Had Enough

The single best way to control the game is to not only score the TD first but go for two. If that happens you control the remainder of the game. If you’re convinced the other guy goes for two if you possess it first, then it’s marginal difference in the two point play whether your offense or defense. I do believe most teams feel confident their O can convert the two. So let your O be the first to go for it. There is absolutely nothing to say the team getting the ball first cannot play similarly as though they get it last. You can pretty easily do that once you hit midfield or so. So again 4th and 4 on the KC 9, go for it. If you miss it, they still have to travel 50 yards to get a 68% chance of Butker kicking the winner. Imagine the hell Shanahan gets foregoing that FG. But that was probably the worse decision in OT from a retrospective look.

It was a reasonable decision. Once the game progressed his decision to go on 4th and 4 at the Chiefs 9 was questionable but not indefensible. At that point, you’re trading 56 yards to get into FG range versus 75 for the TD when the Chiefs get the ball. Once the Chiefs passed the 49ers 35 on their actual possession, the Chiefs are likely to kick the FG on anything more than 4th and 2 to tie. The biggest factor that I don’t think was known until later was that the Chiefs go for 2 if they score. All this was decided knowing that KCs only TD was a 16 yard possession so there are a considerable number of factors in taking the ball first.

He was considered a tweener. If you look at his combine numbers, they were respectable for speed/agility from what I recall.

Sorry for talking football. Perhaps a bit of a tangent and too many words, but it’s a daily struggle to find ways to be unproductive at work. So here I am annoying the hell out of others. But back on topic. JJ sucks and was the beneficiary of his stellar teammates and coaches. He’s destined to be a bust at the next level.

Nm

Mecole was not on the Chiefs in the preseason so obviously his team at that time didn’t prep either. Or he missed that day. My guess is that had Shanahan known Reid goes for 2 he might choose differently. His initial thought, which would be sound, is that worst case we both score TDs. More possessions trumps 4 down territory cause 4th and 5 from the 49ers 25 the Chiefs probably tie it.

Semantics I suppose. Again my original point was that Purdy had some good skill talent around him with the centerpiece being Hall even though I didn’t say that specifically. With Hall you have a bit of proof at the NFL level that says he’s a 3 down back. If you read draft profiles, he was viewed differently then than Corum is now. The stats and projections reflect doubts that Corum is a 3 down back although I’m sure he’d be fine. Halls start in the NFL supports that his talent was worthy of a high pick and that he’s effective in the run and pass game. It wouldn’t surprise me if Corum becomes a pro bowl type player. It would surprise me if he caught 75 passes in a season. In college, Halls yards per carry trended upwards. Corums went the other way. Hall caught 45% more passes at 9 yards per catch versus 7.3 per catch. Rushing TDs, yards per carry were the same or in the same ballpark. All with the assumption that UMs Oline was better. You can also go into PFFs database and see that Hall broke more tackles/forced missed tackles in total but on a per carry/touch basis too. I think Corums worst year was 2023 in that regard same as his yards per carry. Ignore whatever you like, but I bet only one of us played RB in college. Thats a joke. For the most part anyway.

Which begs the question about Mahomes parents. They never get shown. Where are they?

I would assume the clocked is needed to switch ends of the field too after completion of the quarter. Not necessarily a huge deal here but if played outdoors or in some dome in which kicking is more difficult, it could matter. Again an assumption, but the clock runs just as though it’s another full game.

What you are underestimating is the ability of many a coach to screw things up. So for that Mahomes is lucky. Reid’s damn lucky to have him. Super Bowl wins and stats are overvalued when it comes to greatness. When the Bucs beat the Chiefs, I thought Mahomes made incredible plays, but his receivers dropped two TDs - hit them in the head. When the Chiefs lost to the Bengals, the OT interception hit Tyreek in the damn head. Yesterday, Mahomes was effective largely the last two drives. That only happens because the D keeps the 49ers in check. So many things matter when winning and losing. Mahomes is the best QB there’s been. If he blows out both knees in game 1 next year, that is how he should be remembered.

I don’t. Mahomes is great, but their defense won this postseason. Just like the Bucs won theirs. Manning’s Broncos D won theirs. If you’re into stats, check out Burrows versus the Chiefs to get them into the Super Bowl. Then check out Purdys versus the Packers and last night. Even the run game stats, sacks. Then consider the narratives of the QBs after those games.

What about damn near knocking over his old ass coach on the sideline?

You can likely make this argument for virtually anyone in the game of football. Environment, culture and scheme have everything to do with an individuals success and often failures.

I used the goalline as an example because at some point Corum had 20 rushing TDs or thereabouts from the 5 yard line and in. Corum has 58 career rushing TDs. Hall had 50 career rush TDs. And UMs Oline puts ISUs to shame right? If so, that means Corums job is easier. But are you saying Corum is undoubtedly better at the goalline? I’ve never said Hall was significantly above Corum in shit. But based on available information, it’s within reason to say Hall is the better overall player. It’s also reasonable to say you can be comfortable with Hall in your backfield in any situation - short yardage, 3rd and long, 1st and 10, two-minute.

Just remember a team ERA of 4.00 is good.

We probably had more pressure than they did against us, but Penix made several guys miss. There are numbers that support this. Michigan had 23 pressures on 53 dropbacks. We had 20 on 39 dropbacks. Burke and Murphy missed. Penix was 10-13 (77%) beyond 10 yards. Pressure or not that’s a very high rate. Very late in the season QE had the highest completion % in the country on intermediate routes (10-19 yards). He was at 71%. For a full season, you’d be hard pressed to find many QBs that hit 60% beyond 10 yards. QE was 58%. Your Heisman winner was at 63% at that range because he was incredible at the deep ball. Caleb W 55%. Drake M 51%.

Based on what? There’s been considerable discussion about the secondary coaches not being his selections and also dissatisfaction with those guys. Obviously, there’s an attempt to upgrade the secondary as they let two former starters walk. Those seem to be indicators a bit beyond his control. At least one metric of performance had our defense ranked higher than the offense ( DFEI-7th/OFEI-17th). We played 4 top 10 offenses, 1 top 10 defense. UW was 6th in offense, 26th in defense. Critique of the Sugar Bowl leans heavily towards the D but the offense is at least equally at fault. Not only do the stats say the UW offense is clearly more effective than their defense, but the NFL mocks/scouting reports are indicating that as well. 5 offensive guys in the top 75 or so and 1 defensive guy. A 6th offensive guy is anywhere from a 3rd to 6th round projection. And the flip side is that we have 3 top 45 or so pass catchers, the banged up top RB (didn’t even start our first game) against our two DTs. You’d be hard pressed to find any Texas opponent ever with a 3 deep WR corp, a QB, and pass protecting Tackles drafted as high as this group. These aren’t freshmen projecting greatness in the future. They’ve done it. Unfortunately Penix was on and it didn’t matter that our strength was Sweat/Murphy. There’s no reason for us to fall off. The offense should be able to bury some teams. They only did that to OSU this year. If the offensive line is to maul guys, next year is it.

Damn bandwagoner waitlisters. Not only would you not take tickets at a discounted price in the down times you’re going to cost us true fans more in the good times.

I’m anti Cowboys, but I thought this dude was special. Underrated.

I aspire to be like HenryJames every day.

It won’t answer your question but you got me curious. From PFF, they track big time throws and turnover worthy plays. Purdy 2018 - 20 to 11 2019 - 21 to 20 2020 - 13 to 17 2021 - 11 to 13 On a percentage basis his freshman year was easily the best year of big throw which was 2-3 times higher than his last two years. Also, 2018 his deep ball completion % was 54% and 41% in 2021. His junior year was his lowest at 33%. I’d assume any early mocks are before NFL people fully evaluate and start weighing in. There are quite a few QBs with hardware that had limited looks in the NFL so that doesn’t necessarily correlate.

1989 is the ultimate gut punch. And I largely just followed that team through the AAS.

You’re arguing against points I didn’t make. Reading the posts prior to my initial point would lead one to believe Purdy was playing with junior high 7 on 7 scrubs. I even referenced skill guys in my initial post then referenced the ISU Oline may not have been good in the second post. Not good is not an endorsement and certainly not a comparison to UM. Forever and always UM is able to recruit and stack better talent than ISU. The advent of NIL and the portal make that gap wider. Got it. Haven’t disputed it. And having Harbaugh says a great deal too since he’s one of few to achieve at the NFL and college level. I have not argued depth at RB either. Hall is damn good. Run game, pass game, short yardage, big plays. He’s shown abilities in all that. That’s not to say that Corum isn’t better at the goalline or that Edwards can’t beat Hall to the end zone from 70 yards out, but individually they have not shown yet they can do all those things to the level of Hall. What I would argue that on any given play I’d feel equally, if not more comfortable, with Hall on the field than the UM guys. The 5 touches per game that allowed Hall to rest - I go with whatever UM runs out there. I’m not making any argument on behalf of JJ which seems to be what gets you fired up. And I’m not knocking Purdy in any respect either. I find joy in the last pick of the draft being a QB that may win the Super Bowl so the rest of the league can wonder how they missed. And not realizing it’s more about the organization from the top down than any one player.

I was merely interjecting that ISU had some solid offensive weapons with Purdy. NFL caliber type dudes. UM can go multiple RBs deep. ISUs depth doesn’t matter when Hall is getting damn near all the run. Yes, there’s value in depth but play for play Breece Hall was the best of those teams. Kolar/Allen are comparable to UM TEs. Some decent WRs. ISU will never match the depth of a Michigan consistently, but ISU doesn’t use depth so I look to their every down contributors.

I was thinking Kolar and Hall came out the same year and Hutchinson was still there. ISU was modestly above .500 his last year. Chase Allen was there too. Now, I think there a Oline may not have been good his final year. Early mocks are likely based on stats, team results. When it came time to evaluate, I’d assume teams weren’t wild about his arm. Probably question some decision making. There’s a ton of data available these days so the counting stats aren’t very useful. And it’s so much about the environment. QB is the most important player but also the position most reliant on everyone else. Teams get a Justin Fields hoping he can will them to victory, but it’s all about working within your system/environment to give the best chance at victory. That’s the reason I’m hopeful Caleb Williams falls on his face. Purdy is driving the bus but also throws in some excellence too, which is what you alluded to above.