Everything posted by 956 Worldwide
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Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
I admittedly don’t bet on this but I think it’s more likely it’s SOP to shut it down a set time before the rankings start getting released.
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Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
I agree, and at the same time a 16 seed will never win March Madness or likely even get to a FF. But we really like the fun of giving them a shot and no one wíll argue their presence makes that tourney worse. We go nuts when they win just one.
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Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
Here is how to read it. And I caution you at using betting odds as a proxy for probability when it comes to something like the CFP committee decision. Remember: they want to balance books. A (-) implies favorite. A common very slight favorite is -110. You must bet 110 dollars to win 100. Your total payout would be 210: Your original 110 back plus 100. A slight dog would be +110. You bet 100 to win 110. Your payout is 210: Original 100 plus 110.
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Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
A bookie wants the money to be even on both sides of a bet. They don’t make money by picking winners. They make money via the fee (vig) for placing a bet. Ideally, half of their customers bet one way and half another way and they collect their fees. They want long term income and not big payday. When too much money comes in on one outcome, they will lower the odds for the popular bet and increase the odds for the less popular to attract more money there and balance the books. Vegas wants more people betting on UT to miss the playoff, so it’s increasing the payout for betting that way.
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Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
Boise/OU, Utah/Bama, NIU/ND…I mean this happens all the time and it’s great when it does. It is harder in the transfer/NIL era, and enforced G5 apartheid makes it worse. The transfer rule is another parity and excitement killing development.
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Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
My point is extremely simple: if you like football as a sport, you want to maintain a healthy pipeline and youth participation. A key to that is maximizing opportunities to participate in as many levels as possible. Shunting the G5 into some special lower division absolutely goes against that, and unless/until the NFL decides to subsidize the game, will absolutely reduce interest and participation. The NCAA tournament is a great example. If the NCAA suddenly announced that mid-majors got their own tournament and wouldn’t get Cinderella shot at Kansas, does that help or hurt CBB? All for the sake of adding two more teams from the middle of the SEC and Big XII? Of course not. It makes it all worse.
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Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
It’s a prestige thing and a overall recruiting thing and they make the numbers work by scheduling these big games. At some point that does take you only so far. And if you’re paying attention, the talking head push is for super-conferences that only play each other and that’s where all these solutions being floated go. The media companies would love it if their contracts didn’t require them to carry the G4 and FCS games as part of SEC/Big Ten media rights. So they are working to get system that disincentives that from being scheduled.
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Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
I mean, the NFL relies on college football to be its minor league and every other major sport directly subsidizes money-losing minor and youth leagues for exactly this reason.
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Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
The economics of this are such that landing a FBS or P4 game or two is literally what keeps the lights on at these programs. So yes, long-term cutting them out of that will harm the sport and that will trickle down. We saw this with wrestling which nearly collapsed until the addition Title IX girls programs and a push to add back some men’s programs resurrected it. If you like college and HS football, you want as many scholarship programs solvent as possible. ACU and Sam Houston dont enjoy getting their shit pushed in just for the fun of playing at a big house. They do it so they don’t go out of business. There need to be incentives to schedule a couple of those games, not drop them. Totally splitting them from FBS pushes things that direction. Again, this only applies if you care beyond the next few ratings cycles. People paid by the Mouse do not. They love a world where they get a cut of a decade or two where only helmet schools play each other each week.
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Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
The NCAA has done an abysmal job at protecting and promoting the sport but it’s clear that conferences and media conglomerates are doing much worse. Fewer teams taking bigger slices of a slowly shrinking pie can only be camouflaged for so long.
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Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
No one wants to hear it or think about it but cutting half of the teams out of even nominally being in big-time football will not be healthy or sustainable for the sport long-term and should be fought at every opportunity. It’s a short-term boost that will lead to fewer people watching and caring about CFB, fewer HS athletes aspiring to become CFB athletes and fewer incentives for a shrinking pool to care about football. These programs already exist on the margins. Not directly analogous but similar to the rise of traveling teams slowly killing off baseball as a youth sport for future generations. As I’ve said, the inventors of the playoff don’t really like college football. If you like college football you want the G5 to be healthy and on sustainable footing. You want more D1 programs not fewer. Shrinking a sport doesn’t help it.
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Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
Whats gonna be funny is when all these teams schedule dogshit opponents and then still don’t make the playoffs, that’s surely hugely good for fans and donors and alums. No playoff and you are watching your team play Rutgers as your big OOC matchup. I don’t see the downside. The playoff was designed by people who don’t like college football and it keeps making the game worse in new ways.
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Could this be the craziest coaching carousel of all time?
Dubai chocolate on line 1.
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Could this be the craziest coaching carousel of all time?
LOL Penn State RN.
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Could this be the craziest coaching carousel of all time?
Yeah, Mormons are by and large thinner and more attractive than GenPop despite the sugar addiction. Carpet basketball, church dances, and clean living balance that out.
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Could this be the craziest coaching carousel of all time?
- Lane Kiffin to LSU?
- Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
A&M got Bama ALL the years. We shared a division with them. There are two former SECE teams we have played only once: UGA and Kentucky. Texas has played both of them more often in the regular season since joining.- Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
A&M played two teams in the top half of the SEC standings at EOY: Texas and Mizzou (8). The odds of that happening appear to be pretty high, because that also happened to Texas with UGA and A&M (7), to identical results of 1-1 in the first year of the superconferences. Unbalanced schedules are inherent to this.- 2025 CFB Polls/Rankings Thead
I can’t go here with you without knowing what the current #12 in your rankings played. I can imagine a world where the current 12 played 10 teams in the top 12, and the 14 and 15 team and emerged with a 9-3 record. I wouldn’t put them below your 7-5 team in any universe. Arguing that records would be flipped if the schedules were swapped is entirely hypothetical, those games weren’t played. SoS is a factor but it isn’t everything. And any ranking of 130+ teams, no matter the formula, is going to be imprecise. Beating the 12 ranked team vice beating the 14th ranked team is not so impressive as to outweigh additional losses.- 2025 CFB Polls/Rankings Thead
The SEC “protects” its best teams such that EVERY SEC team plays a more difficult schedule than Tech did. Every last one. Every SEC team played a P4+ND OOC game, Tech did not. The SEC schedule is a moot point because it’s going to 9 games, but this is complicated because unlike Tech lots of SEC teams have permanent or semi-annual respectable opponents like Clemson, GT, FSU/Miami, Louisville, etc. Your non-stop huffing over BIG XII NINE GAMES HURR is stupid because the Big XII is a D-tier league stocked with teams that didn’t get invited to the bigs and G5 call-ups. It’s a glorified G5 league. Playing more Big XII games is a knock against you. You’d play a better slate by dropping a game and replacing it with another P4 opponent.- Holy shit you dipshits: 9-3 Texas is probably in the playoffs
- 2025 CFB Polls/Rankings Thead
This is some really stupid shit slorch. Are you trying to argue that a couple years ago SEC schedulers deliberately designed a schedule with the foreknowledge that 3 teams ranked in the 2025 top 15 preseason would completely fall out by the end of the year and four teams ranked 18 or below would finish with 2 or fewer losses and move up?- 2025 CFB Polls/Rankings Thead
My brain is breaking a bit here because a team by definition can’t go 7-5 against the top 12 and also be inside said top 12. It can’t play itself. You have 13 teams here in this scenario and one of them has to be 13. (So this has in a contained way shown why you can’t design a perfectly satisfactory playoff cutoff at any given point).- Could this be the craziest coaching carousel of all time?
Also, I like it that the Mormons are coming to play in the mire. Big American Primeval vibes, back to the swashbuckling, gunslinging roots. Only in the USA baby. - Lane Kiffin to LSU?
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