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DanRydell

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Everything posted by DanRydell

  1. If you’re trying to project how those teams will perform moving forward, yes.
  2. I think that’s fair. They’re all roughly top 30-40 teams with wildly disparate levels of luck.
  3. It was clearly offensive PI. What a screw job.
  4. There have been at least two armed uprisings in the last four years. Trump pardoned those involved.
  5. DanRydell

    Timeless

    2-hour finale movie to air on NBC on December 20 per Abigail Spencer's instagram
  6. I was just counting Stratford and adjacent areas and had forgotten about basically all of Davenport being in Austin so you may well be right.
  7. While there are certainly fewer of them than Rollingwood or West Lake Hills residents, there are also City of Austin residents who live on the Westlake side of the bridge.
  8. To be fair, it seems like they’re mostly complaining about the screeching that comes from trains going around that turn, not just the normal train noise.
  9. He's been on Football Outsiders and had his own Football Study Hall vertical on SBNation for near a decade now. He's also had a podcast for a few years now. He's doing fine for himself.
  10. The Secret Service is a left wing conspiracy?
  11. I really wanted to love this but holy hell that was a boring 2.5 hours
  12. I don’t think regular S&P+ even knows whether you won or lost a game, let alone by how much. It simply knows how you played within that game. And it ignores all data while the game is in garbage time. So for your Bama-Ole Miss example, it would never even know the second half of that game occurred.
  13. The reason seems pretty straightforward...
  14. Jontay Porter tore his ACL in a scrimmage today. That family is snake bit.
  15. Saw this today. It was excellent. And his girlfriend is gorgeous.
  16. Is this really more uncomfortable than when they ask you to sign a receipt with a tip line on it?
  17. Who are you arguing with? Nobody is advocating for requiring coverage of pre-existing conditions without requiring everyone to be insured except for Republicans who are lying and have no actual intention of protecting people with pre-existing conditions.
  18. S&P+ actually projects 7-2 as the most likely Big 12 record for Texas (34% probability) with 6-3 second most likely (31% probability). https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQ2e9xV7-ClihFVJ3kla0ZDxzFCQ7-WXvQRur-nK6gOzo333PqSetw52kEGgbXKb6viGZSbYuJugvRR/pubhtml# The author of that tweet simply gave each team a win or loss based on the projected winner of each game, which ignores that having a 5% chance to win and a 48% chance to win are extremely different.
  19. Yeah, that’s how representative democracy works. There are 149 Texas House members, 30 Texas State Senators, 434 US House members and 98 US Senators who have no reason to care what I want. Them’s the breaks.
  20. To be clear, while S&P+ has Texas as underdogs in the next 3 games (42.5% vs. OSU, 41.8% vs. WVU, 48.6% vs. Tech), it is not predicting Texas losing 3 in a row as the most likely result. In fact, it has Texas going 2-1 or 3-0 as being more than twice as likely as Texas going 0-3. For the next 3 games, it gives the following probabilities for Texas: 0-3 - 17.2% 1-2 - 41.3% 2-1 - 32.8% 3-0 - 8.6%
  21. The model is not intended to measure which team has had the better season. It's intended to measure which team will be better next week.
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