HillaryFan420

Well they tried. This team just isn’t very good.

What are the odds he’s fired mid-season assuming we lose today -10%?

I think it's open to question his selection of Anderson over Castillo or one of their other relievers. However, while Anderson hadn't performed well in the post-season he was by far their best pitcher in the regular season and his stuff appears to be fine.

For one, you can't argue that a TTO penalty mysteriously doesn't apply to a given pitcher based off of a minute cherry-picked sample, particularly when his career numbers show that batters get better the more times they see him in a given game, just like any other pitcher. The same is true of the argument that Mookie Betts actually has a verse platoon skill (is better against opposite handed pitchers) based off of a tiny sample of platoon splits. No hitter has a reverse platoon skill! Such a thing literally doesn't exist as was shown by Tom Tango in his book years ago. Players can of course have reverse platoon splits but the variance in platoon skill amongst batters (unlike pitchers) is absurdly small to the point where it's pointless even worrying about them unless you're talking about a seasoned veteran with many thousand of PAs. Analytics is a lot more than citing stats. You have to understand what a stat of a given sample says about how a player is likely to perform in the future. If you don't understand these concepts then you won't have any idea as to which numbers tell us something about how likely something will occur in the future and which tell us fuck all. If you're interested in learning about this stuff then read this article a few times. You might learn why this video is so idiotic if you do. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/a-new-way-to-look-at-sample-size/#!parentId=5038052

I think it was definitely more than being arrogant that rubbed others the wrong way. Things like the Osuna trade (leveraging a DV incident to get a premium reliever on the cheap), having to be talked out of drafting a convicted child rapist, the tanking, the Brady Aiken affair, etc. Some of these things were pretty scummy while others were things that weren't that unreasonable or were things other orgs do themselves, but the totality of everything I think put a target on Luhnow's back. Luhnow did not seem to have a sense that it was dangerous for him to cultivate this reputation with GMs/owners of other orgs which is a shame because he would have been just as effective a GM had he held back a little bit.

He surely knew about codebreaker given that other teams were doing something very similar. I don't know if he really knew about the trash can banging. Luhnow strikes me as someone who would be fine with cheating as long as the reward outweighed the risk, and at least for the trash cans that wasn't the case.

This is the dumbest shit i've ever seen. This fucking idiot is using a 20 IP sample to argue that Snell, unlike every other pitcher in baseball, doesn't have a TTO penalty. Funny how if you look at his career numbers (a slightly larger 238 IP sample for TTO) his wOBA increases by nearly 70 points from the first time through the order to the third time through the order. This is not analytics, it's tardlytics.

A Jombtard video? Putting you on ignore.

The Rays were definitely not one of the best two teams. They have a very nice pitching staff (not as good as the Indians though) but their lineup is not very deep. Having Lowe and Meadows be ineffective crippled them.

I think Kelly was more pissed about the players ratting on Cora than anything.

A part of what got the Rays to the World Series in the first place on a shoe string budget was a commitment to their process. Snell hadn't even pitched into the 7th in the entire season. It would also be one thing if Snell's stuff was better than it ordinarily is, but his velo was already declining at that point in the game. When you look at his pitches and their locations in the 5th he was actually pretty lucky to get out of that inning without getting hit hard - couldn't get his breaking pitches or his changeup down. He also only had one swinging strike in the 5th and 6th. It would have been managerial malpractice to keep him in the game in that situation.

At most you can quibble about going with Anderson over another RHP reliever but taking out Snell was the right call. The pussy move would have been to keep him in knowing that if he blows up nobody questions you. It takes guts to make a move you believe is correct knowing that if it doesn’t work out you’re going to take loads of shit for it form the hoopleheaded media.

He’s pitched all of 14 innings in the postseason and his stuff was fine. It’s not like Snell has been much better in the postseason - each are over .330 xwOBA in the playoffs. With all of the information before him at the time Cash made that decision it was the right call. Making a decision based on your gut is just gambling - sometimes it works sometimes it doesn’t.

Pitchers are hot until they get hit and if you can tell beforehand when that moment will come then you’re better than any manager in the history of the game.

The thing about replacing Snell with Anderson is that it was the right move irrespective of the result. I like that Cash had the balls to make that move.

I’m surprised they didn’t try to freeze Wendle with a slider in the zone. May got lucky on they one.

Shit is borked.

I think he gets a lot of unnecessary shit from dumbass Dodger fans but bringing Baez out in the 7th was really stupid. Might end up costing him his job if they choke this series away against a clearly inferior team.

Between that play and the first three games of the ALCS it’s like we’re in a simulation that has preordained the Rays as WS champs. Like you could be tied with them in the bottom of the 9th and your clean up hitter could hit a ball 120 mph at 28 degrees and it would hit a pigeon in center and fall into the CF’s glove.

Pitchers, particularly relievers, are allowed to make hitters miss the ball entirely.

The winning run wasn’t. But giving up a base hit to Brett Phillips is inexcusable. Jansen just isn’t very good anymore. A decent but unremarkable reliever at this point in his career.

Lmao. Jansen is washed.

Lmao. Jansen is washed.

Aroz has to be kicking himself for letting them sneak that first pitch cutter across.

Arozarena blast incoming.