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Had Enough

Certifiably Surly
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Posts posted by Had Enough

  1. What in the fuck are you trying to do with this post? Instill hope through logic and data? You're a heartless bastard.

    I’m not sure I can answer that question. I’m fully aware it will do nothing to lessen the whining of some. Maybe it makes me feel better. The data does provide interest. To me anyway.

    But damnit I’m hopeful. That’s the path I’ve chosen.
    • Hook 'Em 2
  2. LL team won tonight 4-2 to move into first place after five games. My youngest had a great game with a double and an in the park homer. He is on a tear this season.
    Through five games here are his stats hitting:
    14 plate appearances
    .857 AVG
    ,857 OBP
    2.357 OPS
    1.50 SLG
    12 Hits
    5 singles, 3 doubles & 3 triples
    Been fun coaching him, watching him get after it.

    Little punk needs to learn to take some pitches and draw a walk every now and then. Young, undisciped hitters are the worst.
    • Haha 1
  3. Tigers. But man, looking back on it. That 2020 season would’ve been a blast with who we had on staff. Add Zubia, Faltine, Kennedy, Silas, Ellis, healthy DJ, Hodo, Williams, Powell and even lance Ford could’ve given us some solid innings. That’s the real tragedy of Covid…..

    You went back in time for this one. I had to go back to reread.

    I don’t think 14-3 or whatever it was was luck.

    Pierce annoys me some, but he’s proven quite a bit. And I think some of his annoying decisions are because he’s trying different things in an attempt to find what works.
    • Hook 'Em 1


  4. Texas is 3-2 in its last five vs Kansas with only one win by more than a TD. No one on this roster has a career point differential of more than +8 vs Jayhawks.

    It’s a more competitive series than OU. Put some respek on that name.

    Yeah, not surprising.

    Sark and Strong may have lost to Kansas, but Mack and Tom got bailed out by late QB heroics to win too. Case McCoy did what Beuchele couldn’t. And well Sam had the ball last whereas Casey did not. Those too showed flaws in where we are/were as a program. All within the past 10 years. Strong blew them out once. Herman won in less than impressive fashion once. I don’t even remember the rest.
  5. Is Sark familiar with the Streisand effect? His response just got Ojomo's comments much more attention than they otherwise would have gotten.
    Also LOL at the two most obvious sunshine pumpers here immediately falling over themselves to agree with Sark. Never change.

    Dang. I need to try harder.


    10 WINS


    -Improved QB play.
    -2nd year in the system. But also, the most consistency in the same system in a long time. I think this helps the D more than other people do. It’ll help the Oline as well.
    - We’ve added talent at places that needed it - QB, WR to help now. And lots of young talent that may help some now at OL and DL.
    - our Big 12 competitors lost quite a bit
    - we always whip Kansas the year after they scare/beat us (I don’t really know that but maybe).
    - Ovie gets it together. He won’t be a pass rusher extraordinaire, but his consistency on the edge in the run game improves a great deal.
    - The DBs make half their tackles/sacks when put in position to make plays in the backfield as opposed to 10% last year.
    - Bert Auburns hair.

    There’s some sunshine. I can come up with more, if needed.
    • Haha 2
  6. This Mims guy. It was mentioned up thread that he came from a small school, one that ran it a lot.

    Read an article or two from the Georgia perspective. He only played 8 games last year. In January there was some question about whether he might move inside for playing time. Ironically another 5 star olineman from Georgia hit the portal per one of these articles highlighting the point that not all 5 stars hit sooner rather than later.

    How much further along is he than Kelvin Banks at this point? And more specifically in the pass game.

  7. Missed the entire game and just watched a recap. Did we really not sell out our home opener? There were so many empty seats.

    Not sure, but the opener did change from Yankees to Rockies and from Thursday to Monday.
  8.  I keep seeing we had good YPC, and the o'line was improving as the season went on.
    That's good but I think the most important thing for an offensive line is being able to get the 1 or 2 yards needed for a 1st down when the opponent knows you are going to run.
    Don't think we've been very good at that.
    I don't have any stats to back that up other than my drunken memory of many failures trying to make short yardage first downs.  
     

    802b6f89ba6419c30b28161d363baeb4.png


    Ranked #43 in Power Success Rate, which is 3rd/4th downs less with 2 yards or less to go resulting in 1st or TD.
    • Hook 'Em 5
  9. Shon Mitchell was a much more polished and better RB than K Rob. Just stop

    Was he? But go ahead and quote me how Mitchell had over 1,000 yards more than Robinson has to date. Almost 200 yards were against 1995 SMU. Another 100+ was when we scored 71 versus OSU. He played Rice once. 14-44. Pretty sure his best year was against SWC defenses. Wow.

    I do/did like Mitchell. FYI, my comment had some lighthearted intent. As was my original post. At the same time, it’s certainly consideration for being reasonable. When your top 4 rushers average 5.8 or better, with a supposedly a terrible Oline then the backs must be doing something good.

    Robinson was recruited by current day Alabama. That says something. If you think Mitchell would, then ok.

    Perhaps Mitchell’s best attribute was his speed/quickness. Robinson’s best attribute is his speed. I would put money on Robinson to be faster.

    Mitchell’s role, if he were on this team, would be similar to Robinsons. He’s not taking carries from Bijan and probably not Roschon. In that role, yes, I’d take Keilan.

    Keilan is our #3 back that largely serves a role. He is as talented as anyone we’ve had for that role except for maybe a Ramonce Taylor.
  10.  

    I’ll take production. So for our current group only one has produced here. He only produced for a year. Too. This group has not touched several other groups in production. My statement on production in no way conflicts with my initial statement on talent of the current 3.

    There was never a definitive statement from me stating they were the most talented 3-some. Only that they could/might be.

    But Worthy is awfully talented. Only Roy Williams is a definitely a more gifted talent than him. Neyor is somewhat TBD, but he checks the boxes. Whittington is damn talented too as a #3.

    There’s certainly several groups historically that can be discussed in a top tier, and this is one of them.



    In looking back at my statement, I did not intend to mean top 3 talents ever but rather the collective talents of the top 3 WR corp on any given team. If that was not the direction others took it.
  11. yeah I’ll take ricky williams and priest holmes. though bijan and rojo can compete for 2nd place. 

    Just wait til RoJo adds a little passing to his repertoire this year.

    And I’d consider Rickey and Priest a pair not a group. I did like Shon Mitchell, but he’s a poor man’s Keilan Robinson.

    We’ve been fortunate to have a lot of greatness at that position.

    Just run with a bit of positivity for awhile.
  12. Whittington has more upside than the #1 overall WR recruit in the nation in his class? 
     
    200.gif

    Did he produce to that ranking in college? Post college? From Day 1, Roy was better. And what collection of geniuses rated him higher than a 10.5, 25 foot long jump, large WR? If guys were retailed after college, I’m not sure BJ was top 50.

    BJ was the #2 guy. I’d say the transfer is #2. He could be considered a better athlete. So that’d pit Whittington versus Thomas as #3. I’d choose Whittington, the moron that I am.

    In the end, I’ll take production over ability. That’s what we need.
  13. Lol. Roy had about 180 less yards on 20 less catches as a Fr.
     
    And Ship/Quan also had Limas as well.
     
    This isn’t the most talent top 3 WR TEXAS has ever had. It was idiotic hyperbole.
     

    Quan had production and a hell of a resume but didn’t get drafted. We’d all take him on the team every year. Size was a limiting factor. He wasn’t drafted due to his athletic profile. Shipley also would fit on any team we’ve had, but is he more talented than Worthy? Now, M. Williams was the most physically gifted but was sporadic when he played. Limas was gone before those guys got their run. I would take this group over Williams, BJ and Thomas. And I hold Roy in very high regard.
  14. BJ Johnson and Sloan Thomas (at their collegiate peaks) would be instant starters on this team.


    Yeah, I was hyping it up.

    But these guys actual play making skills was over rated. Roy was something else.

    And not all their fault, but we did only score 3 points versus OU one time with them playing. That may have been the game Johnson had nothing but green pastures with only Matt McCoy to stop him. The tackle was made easily.

    Obviously the issue with Whittington is health, but he’s got more upside than either of those guys.
  15. It does also look like the majority of the dings come from hits, pressures and sacks, which are all a part of pass blocking which we know is weaker than our run blocking.
    Kinda like Football Outsiders referenced, line yards in the run game was a favorable stat for us last year.



    Yep, yep.

    The Football Outsiders shows our Stuff Rate is favorable in the run game. Our run metrics ranked considerably better than Michigan State. I use them for several reasons - comparable back who broke lots of tackles, a poor defense, and a better record.

    Our pass pro struggled more so in early downs. Some of that had to do with pulling guys who didn’t quite get there or simply missed. Codaxx May be on to something too with more RPO and less traditional play action. If we’re truly better at WR, that should help pass pro too with more open options and open sooner too.

    We’ll miss Kerstetter more in pass pro than the run game. I’d guess at RT with Jones we’ll be better at the run game but downgrading in the pass. Then Jones is the worst LT ever so no way Banks/Williams could be worse. And you can find help with a TE or RB cause can’t no team cover Worthy/Neyor/Whittington.

    QB is the key for the offense. Then health of the Oline and WR group. This may be the best RB group we’ve ever had. It’s quite possibly the most talented top 3 WRs we’ve ever had. TE and QB have as talented of players that we’ve had. I’d expect 3 contributors of the frosh olinemen - as talented a group of olinemen that we’ve had.

    Raining sunshine.
    • Haha 1


  16. Personally, I think our OL hopes and dreams ride on Kelvin Banks. That's not a great spot to be.
    The interior should be ok. Angilau is reliably above average. Conner showed some alright stuff that makes me think he can be serviceable. Majors has always done some things really well but been hampered by deficient core strength and weight. Year three or four has always been my timeline for him since his flashes as a freshman, so hopefully Kyle Flood locks him in the weight room with hourly protein shake deliveries. He's probably still a year away though. 
    Shit gets real looking at tackle. Jones and Karic are a bit depressing. We can probably figure something out at RT between those two and someone from Campbell/Neto/Cam. LT is an entirely different story. There's a very specific play where Jones got pantsed that haunted my nightmares for awhile but I've managed to repress that shit deep down. The flashbacks are gone but the sour taste remains every time I take a sip of the koolaid. I don't really see a fix there unless Banks can play there. He doesn't need to be a worldbeater, just freshman Vahe/Williams/Kerstetter level. 
    We had some shitty lines under Herman but at least we had Conner Williams and Sam Cosmi to anchor us at LT. And when we didn't due to injury, it got ugly. 



    That’s interesting stuff.

    I’d say Vahe as a frosh is not a good example as he’s in Jones’s range from last year. Also Jones went from right to left and improved his negative plays percentage all the while playing in a new offense. Unfortunately for him, he never mastered RT so that switch was more difficult.

    I will say at quick glance the yearly comparisons probably do not match the Football Outsiders stats. Last years run blocking was top 2 since 2014. The pass blocking stats from last year were comparable to many of the prior years. I’d dare say we played against better defenses last year than many years too.

    Now, I counted only 15 sacks attributed to the line for Dunlap so how does that compare to prior years.
  17. I didn’t calculate BABIP, but Faltines has to be the highest so you’d think his average and OBP will come down relative to the guys that aren’t hitting well thus far.

    Actually looking at Faltine, his BABIP is .500. That’s unlikely to continue so if that comes down, he needs to be better at putting it in play.

    But the lead off guy needs to be most likely to get on base as they’re guaranteed to get the most ABs. And in theory power is less important because they’re least likely to bat with runners on.

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