Obviously, I'm very late to the discussion above. It's a good one and fair.
When a woman makes an accusation of rape against a prominent athlete, the results will be terrible no matter which way the truth falls. Either the woman was raped and is now being toasted under public scrutiny (terrible) or the man is falsely accused and will rarely escape the stigma (also terrible).
I recall a QB named Sanchez at USC who we wanted and who seemed exemplary in just about every way. He was accused. In that case, I don't think the accusation held up.
See? I recall the accusation and am only pretty sure it was invalid. The incident is tied to his name even now by a college football fan (me) who is pretty sure he came out okay.
I lean strongly towards the woman's side at the moment of accusation because, if true, she needs support. It's such a betrayal on those occasions when the accusation is false and makes it harder for actual victims.
Again, compliments on the dispassionate analysis.