At Friday's $94.20 close those restricted shares are worth about $14 million for each fund. Of course they can't realize that value now, and it’s possible that, six months after the merger closes, TMTG won’t have built a social network, everyone will be bored with this as a meme stock, and the price will have collapsed. I would not bet on that though.[3])
Also, I have to say, if I’m Donald Trump right now, I’m thinking about retrading. He sold something like 21% of his company for $293 million.[4] That 21% is now worth something like $3.4 billion.[5] None of that extra value is going to Donald Trump,[6] though of course if he owns the other 79% (who knows?) that’s now worth something like $12 billion. Some will go to the SPAC’s sponsors, and to the hedge funds who dumped the stock last week. Most of it will go to people — WallStreetBets retail investors, hedge-fund opportunists, etc. — who bought the stock shortly after the announcement and then watched it zoom up.
To be clear, that value is based on nothing, literally nothing at all; Trump Media & Technology Group’s assets appear to consist of a website and some plagiarized code that isn’t supposed to be live yet. Still Trump seems to have sold $3.4 billion of stock for $293 million and that’s gotta sting. Bloomberg News notes:
With the new media company’s valuation dwarfing the $875 million enterprise value agreed to by Trump, he may have been able to negotiate a sweeter deal. Terms of the agreement will need to be more fully disclosed and could still change before an agreement gets voted on by shareholders, an event that is probably months away.