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LCHorn

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  1. Pitcher Team Innings Pitched (IP) Strikeouts per 9 (K/9) Arbitration/Contract Status Note Dylan Cease SDP 168 11.52 Arbitration 3 (likely Free Agent after 2026) Garrett Crochet BOS 205.1 11.18 Arbitration 1 (meets original ≥2 years) Tarik Skubal DET 195.1 11.1 Arbitration 3 (Super Two status) Jesús Luzardo PHI 183.2 10.58 Arbitration 2 (meets original ≥2 years) Freddy Peralta MIL 176.2 10.39 Signed extension through 2025 (Club option 2026-27) Paul Skenes PIT 187.2 10.36 Arbitration 1 (meets original ≥2 years) Joe Ryan MIN 171 10.21 Arbitration 1 (meets original ≥2 years) Sonny Gray STL 180.2 10.01 Free Agent after 2026 (signed 3-year deal before 2025) Hunter Brown HOU 185.1 10 Arbitration 1 (meets original ≥2 years) Logan Webb SFG 207 9.74 Free Agent after 2026 (signed extension) Yoshinobu Yamamoto LAD 173.2 9.64 Under long-term MLB contract Jacob deGrom TEX 172.2 9.64 Under long-term MLB contract Nick Pivetta SDP 181.2 9.41 Free Agent after 2025 Carlos Rodón NYY 195.1 9.35 Under long-term MLB contract Gavin Williams CLE 167.2 9.29 Arbitration 1 (meets original ≥2 years) Robbie Ray SFG 182.1 9.18 Under long-term MLB contract Here's a table of possible targets I made with Gemini using 100 innings pitched in 2025 and greater than 9 strikeouts per nine. Of these, I'm probably rolling the dice on Sonny Gray in a trade because he's likely got very little surplus value and is probably the lowest trade cost option. Pitcher Team(s) in 2024 Innings Pitched (IP) Strikeouts per 9 (K/9) 2025 Contract/Arbitration Status Years of Control Remaining (End of 2025) Chris Sale ATL 177.2 11.4 Signed through 2026 (Club option for 2027) 2+ Sonny Gray STL 166.1 10.98 Signed through 2026 2 Jack Flaherty LAD/TOT 162 10.78 Signed through 2026 (with DET, traded/signed FA) 1 Cole Ragans KCR 186.1 10.77 Pre-Arbitration (Arb 1 in 2026) 3+ Tarik Skubal DET 192 10.69 Arbitration 2 (Super Two status) 2 Dylan Cease SDP 189.1 10.65 Arbitration 3 1 Yusei Kikuchi LAA/TOT 175.2 10.55 Signed through 2026 1 Michael King SDP 173.2 10.42 Arbitration 1 3 Freddy Peralta MIL 173.2 10.36 Signed through 2025 (Club options 2026-2027) 1+ Zack Wheeler PHI 200 10.08 Signed through 2027 2 Carlos Rodón NYY 175 10.03 Signed through 2028 3 MacKenzie Gore WSH 166.1 9.79 Pre-Arbitration (Arb 1 in 2026) 3+ Tanner Bibee CLE 173.2 9.68 Pre-Arbitration (Arb 1 in 2026) 3+ Bailey Ober MIN 178.2 9.64 Pre-Arbitration (Arb 1 in 2026) 3+ Pablo López MIN 185.1 9.6 Signed through 2027 2 Logan Gilbert SEA 208.2 9.5 Arbitration 1 3 Hunter Brown HOU 170 9.5 Pre-Arbitration (Arb 1 in 2026) 3+ Brandon Pfaadt ARI 181.2 9.2 Pre-Arbitration (Arb 1 in 2026) 3+ Sean Manaea NYM 181.2 9.1 Signed through 2027 2 Charlie Morton ATL 165.1 9.1 Free Agent after 2024 0 (Signed for 2025) Shota Imanaga CHC 173.1 9 Signed through 2028 (Club options for 2029-30) 3+ This table is for 2024, otherwise same criteria. I don't know who you chase off this list, maybe Ober and Lopez in a big swing trade? Ober pitched poorly in 2025 and Lopez has the dreaded "misc. elbow soreness" that appears to precede TJ at some point. Otherwise, most of these guys are already on contenders, have age or health related conditions, or are free agents. What these lists also show is that Hunter Brown might be the best, cheapest pitcher in MLB, and Crane should be offering him something that offers him security and pushing his FA years out a bit. Another name that might work as an innings eater but capable of starting a playoff game is Brady Singer, but he's probably not cheap.
  2. I'd just rebut with "Mr. President, we already have that with the Obamacare exchange."
  3. I love your optimism but I'd never hire you for a GM. You need to rely on mean outcomes (or just be realistic) for team building. "If healthy" is doing A LOT of work with post. Just picking on trade candidate Jake, but he's had one season with full health in 2024 and had 1.7 WAR. He's going to turn 30 in June, i.e., we're not talking about projecting a big age-related performance jump (hell, we're probably closer to the decline phase given how reliant he is on his athleticism). You've acknowledged either here or on clutchfans that we need to replace 200-300 innnings between Framber and just not having reliable starters. I'm out on Nooks fascination with Sandy Alcantara, Rasmussen and Mitch Keller aren't playoff starters on a good team, and probably like you I'd love to not surrender a draft pick trying to bring in someone who can give a Cease like performance. Anyway, tacking back to that because I think starting pitching is really where I'd devote the off-season attention.
  4. That seems like a great strategy for appealing to the Hispanic independent voter come 2026. I hope they aren't ignoring the Valley with their gestapo.
  5. I'm down for anything that portends a post-Trumpian pivot from today's GOP.
  6. Projecting our starting pitching to be upgraded simply due to better health in 2026 is pretty risky.
  7. Same, I'm intuiting there's more gossip about Sarkisian's offseason away from the team and more smoke that he's looking for an exit?
  8. I’m a little more inclined to go all in for 2026 and let Pena walk if needed. We’re not getting the Tucker haul for him. I could be convinced to trade him in a soft reboot only if we, errr., strikeout on adding a couple of pitchers of the calibre that they can start a playoff game.
  9. I haven't watched Boots, but the USMC subreddit described that one as surprisingly un-gay*, considering it's about closeted homosexual Marines. *sorry, I forgot this is 2025, I mean heteronormative. All of the scout snipers I served with were pretty awesome Marines and would deserve the attention, gay or otherwise.
  10. I enjoyed it, too, but that's largely because I'm still in the post-Georgia self-flagellation stage. I'm not sure that an attack from a Phd and self-described "bastard child of deconstruction and queer theory" and an "ultra-leftist" isn't tantamount to relying on the same, overly intellectual minority interest groups that are pulling at candidates to take non-mainstream positions that alienate voters. Harris is a cypher and failed to connect to voters when she offered platitudes in response to criticism and the piece is better when it highlights that relative emptiness.
  11. We’re about to do this in Austin and got quotes from $13k to $48k given all the same basic considerations and materials. In other words, there’s a clear disconnect between pool contractors in knowing market value for their service.
  12. I know this is a well beaten dead horse, but the stark difference in performance this year appears yet more proof that Jalen Green’s inefficiency was a big problem.
  13. I’m still trying to figure out what this show is about, I.e,, what’s the real world comparison to the mind-meld. Widespread adoption of AI cognitive organizing resulting in a lack of individuality? The failure of modern life to deliver the kind of community that allows humans to emotionally flourish and demands a return to an Emerson oversoul?
  14. I think of it more as the cohort who know it’s not real but find it emotionally indistinguishable from reality (I.e., maybe they even prefer the fiction). I think that’s one reason why the alt-right has settled on “red pill” as a rhetorical device, because this concept of a reality known only to an “in-group” is shared between wrestling fans and the conspiracy laden Infowars type and the manosphere.
  15. Derek Thompson and Ezra Klein both pimp that book and Neil Postman’s “Amusing Ourselves to Death” more than any others. Brooks spends the first part grounding this and I don’t think it’s accidental he starts with the Greeks rather than early Christians. He’s reaching for a morality than transcends specific cultures or generations. As far as your gentle needling about Brooks, I get it-I feel like 50% of his writing could have “Was I an idiot for being a conservative?” as a thesis.
  16. Putting this here because it addresses the current moral turpitude and I can't recall if we discussed it in July when it was published: From David Brooks (yes, I like to mock him, too) in The Atlantic "Why Do So Many People Think Trump is Good?" TL: DR--in an effort to promote personal freedoms, the modern American society has abandoned the sense of responsibility that its predecessors felt toward their community. This abandonment leaves individuals morally adrift and politics and (note, this is my addition) technology have failed to replace it in a way that settles that long-standing tension (between individual and community). This might not be the best thread to continue a discussion on it, but I've been pondering the failure of Team Democrat in light of the ongoing post-election autopsy (Crooked Media just had an event in DC and a panel of Hasan Piker, Jessica Tarlov, Tim Miller, and Simone Sanders Townsend and they couldn't move on from talking about this). Is it candidate, communication strategy, policy, etc., that accounts for the voters moving to Trump? (or, my pet theory, that every election now is a change election)? Anyway, I think the path forward, touched on by Brooks, is that the Democrats need to be building communities, i.e., organizing activities that aren't purely political on an ongoing basis. Run clubs, meet and greets, movies in the park, soup kitches, dances, concerts, T-ball leagues, etc. Spend all that fundraising money that otherwise is going to 30 min TV ads or Zuckerberg on reminding Americans that there is something more important that ties us together than an election every two years. The GOP already took advantage of alt-media podcasts, the "Come for the jokes, stay for the politics" or Rogan or whoever. The Democrats shouldn't be trying to mimic that and create it's own media ecosystem, it needs to think bigger.
  17. My presumption is there would be very little demand because they would have an upfront sticker price a good bit higher than a non-portable mortgage due to risk for investors on the secondary market.
  18. Am I wrong in thinking this show was cool in season 1-2? I made it through episode 2 and it’s like the writers have decided that viewers are really only interested in side plots. And besides that, it’s really fucking confusing (which reminds me of the the first game, come to think of it). Also, every time someone says Vilgefortz take a drink. I share your confusion about this.
  19. Hopefully this is the crucible from which a new/old Christianity emerges; one in which a return to the actual, radical message of Christ is not a label but a statement of purpose for believers and aspiring believers. Btw, it’s not purely following Jonathan Haidt’s timeline, but that also mirrors the popularization of the smart phone. I think there’s a huge emptiness with modern life, exacerbated by technology and social media, that a post-Enlightenment/pre-Evangelical version of Christianity could help fill.
  20. That's where I'm at--Castle isn't nearly so complimentary to the current Rockets but he's probably a good bet for a 1b player on a really good team at his peak. If Sheppard had been drafted in a non-lottery pick he'd be the talk of the league.
  21. Maybe not, but it's got to be enticing to a jackal like Ted Cruz to finally have a small chance at revenge.
  22. I haven't, but I've been following along the USMC subreddit comments. I am glad that it doesn't appear to be overly concerned with boot camp because that's been done to death and Marines telling boot camp stories are annoying. Everyone appears to be intrigued by the number of mustaches, that some of the Marine inherent gayness* is on display, and that some of the officers were openly critical of operations in a way that was surprising. *this is the least known element of USMC service and the most talked about in veteran communities, particularly as an artifact of "Don't Ask, Don't Tell." A common rhetorical question is "why are politicians so concerned about gay Marines when everyone in the Corps is a little gay?"
  23. I'm sure I wrote as much up thread, but that's where I landed (or predicted once it all gets settled). Perhaps I'm just attracted to the clarity, but if I'm running a camp and 27 children die under my roof, regardless of the reason, I shouldn't be allowed to continue to operate. I also don't think the construction of dams along the Guadalupe, FEMA flood maps, once in a generation rainfall, or general Kerr County idiocy excuses that bottom line that the camp has to take responsibility.
  24. To be fair, they aren’t getting that type of paycheck, either. It’ll be interesting to see how NIL distribution starts to adapt to the new environment. It might be that depth charts start to be a real deterrent because sitting a year effectively delays that “second contract”, to steal from NFL jargon.
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