Everything posted by DanRydell
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S&P+ rankings: Overperformance or overcorrection?
It is? The difference between the 30th best team and the 44th best team in most systems is going to be about a field goal.
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Arkansas fires Chad Morris
Yeah, I meant as coach. They finished ranked twice when he was QB, so that’s be 9/14.
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Arkansas fires Chad Morris
He signed an extension a few days ago where he's now making $4.6m per year and he has to pay Minnesota a $10 million buyout if he leaves in the next 14 months.
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Arkansas fires Chad Morris
Their AD revenues are over $40m per year more than Oklahoma State's. They made the Sugar Bowl in 2010 and finished ranked #5 in 2011. It's certainly not an elite program where you can compete for national titles year in and year out but it's not a worse program than Oklahoma State, which is really only a decent program because of Mike Gundy (7 of the 14 times they've finished a season ranked were under Gundy).
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The Irishman. It's coming.
I saw it at Alamo South Lamar
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The Irishman. It's coming.
Saw it this afternoon. It was very good but holy shit that was a long time to be sitting in the theater. The de-aging effects look pretty good but there are times it takes you out of it because the actors still move around like they’re senior citizens. In particular there’s a scene where DeNiro beats up a guy that looks terrible because his kicks and punches look like an 80-year-old.
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The Lighthouse
Well that was about as weird as it was boring.
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Parasite
Saw it at Alamo this morning. Excellent.
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November 2019 Election - Austin Metro Edition
God I wish we would give up on that dumbass idea.
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Terminator 27: Dark Fate -- Nov 2019
Mackenzie Davis? She’s like six feet tall and seemed fairly similar in size to Gabriel Luna.
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Terminator 27: Dark Fate -- Nov 2019
Went to Alamo tonight for what was billed as a free screening of Terminator 2. Turned out to be a surprise premiere of Dark Fate. Really solid action movie. Some 80's corniness (in dialogue and some of the acting) but much more reminiscent of the first two movies that all the rest.
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Disney+ (Disney's new streaming service)
I was hoping Sports Night would be on it. Sucks that isn't streaming anywhere.
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Surly lawyer help
The paid and incurred medical damages are $2,200 in that scenario. It's any amount paid, regardless of source, and any amounts the provider can still contractually recover.
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S&P+ rankings: Overperformance or overcorrection?
While the final line is not a pure scoring predictor, I was comparing them because the final line finishes basically every year as having the smallest absolute error of the many different systems tracked by ThePredictionTracker.com. http://www.thepredictiontracker.com/ncaaresults.php?year=18
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S&P+ rankings: Overperformance or overcorrection?
Generally speaking, an average error of 8.6 is quite impressive. Over the 2018 season, the final Vegas line for all FBS v. FBS games had an average error of 12.65. That said, Texas has played insanely close to the line so far this year, with an average error of 4.1, so in that context, a system with an average error more than 2x greater than the line probably doesn’t have Texas all that pegged.
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S&P+ rankings: Overperformance or overcorrection?
SP+ agrees with that, no? The stat attributes recovering more or less than 50% of fumbles to luck, it doesn't attribute causing more or less fumbles to luck.
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S&P+ rankings: Overperformance or overcorrection?
https://www.fromtherumbleseat.com/2014/7/7/5868733/intro-to-football-analytics-fumble-recoveries-are-random
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Lawyer Rec
Marty Cirkiel is great for Austin area and does some statewide work. Susan Soto is probably the go-to for the Houston area.
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2019 Chicago Cubs Thread
I like Ross and think he could be a good manager but I could also foresee problems in managing guys that he was friends and teammates with.
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NL WC: Brewers @ Nats, 7 Central, TBS
You just hate it when things don’t work out for class guys like Hader and Braun...
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2019 MLB thread
I don’t know why the Brewers don’t throw this game already. Just intentionally walk a guy and balk three times.
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medical lawyer
I meant it may not be worth it to the lawyer due to the time and costs involved. TwiceHorn did a good job of explaining why.
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medical lawyer
I know Laura Sharp in Austin does MedMal. Unfortunately without any economic damages really, it may not be worth a lawyer's time and costs.
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Auto Accident Liability
Is there a particular reason you're concerned about your liability? Your auto liability insurance will cover any wreck, whether its an action against your son (assuming your son isn't excluded from the policy) or against you for negligent entrustment. Unless you own real property other than your residence, pretty much anyone injured by your son would settle for the policy limits (plus any umbrella policy) anyway because the vast majority of people are judgment proof.
- BB21
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