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956 Worldwide

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Everything posted by 956 Worldwide

  1. I just wish that someone would create a football format where about 30 relatively evenly matched teams would play each other and about half make the playoffs to crown an undisputed champion. Maybe some form of revenue sharing, and you just openly pay the players.
  2. Very much dependent on how you look in the losses and what the teams do with rest of the schedule. Blowing out UGA at home, thumping Arky, and dropping a tight one to A&M is a good look, or you can swap the results for UGA and A&M assuming they both win out otherwise. Likewise, eking out a win over A&M but losing big to UGA is likely less helpful.
  3. The committee will look for reasons to have more rather than less conference balance.
  4. On every metric A&M’s SoS is far closer to Texas’ than to tOSU. Massey, Sagarin, FPI. Take your pick. A&M and Texas usually within about 5 of each other and tOSU down in the 20s to even 40s. But— as I posted earlier— fans overstate SoS value for the committee.
  5. Would also say that in the portal era, relegating a team down to FCS or whatever will really blow up a roster and make it tough to bounce back from. And you lose a bunch of good home games. It’s pushing factory reset on a program.
  6. I do, but most of that comes from being a legit long-time fan of the DII/FCS ranks and seeing how tenuous it is to get engagement and how hard they work to move their programs up even when it will be harder to win. FWIW, being engaged at that level of play also plays a big role in my continue CFP agnosticism. Not just for the fan experience but the resources that come in when playing at the harder level. In the streaming era it’s very hard to get someone to show for a perceived B-league contest.
  7. Invitation to a death spiral for lots of programs. It’s hard to make it work now for most of the NCAA, sticking half the teams in a consolation league will not help and drive fans away. It is not good for college football to make seasons less meaningful and fun for mid-tier teams.
  8. SC is a team to watch. A 10-2 SC and 10-2 Oregon would be a pretty compelling to the committee. People don’t want to talk about it but OSU is a team with a lot of bread on the schedule outside of Texas. They have, however, won convincingly most games. Fans and talking heads overvalue “big” wins (and overly punish big losses). And they undervalue consistent winning when teams are moderate favorites or moderate dawgs. You’ll look at 5 game stretch where a team is at 75% chance to win and think its a walk; but each of those dogs has a better chance to win than the favorite to emerge unscathed. Drop a game or two to 60 or 55 percent chance of winning and its really a longshot.
  9. I will die on the hill that CFB was perfect and needed no fix pre-BCS and mega-conferences. You got plenty of joy in winning your conference and enjoying wins over schools close to you— needling the people at work, church, the PTA. Bowl games were a fun bonus. The newspaper would crown a MNC and it was a distraction to read about and then move on from. The only NC trophy handed out was a gimmick from Trick Dick as a little dogwhistle for the last all-white teams and their fans. A “real” NC, playoff, etc is something thet talking heads on 24/7 sports media and then the internet created for their own benefit and then convinced fans they needed. Has not made the alum and fan experience at all better.
  10. Let’s do what everyone does and strike a deal with PE for a great injection of cash! We’ll use it to smartly get on a sound, long-term footing and then we will be healthy AND PE will make their money back.
  11. Posted this on another thread, it’s not updated. It shows whether teams have more or fewer wins than they should expect have based on post-game win expectancy. Kind of a proxy for “are you playing as well as your record.” UVA and BYU went down— they had been playing dangerous ball.
  12. Probably. Tech and Pitt play each other, unfortunately for the ACC. If they didn’t, both could get a couple wins against CFP top ten and make the case after the CCG.
  13. ACC champ gets in, so better for chaos and no clearly good runner up. Makes it more likely the SEC gets a fifth spot.
  14. Why? Of all the ways I’ve seen injuries on the football field, I can’t recall even one due to a Tillman style attack on the ball. It’s a legit way to force a fumble. What problem is being solved here?
  15. It’s literally always legal to punch the ball. Blocking a kick, whacking a ball out of a receiver’s grasp, or forcing a fumble. Your punchball zinger reminds me of Reddit-tier “handegg” memes.
  16. No, that Iowa team is good and it is a tough place to play. I expected Oregon to lose that one.
  17. Oregon over Iowa in a rock fight in Iowa City is an impressive win. I think more of that team now.
  18. It’s better for the sport to give G5 programs a real shot at the playoffs. The 12 best P5 team is not going to be that great and have a real chance to win the NC anyway so it’s not affecting the integrity at the outcome. March Madness is more fun getting to see some mid-major take their best shot even though you’ll usually have a power conference team finish on the bubble that’s “better.” The overall season and experience would be less fun and engaging the sixth best SEC teams in as opposed to a fun G5.
  19. I feel bad for this kid, it’s clear Mizzou never intended him to be here this year and it’s just too much. The A&M pass rush is good. Klein is clearly being conservative, taking what the defense will give and trying to avoid the big Mizzou defensive play. Not a bad plan with a one-dimensional offensive team that won’t play well from behind. Takes the crowd out and makes it hard for Mizzou to get energized.
  20. No one knows. He’s a true freshman. Good offer list, decently ranked recruit out of PA with plenty of Big Ten and SEC offers, likely not the top target for the big ones. He was 3rd string so assume Eli wanted him to have more time to develop.
  21. Highly, highly doubt the CCG loser gets knocked out unless the game is totally out of hand; they’ll not want to ding a team for getting to the game over others. Probably a help on balance. Missing it is likely good for a team like Ole Miss that is basically guaranteed a spot if they win out but still needs help to get there.
  22. UGA is gonna beat MSU, so it doesn’t matter. But the vibes part can go either way. “Coming in with a loss they’ll be dejected and feel beatable.” ”If they take an L they’ll be fired up and more determined.” Math doesn’t change. The games aren’t truly independent events but no one knows what is actually the impact aside from things like injuries. Best to treat them as black boxes. Sports message boards consistency prove why it’s better not to care about sports too much if you want to gamble on it.
  23. Watching the BYU game, last time I was in Lubbock was in early 2000s. I really like what they’ve done with the remodel and the end zone addition. Meshes with campus, really makes the atmosphere more intimate.
  24. If you’re a Longhorn fan you want UGA to lose because then you can knock them out next week and clear some space in front of you. You want A&M to lose so if you win against them, you have a H2H when the committee looks at 2 loss teams from the SEC. Rooting for teams in front of you to lose opens more paths for you. Go with the math.
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