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Posts posted by Brisketexan
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"Due to an administrative error, we inadvertently kidnapped Jack Smith and Nancy Pelosi and sent them to El Salvador. Unfortunately, they are now under the sovereign, domestic authority of El Salvador."
Bingo.
Stop overthinking this shit.
This is the play. They even told us they’ll run it.
The only defense left is lead. Once they grab you, it’s over. So your only choice is not to let them grab you. That’s where we are.-
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3 hours ago, Bozo_Casanova said:
I don’t even bother ordering anymore. Nowadays when I want Popeyes I just go to the one on airport and MLK and just tell them to give me a couple of biscuits and whatever else I can get for $20 cash and keep the change. Everybody wins.
You know....I actually may give this a whirl. For shits, giggles....and a delicious lottery ticket.
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1 minute ago, NWBuck said:
Sorry if these are stupid questions...
If something was ordered and paid for from China in mid March, but hasn't shipped yet, what is the tarrifs on it (and when would that be calculated)?
Is it the tarrif rate at time of purchase? At time of shipping? At time of receipt at the port? And if the rates keep fluctuating, would someone be able to leave a product at the port until the rates dropped again before picking it up (and paying the new rate)?
Another question... Is there a price threshold for tarrifs? It looks like the de minimus rate of $800 goes away on May 2... So small ticket items received (? Shipped?) by then wouldn't have the tarrif applied?
"I'm Brisketexan. I'm not a customs agent....but I play one on Surly."
Seriously, I have little fucking idea as to the details of exactly when/how a tariff is applied, if it's FOB delivery, etc.
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53 minutes ago, Dahobbs said:
I already said this. The Supreme Court should not have taken the case. The judge's original order should have stood. Then we could have teed up what will end up being the actual issue. All this has done is create delay without deciding anything.
This. It's not hard. "Administration, you broke the law by shipping someone with legal status to a foreign gulag. Bring him back." There. Done. Which is pretty much what the trial court's order said and did. Leave it be. When a lower court gets it right -- which it did -- the job of appellate courts is to SHUT THE FUCK UP. THERE IS NO ERROR TO CORRECT, SO SHUT THE FUCK UP.
But nope, SCOTUS has to make sure they fight a rear-guard action to secure -- at all costs (literally... ALL costs) -- Donnie's supreme divine-right-of-kings power to do whatever the fuck he wants to whoever the fuck he wants.
"No remedy" = "you are fucked." It doesn't matter what else the court says or writes; our posts on this board have as much real-world import as the words SCOTUS writes that are not tied to an actual remedy. Unless the end of what they say is "therefore the admin is ordered to bring him back," what they wrote is a nothing. Real-life is not aggy, there are no fucking moral victories. Either you get a remedy, or you lose.
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3 hours ago, Evil Bill Obrien said:
that they used to figure out if it was even practical to do the 747 piggyback.
There were a few nights at Dallas nightclub back in the day when I definitely spent a long amount of time scoping out a particular prospect to see if it would be practical to do the old "747 piggyback." Vic Mackey woulda been proud.
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20 minutes ago, Thomas Walsh said:
How is China playing this masterfully?
Primarily by following this easy-to-execute maxim:
We're shooting our own dick off. China's first good move is to stay out of the way, and give us a clean shot.
Long-term, it will be to fill the vacuum created by the US's absence of a trade penis, which it already shot off. As an immediate example, see China's new conversations with the EU about removing/reducing tariffs on Chinese EVs.
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5 minutes ago, HornOnTheBayou said:
Took my kid to the UT/Georgia baseball game Sunday. I go to the concession stand to get him a Dr. Pepper. It's one of those where I take the bottle out of the fridge, scan it myself, and pay. Never saw a human in that time. On the keypad it asked me if I would like to leave a tip. Yes, I would like to tip myself since I did the work.
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33 minutes ago, Eskimohorn said:
I think their response is proof the US cannot send prisoners there, if it wasnt already clearly in violation of several constitutional rights
Oh, this is spot on. You think our SCOTUS will ever issue a ruling that "shipping people detained in the US to foreign prisons that are out of our control, resulting in the US losing the ability to provide the requisite due process, is in and of itself a due process violation?"
Good. Fucking. Luck.
The Regime can do as it wishes. There are no guardrails, there are no restraints. The only way to guarantee yourself any "due process" anymore is to enforce your right with the barrel of a gun. That's the rule: when society opts out of the Rule of Law, it necessarily opts into Rule of the Gun.
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Next step is for ICE to “accidentally” detain and deport an American citizen and see how SCOTUS responds. When it does nothing, it’s open season on all of Trump's political foes
Sawbonz gets the play. It hasn’t just been telegraphed…they have literally said they are going to run it.
Believe them.-
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Aside from being smoking hot, this woman posts some great content about the cult. She’s got degrees in Sociology, Clinical Psychology, and public health, I think and does a good job explaining things from those perspectives.
She is super smart, and makes excellent points.
Also, I’d like to spend some nekkid hot tub time with her. Discussing philosophy and shit.-
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I’m bullish right now short term. IMO we see a China deal in seven days or less.
And what is your trust level that this man won’t reverse THAT within a week…or do something else equally unstable in a week, a day, or an hour? Is that trust level sufficient for you to make, say, a billion dollar investment in building a manufacturing facility?
This is the problem: not so much what he has done, but that he’s demonstrated that he will do all manners of irrational shit, with no warning or provocation, then change course in minutes, creating an environment with zero predictability. Capital hates that.-
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So the same people who decided a legal immigrant was part of MS-13 because he wore a Chicago Bulls hoodie will now be deciding which social media posts constitute antisemitism and therefore worthy of going to El Salvador?
What’s next? Facial recognition to figure out who attends an anti-Trump rally?
2025: “due process” = “whatever Stephen miller says.”
It’s not any more complex than that.-
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Love the casual hand wave as to…everything.
And ffs, on #4, that’s literally from business owners themselves. Incoming China trade is rapidly shutting down. No inventory, no business.
Nobody in the world except Ron Vara thinks we’re not in a crisis.-
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I asked AI and this is what I got back
Based on available data, the closest parallel to the current surge occurred in late September to early October 2023, when the 10-year yield jumped from about 4.1% to 4.8% in roughly two weeks—a roughly 70-basis-point increase. The current 10-day rise, estimated at around 50-60 basis points (from approximately 3.9% to 4.51%), is significant but slightly less intense in magnitude.
Add in the comparison to the rates for other countries’ debt.
Add in the market crash.
Add in the complete collapse of consumer confidence to levels not seen since 1952.
Add in the complete destruction of hundreds of thousands of American businesses built on our current trade environment.
And keep going. Fuck off with your bullshit.-
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What qualifies this as a crisis?
Read the fucking bond yields above.
It’s a crisis.-
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Let’s put this in terms we can relate to:
Court: “Trump Regime, you snatched a Surly poster, a US citizen, off the street and sent him down to a Salvadoran gulag immediately. You now admit that you did. It have a legal basis or right to do so. Return him.”
Trump Regime: “Gee, sorry, we can’t.”
Court: “Provide me daily reports of your effort to get the Surly poster back.”
Trump Regime: “LOL OK. Here’s my report: we didn’t do shit.
Result: it is 100% allowed for the Regime to disappear anyone it wants, and there is no remedy.-
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Excellent. We told both our kids straight up that the school may do what the school does, but they will never ge tin trouble at home for def diff themselves or someone else.
Because that’s how we should be. Good on your boy.-
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Cool.
Even if the US continues to impose higher tariffs, it will no longer make economic sense and will become a joke in the history of world economy. At the current tariff level, there is no market acceptance for US goods exported to China. If the US continues to play the tariff numbers game, China will ignore it. However, if the US insists on continuing to substantially infringe on China's interests, China will resolutely counterattack and fight to the end.
Kai Ryssdal’s joke was that at this point, the tariff rates might as well be “infinity plus one,” because they are now high enough to functionally shut down all trade between China and the US.
This is just idiocy.-
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Summary of SCOTUS take:
1) humans have rights under the Constitution.
2) this guy’s rights were violated.
3) but there is no remedy for that, the Regime can violate anyone’s rights with zero repercussions, answering to no one.
So you can frame the “people have rights” part of that decision and put it on the wall, it’s a pretty decoration and that’s it. What matters is the remedy - can you get one? No? Then nothing fucking matters.-
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No one in the judicial thinks it is okay to disappear people to fucking el Salvador.
Fucking. BULLSHIT.
The SCOTUS is a collaborator with the Regime in cementing its authoritarian powers which cannot be questioned or reversed. They have created a king, completely above the law, because they want it that way. It was not and is not an accident.-
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This too. My wife related that the solo manicurist she uses is fucked - her products largely come from China, because that’s who makes such things. So, 1) she’ll have to raise her prices a LOT, and 2) as shit goes south, people will cut back on “unnecessary expenses.” This shit is going to wreck her business.
Multiply that by literally hundreds of thousands of businesses nationwide. But fuck those people, they don’t count or matter to this admin, because they’re not billionaire oligarchs.-
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Fully agree with you there. China is playing this masterfully and we’re sitting around holding our dicks.
To be fair, being able to outmaneuver this clown show doesn’t require a chess master on your side. Just someone who can exercise modest restraint and patience, and not smear shit on themselves.-
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If my 2022 and 2024 Texas graduate daughters read this thread, they'd roll their eyes and call yall stupid boomers living in the past.
Also The Drag (in reference to Guadelupe) and Drag Worms have not been used in the lexicon for at least a decade.
We sure do like to yell at clouds.
Next you’re gonna tell me students don’t cure their hangovers with vitamin G from G&M Steakhouse.
Austin FC
in Futbol
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But…I mean…the mouse is ok.
So, there’s that.
Horribad, across the board. No bright spots. Even Dani’s shot from distance, just emphasized that it’s about the only kinda shot he takes.