve. At some point locking in 10-30 year rates needs to deliver financial value. If short term rates don’t drop as much as the bond market forecasts, 10-30 year rates may need to rise.

Am I the only one that envisions a perfect Thujone addition to this?

There are reasonable scenarios where a two loss Texas doesn’t make the playoff.

Agree. No one knows where the rates are headed. You have pressure upward with exorbitant government deficit spending offset by a potential recession. What makes it impossible to predict is the election of Trump. One one hand, a full Republican Congress and presidency would normally be very good for long term interest rates as they narrow deficit spending. Unfortunately, the current iteration of the Republican party is more about just tax cuts and inflationary Trump ideas, than normal Republican local policy. We will need to see the next six months shake out before understanding the ultimate direction of interest rates, unless a recession hits in 1Q.

Was watching my favorite movie Gladiator, and realized that in the first coliseum fight before anyone knew he was Maximus, one of the other prisoners called him Maximus. Dammit.

Texas 31 Arkansas 21 WR yardage 298

Incredible