Eh, there’s a lot of geography and capability limits that keep this within a certain boundary on the right, particularly with Hezbollah incapacitated and Hamas to ground. By necessity this is going to be likely be restricted to air strikes and small unit actions in support. Israel said this will be a few weeks and I tend to believe them.
Astonishing to see how Iran has screwed the poodle over decades: diverting resources to proxies that now won’t show up, doubling down on isolating themselves regionally, pursuing a rhetorical strategy of insanity.
Its important to remember that neither Iran or Israel has any strategic imperative to be at each other’s throats with three borders between them and no real core interests at stake. Israel is pragmatic in the extreme outside of Palestine/Lebanon/Syrian border and this has all been driven by Iranian ideological motivators. Even less than Jew/Zionist hate, its been Iran’s obsession with posing as the real ideological and geopolitical leader within the Islamic world, which is in itself stupidly ideological. It’s just decades of clerical-military fusion leading to collective brain damage.
Syria is a good counter-example where the leader of an al-Qaeda affiliate just announced he wanted to be cool now and the entire world lined up to give money and normalized relations. Iran could have managed to detente with some of their satans at any time and wouldn’t be here.
Hopefully Israel drops a few on the Shahed factory. Another place where Iran had no strategic imperative or benefit— helping to kill Ukrainians.