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Posts posted by Brisketexan
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1 minute ago, BurntEyes said:
I noted it in my post in the last page but the number I'm getting is 10-15 from manufacturers before yesterday. I've been telling client 30-40% and that my estimate is conservative as it doesn't account for any shortages in supply chain nor opportunistic price gouging in channel.
The buying is at a flurry pace to get shit in ASAP.
The downstream effect concerns me... I'm using the word "concerns" to act manly and not go full edge lord/ @Brisketexan
But... I'm getting pretty close.
The term is "ledge lord," good sir.
Just remember my rules, and it will all make sense:
1) It only gets worse.
2) There is no bottom.
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8 minutes ago, Gourmand said:
relevant post from r/austin
The number of small businesses that are flat-out going to be killed dead promises to be staggering if these tariffs last more than 30 days. Seriously, if you asked economists to develop a plan to kill as many small businesses as possible, that plan would include a tariff policy that looks like Trump's (oh, who am I kidding....even the greatest economists in the world couldn't come up with/imagine a policy that fucking absurd).
We're going to manage to brutalize 1) the stock market, 2) employment, 3) inflation, 4) small business viability/ownership, and 5) the strength of the dollar in one fell swoop. While....not appreciably adding manufacturing jobs or revenue in offset. All while trying to re-create an imaginary "utopia" from over 100 years ago, when the world, the global and US economy, and pretty much fucking everything was completely different. Shit, at this point, I am truly and genuinely surprised that we haven't seen some economic model and plan describing how the overall American labor force produced a greater output to labor cost ratio from 1776 to 1865 than we've seen since, so we should reinstate those labor policies.
This is pure "repeatedly shooting ourselves in the dick" territory.
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The dollar is taking a big shit, too. Yesterday, I could buy a GBP for $1.29, today it's $1.31 and climbing.
There's literally nothing about this new "trade policy" that isn't the most simplistic, stupid, harmful idiocy. All of it. Across the board.
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33 minutes ago, Gatorubet said:
"Shooting one's dick clean off is such a horrific prospect that we can't imagine continuing to do so," says analyst watching in horror as Trumpco repeatedly shoots itself in the groin, and is now reloading.
Jesus. Fucking. Christ. EVERYONE KNOWS WHO AND WHAT THESE PEOPLE ARE AND WHAT THEY WILL DO. THEY HAVE SAID IT AND BACKED IT UP COUNTLESS TIMES. STOP BEING INCREDULOUS, AND START BELIEVING THE TRUTH: THEY ARE AS AWFUL AS THEY SAY, MAYBE EVEN WORSE.
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2 minutes ago, BurntOrange&White said:
Fried boudin balls clears!
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We are 100% going to have to learn all of the stupid lessons the hard way.
Touch the hot stove, stick a fork in the electrical socket, put your dick in crazy, use "password" as your password.....ALL the stupid.
I've been trying to find a bright side. What I've come up with is "rebuilding/reconstruction of a society is a massive undertaking that takes decades," so, at least my kids will have a mission and purpose for the rest of their lives. Clear the rubble, and slowly rebuild....something....somewhere.
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The problem is...well, there are so many problems. Let's just talk about "bringing manufacturing and manufacturing jobs back." Not. Going. To happen.
We actually HAVE seen increases in manufacturing and production....but it doesn't come with more jobs, generally:
But, to the extent that it's going to happen (increased manufacturing leading to more jobs), it has ALREADY been happening at a record pace -- the engine is running about as hot as it can, trying to juice it is fucking absurd:
364,000 manufacturing jobs added in 2022, a US record.
As of 2022, manufacturing employment was at a 15 yr high:
So much so, that we are having a hard time FILLING all of the new manufacturing jobs (I can't find a nice clean chart on that quickly, but it's a real thing). So sure, bring back the plastic toy soldier factory....who's going to work in it?
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51 minutes ago, Hate said:
Would you have done the same thing if it was some muscled up meathead in a jacked up truck with truck nuts hanging from the trailer hitch? It’s easy to confront people that don’t pose a risk to a physical escalation.
In a wide open parking lot with lots of people walking by and witnessing? Yeah, I really might have.
I do freely admit that my old man pissed-offedness may be increasingly impairing my judgment and give-a-fuck levels, though.
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Just to give you a glimpse, I have an old friend who has gone full-on amped-up MAGA, "if Trump does it, it is by definition genius." To give you a feel for the take of the MAGAs on tariffs, some of his social media takes:
QuoteAsk the chat, “How has the middle class done in America in the last 50 years financially?”
That’s why we need tariffs.The $5k suits w/pronouns in bio are so out of touch w/‘Murica they think the middle class is thriving.
THAT’S privilege!Duty free "de minimus" shipping is being cut from ALL countries as soon as our tech can track it.
He also posts about how our "golden age" was from 1776-1913, when we had no income tax, and we had many tariffs. He talks about the fiscal health of the government (which is debatable), but UTTERLY ignores the health (real and economic) of.....the fucking PEOPLE. For much of that "golden age," our life expectancy was in the high 30s to 40s. Post WWI? We saw it nearly fucking DOUBLE. Per capita GDP? Since 1820, most of our peer nations have seen a ratio rise of around 12-16X. The US? 21.7X.
Like it or not, a global economy, with the US projecting both soft and hard power, brought us incredible wealth, stability, and prosperity. While things HAVE gone partially awry in the past decades, it's not because we have global trade partners and don't have massive tariffs. And even "gone awry," we are still immensely better off than we were in this yearned for "golden age." It's fucking madness.
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1) What an awful fucking story. Life is cheap in our society, and has been for quite a while. What a fucking waste.
2) "End wokeness," and "zero national outrage," even though the story is all over every news site you could think of (I knew about the story well before OP's post, and I don't follow news in Frisco or high school track). Jesus, just fucking pure lies.
Life is cheap in our society. Truth is dead. OP helped demonstrate that both are ironclad truths. So, hooray.
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Chili's is on an upsurge right now. Don't hold your breath.
The Chili’s $10.99 meal deal, which has an offering of a smashburger (and it’s pretty good), fries, a drink, and an appetizer (chips and salsa for us) is f’n solid.-
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- Popular Post
- Popular Post
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U.S. stock futures cratered as President Donald Trump unveiled sweeping tariffs of at least 10% and even higher for some countries, raising the risks of a global trade war that hits the already sputtering U.S. economy.
Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average
lost 1,069 points, or 2.5%. S&P 500 futures dropped 3.6%. Nasdaq-100 futures
lost 4.5%.
Shares of multinational companies tumbled in extended trading. Nike
and Apple each dropped about 7%. Shares of big sellers of imported goods were among the hardest hit. Five Below lost 14%, Dollar Tree tumbled 11% and Gap plunged 8.5%. Tech shares dropped in an overall risk-off mood, with Nvidia off 5% and Tesla down 7%.
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/02/stock-market-today-live-updates-trump-tariffs.html
Don’t worry guys.
It’s goin to get a LOT worse.-
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2 minutes ago, ChickenSandwich said:
It is implied the numbers released are false or “made up.” Seems like the “real” tariff amounts and VAT taxes applied to American exports would be relevant information before working yourself up in to a tizzy.
"Including currency manipulation and trade barriers"
Come the fuck on. You think they quantified "currency manipulation and trade barriers" with any objective, verifiable methodology? And do you think they released their methodology and calculations?
Jesus, if you're actually that gullible, I gotta figure out something to sell you.
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Just now, ChickenSandwich said:
So no?
What "real numbers" are you asking about?
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2 minutes ago, TwiceHorn said:
Also worth noting, again, that guys like Gates donate sums beyond the comprehension of most of us.
And again, scaled down....it's on par with you or me tossing pocket change to someone.
These people are a cancer.
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9 minutes ago, Not a Sock said:
Holyshit. These tariff percentages appear to be calculated entirely off trade deficit and not actually foreign tariffs. These fucking idiots legitimately may have typed in US trade deficit to Chat GPT and then copied and pasted it into an excel document. That would explain why there are random islands and sub national entities getting different tariffs from their national government.
This....is too fucking stupid to be true.
Which means that it is most likely absolutely true.
I'd say "dear God," but if there's a God, he has clearly abandoned us.
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12 minutes ago, ChickenSandwich said:
Link to the “real” numbers?
Who the fuck knows? It's all just Calvinball and lies now.
And for the kabillionth fucking time, trade deficits are not inherently bad. I have a massive trade deficit with HEB, as they have yet to buy anything from me, yet it's a great trading relationship.
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3 minutes ago, scottsins said:
I think they would be subject to the blanket global 10% tariff, but yeah, nothing even remotely close to what we are doing to the EU, etc.Well, of course. The EU is our enemy, Russia is our ally.
For fucking real. That's the world we live in, as of this moment in time. Fucking insane.
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One of the saddest places I've ever been was the (now defunct) Waco Hooter's. Dropped the boy off for a baseball tournament, but had 2+ hours to kill before his game. World Cup was on, I looked for a "sports bar" that would have it on, and where I could get a beer and some lunch. Hooters was nearby.
Dear lord, that place was sad. Third tier Waco talent working there, and a lot of low-rent dudes who brought their wives and kids with them for a nice Hooter's lunch. I was the only one in the joint watching Germany-Sweden.
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1 minute ago, Paper_jam said:
Well at least I won't have to worry about capital gains taxes for a while, since I won't have any.
On an unrelated note, where can I buy mass quantities of canned cat or dog food, cheap? I like the Mighty Dog "Seared Beef" flavor the best but willing to consider other brands if price is right.
Yeah, my friend....you're not going apocalyptic enough.....
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2 minutes ago, Doc Sam Beckett said:
What the fuck is going on in this country that the GOP is still a functioning party? Fuck Fox News
When you understand that the goal is nothing less than the complete destruction of the United States of America in its current form, so that it can be reshaped into the Republic of Trump, ruled by the House of Trump for Eternity, then these all make sense. And no, I am not being hyperbolic here at all. This crowd has an openly stated goal of turning us into an autocratic oligarchy, and they've chosen their autocratic House. This is being done to achieve that goal.
Y'all talking about the 2026 elections are fooling yourselves. I don't think we make it as a going concern that long.
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8 minutes ago, Gap03 said:
I would love to believe, but as Red once said, "Hope is a dangerous thing." Unless they're going to drag Beto out there for run #13, it feels like it's time for some folks to get some name recognition in preparation for the 2026 elections. Honestly, the only folks on the bench that I'd be excited about in statewide elections at this point are Jasmine Crockett, James Talarico and maybe Lizzie Fletcher. Are there any up-and-coming folks in Texas politics, or is the bench as barren as it seems?
Yeah, all of those names are worthless. Women are a non-starter - automatic 5-6 point handicap in this retrograde state. And Tallarico is kind, smart, and intellectual. He's toast on a big stage in these times.
We need a candidate with a name like "Mad Dog McKenzie Fuck You."
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2 minutes ago, Beau Vine said:
"including Currency Manipulation and Trade Barriers"
lolwut?
It's all just made up bullshit. Might as well have just put "for reasons" in that space.
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The Leopards Eating Faces and Unlubed Dildo of Consequences Thread
in Cloak Room
Posted
But....amp up the hate and contempt. No, MORE than that. MORE.