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LCHorn

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Everything posted by LCHorn

  1. Jesus Christ, just saw the score. Usually when your pitcher gets hit like that they go on the DL for something.
  2. Damn, flashbacks. Over time I had forgotten just how nuts she was.
  3. If that’s true it’s because there are zero residuals and everyone in the production has figured out they have to be paid upfront.
  4. Cunt is a little strong, no? It’s not like she’s running for governor of Arkansas.
  5. Haha, 90% of Fox viewers don’t understand cringe or simply lack the experience with shame to understand the alleged criticism.
  6. No way, keep it in the fam…
  7. Plus, I bet Tolkien publishes another book before GRRM does.
  8. I'm going to pick some nits with this, but I don't personally feel comfortable making market predictions using historical norms as my basis, particularly for the technology companies and their employees. That said, let me play devil's advocate. The fact that central Texas (and the state) has made commitments to manufacturing might mean that even a short national recession doesn't significantly impact local employment (in other words, the momentum to staff up these facilities and the smaller firms supplying them will continue to generate new jobs). Obviously most of this is east of Austin so it's not helping Lakeway homeowner's sell the Lake Travis living experience. I'm not entirely sure of your point in regards to rental cash flow. Are you saying that new investment buyers in this market aren't cash-flowing? Pretty much all of the investment portfolios I've reviewed in which the purchase was made pre-'21 are cash-flowing, sometimes a lot. As far as price drops, I'm just not seeing it in anything under $400K and I think there's sufficient demand from owner-occupants in the $400K-$600K range that prices have been sticky. Anything more expensive than that purchased for pure investment has been mostly confined to short-term rentals.
  9. I don’t think it’s a complete red herring, but soaking the rich polls well, regardless of party ID. I wonder if it might be the Dems “pro-life”-like policy, in that it helps energize their base but will damn them if it ever comes to pass (as the largest of their socially sympathetic financiers flee out of economic self-interest). Personally, I don’t really care what Harris wants to run on as long as it’s popular and maybe gives her some coattails to ride. Nobody is giving the Democrats a pass, unfortunately, when a recalcitrant body in the law-making process prevents bills popular with a significant majority from becoming law. Creating durable majorities in Congress means they actually need to do something.
  10. Beto was on the attack plenty. If the supporters of Cruz or Trump were capable of being embarrassed into not voting we’d see that strategy employed successfully. I know we don’t like to admit it, but Beto ran into the fact that there’s just more GOP voters than there are Dems in Texas. Nate Silver talked about this in regards to Jaime Harrison in the 2020 South Carolina Senate race. There was a poll taken that showed Harrison down by 2 points to Lindsay Graham, 46-44 (if I recall correctly), and Silver pointed out that 44% of the voters self-identified as Democrats and that was a great showing on Harrison’s part (in other words, he had obtained the support of pretty much every South Carolina voters who would be willing to vote for him). That missing 10% wasn’t truly independent, they were Republicans who didn’t like Lindsay Graham but were still going to vote for him against Harrison when it counted. I would be shocked if the same misunderstanding of the polling data by the media wasn’t happening here. We already know that Allred has run a shit campaign-do we really think voters are coming around to him and they’ve only recently discovered a distaste for Ted Cruz?
  11. I don’t really see where Kinzinger has a home right now that’s not the Democratic Party. He’s going to be toxic to the right well after Trump is dead and gone.
  12. My reaction is that any validity her argument might have is entirely undermined by a masterbatory series of tweets published on a platform unbefitting of the effort or sincerity of intent. That said, I bet she feels triumphant after all of that so good for her, I guess.
  13. Emily is putting 50x the thought into rebutting a stupid tweet than its author did in writing it. That’s a JD Vance win.
  14. That silly rule hasn’t been applicable in Austin since the 90’s. Obviously anecdotal, but we increased rent on our properties (all SFR) in 22 and maintained it on 23 and 24 renewals (despite slack demand in the resale market and LOTS of apartments coming available). Let’s not confuse Austin’s balanced market for one of the softest in the country. If you believe that then I have a couple of neighborhoods in Detroit to sell you…. Realtors are all in mourning because transactions are way down and their job has gotten a lot harder. That said, good ones are still making lots of money.
  15. After spending a month in Madrid where half the highways are buried and there’s subways everywhere I just can’t understand why the economics of doing the same here are so terrible.
  16. Asking a server to split a check six ways is bad manners. One person pays, everyone else Venmo’s. Also, not a single one of you had a date?
  17. She can always pepper her response with “of course Dana, I’m not referring to you. CNN would never engage in such disreputable practices, I’m sure.”
  18. Without the haze of nostalgia ever present you’re not missing much. It’s pretty generic bar food and $8 for a pint of beer is a little extreme.
  19. I think CTJ and others have touched on aspects of this, but team building in an era of NIL is going to be fascinating and one paradigm that might prevail is a stars and scrubs model. If you can find kids that can be sold on development, look to have untapped physical potential, and are willing to commit to riding the pine for a couple of years then you might be keep and retain them at a relatively low cost, at least until they are playing.
  20. Oh good, the review in Variety was so overwhelming with praise that it was hard to take it as legitimate. I have a feeling I know where the story goes but regardless it’s cool that Kravitz has got talent behind the camera.
  21. It’s obviously a stereotype but my BIL is the same. He’s probably one of the few who is more enthusiastic about the Trump ticket because of Kennedy’s endorsement. He also believes in aliens and makes sure to explain his black friend is “one of the good ones.”
  22. That’s funny-my wife and I are both Gen X and probably too old for the survey but we talked about politics early in our relationship and found common cause in opposing Republicans. Somewhat unintentionally, but we don’t even hang around people that are Maga anymore (even family)-it’s just too hard to constantly police yourself and not say something that leads into conflict.
  23. Me too, but we also haven’t done our annual Labor Day trip to Port A yet.
  24. I think what @SydneyCarton is trying to say is he is now in that group. Complaining about unrealized capital gains is the new class indicator.
  25. This is all presumptive because the rates aren’t there (and might not be for awhile), but you should have a goal of the lender paying for all of the closing costs. It’ll reduce your rate improvement (those fees have to get paid from somewhere) but it’ll position you better for subsequent refinance if rates continue to fall.
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