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LCHorn

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Everything posted by LCHorn

  1. Who is “they”? The court has already ruled against the NCAA trying to limit it. You think Congress is going to be taking this up?
  2. I took the kids yesterday-it’s not terrible but isn’t going to be a classic like its predecessor.
  3. Good luck trying to tease that out of the data. It’s probably more measurable in a place like Lexington, which is really only memorable because of Snow’s.
  4. So looking at the statistics, rookie Jalen Green appears to be a more efficient player than 4th year vet Jalen Green. For those of y’all more able to watch the games, is there some performance improvements you see that are missed by looking at the stats?
  5. Sean Harris’s point was the failure to break with them is signaling to independents that you agree. Ezra Klein would also remind us this isn’t just on trans rights-this is a hole host of Dem culture issues and is why the party itself has become toxic. You have to align yourself with BLM, the socialists, the HRC, the unions, etc., and there is so little room for dissent that it makes it hard to run as anything but a party loyalist.
  6. Ezra Klein was on PSA and talked about how this came to be-the Democratic Party is overly beholden to single issue groups from the left and they exaggerate the support for those individual issues as a result. It’s one reason (and just picking on this because the Republicans used it so effectively) they are afraid of antagonizing the trans rights community by running candidates more willing to signal unfriendliness to their favored issues.
  7. Watch Crane turn around and give it to Verlander.
  8. To echo this, that was his main point (not necessarily on the merits of trans rights, itself), but that she didn’t adequately respond to a voters perception that her priorities would favor this over their own economic concerns. This is a little bit adding my own analysis (on what he said), but I think he would agree that a) female candidate of color, b) running as a Dem, c) short campaign timeline so only a limited amount of messaging can be broadcast made it harder than it should have been to test what voters needed to be told about candidate Harris and her priorities that would move them to supper her. The whole thing is worth a listen because Miller (who is gay and therefore a little more intimately familiar with voter data when LGBT issues are involved) is willing to debate the guests and not just take on faith an analysis that might feel true but could be overlooking something in search of that explanation (like your point about the swing state/trans advertising). Anyway, bringing this back to the OP, I don’t think there are any grand takeaways here besides don’t skip a primary season again (which is team Biden’s fault).
  9. Sean Harris on the Bulwark podcast last week brought this up. In his opinion, this was a really salient issue* to swing voters and the Kamala campaign made an enormous tactical failure in not rebutting it in front of a large audience like the debate or on Rogan. I disagree this, but several of these podcasts guests or hosts have made the case that the biggest weakness of the Kamala campaign was 2020 candidate Kamala. *it was salient in as much as it became a proxy for leftist cultural stuff like latinx, pronouns, DEI, etc.
  10. Again, the only people feeling sorry for them are themselves. I’m sure you saw the “what I make, what I spend” Reddit thread that went viral a few years ago, in which the author showed how quickly $650k annual income or whatever it was could get spent on the Bay Area on housing, child care, etc. It went viral because of how tone-deaf it was. You’ve got a woman facing lifetime infertility because her pregnancy couldn’t be legally terminated, a 1st gen American worried about his parents getting deported, and a upper East side family weighing whether Goddard or a nanny makes the most sense. I’ve got only so much bandwidth for selling sympathy, who should I be prioritizing?
  11. Some good ideas… And some bad ones. Some of what you’re proposing might have been a little facetious so I won’t rebut them individually, but I agree with you that the Democrats need a hard pivot back to “You aren’t rich? We are for you.” I’ve been wondering why they aren’t more pro-labor (I.e., using the party communication apparatus in support of workers trying to unionize); perhaps there’s a good reason for that (doubt, perhaps, that a new union member in 2024 votes Dem), but that’s kind of the re-orientation they need to make. There was a NY Times post election op-ed that made the case that Kamala was too cosy with the wealthy to attack them (the piece sort of blamed her brother in law who is an exec at Uber). From a messaging standpoint that needs to change, but it also needs to permeate down to the local level so that the party is recruiting candidates more like Jon Tester and less like your boy Talarico (not that Talarico is bad rep, but he’s basically been a politician since he was a UT student). Was this a humble brag? Are you afraid of alienating the voters making $400k-$999k? Your belief is what is dooming the party, not just in economic issues but the social issues animating that particular group. Bringing it back to @Snake Diggity’s ideas, there is a need for a radical revisioning of the party and if that means ejecting some of the winners in the 21st century economy then so be it. The plan needs to start with “what positions are capable of building a durable majority?” and then proceeding from that so we can break the doom loop in which every election is a change election.
  12. Pretty crazy that guy is 80.
  13. This is getting off track from real estate, but your presumption about the down river impact of union pay might seem intuitively true to you, but I can think of at least five rebuttals, also that seem intuitively true, that would refute it. What is it about this particular conclusion that, lacking data to support it, you find so compelling? Here’s an easy one that’s going to be wildly deflationary compared to union pay-AI is going to make a ton of jobs pretend work over the next five years. Employers are going to be doing reduction in force, not because they aren’t making money, but because their employees are idle. This is going to hugely impact tech and the “new middle class” that’s come to replace industrial work. I think you’ve mentioned you have your law degree, even if you’re not really practicing-AI is already making paralegals superfluous labor and that’s just with where the technology is today.
  14. You think the rate of inflation is going to be impacted by union members making up about a 10th of the workforce? And that this is potentially more impactful than tariffs? What ever do you base this on?
  15. LCHorn

    Gumbo

    I usually cook my roux a day in advance because I like to play chicken toasting the flour.
  16. They kind of have to-they spent so much on the Anne Rice rights and need programming to broadcast and sell to the streamers.
  17. Haha! A childless cat lady after all!
  18. It’s $60 a pound, so it’s special occasion or surly 1% only.
  19. I’d like to know why TxDot isn’t catching shit for underestimating the cost to such a degree.
  20. I was going to say Justine’s, but my God they’ve gotten expensive. I remember when that was a good weeknight dinner place with $7 escargot and $19 steak frites. Now those are $17 and $55. Even the pork chop is $40. El Dorado Cafe, obviously, fits the OP’s criteria, although they are probably not a hidden gem unless you’re south of the river.
  21. Just by coincidence I was talking to a pretty savvy agent about this yesterday morning and he made the point that the owners of Capital don’t care if it’s wrong, just whether it’s predictable. The market isn’t ignoring it, they are relying on it.
  22. No, that is regarded. They end up getting caught in chest chair and it’s just one more thing causing skin friction when you’re running around with 35 lbs of armor, plates, radio, ammo, water, etc., so you end up hating them.
  23. Why do you presume it would be a “no”? This was 30 years ago, but when I was in school everyone was pretty excited to take health because we had so little formal education on the subject matter otherwise.
  24. I’m starting to hate watch this show more than enjoy it. Too much contrivance to have this group of people so frequently ping pong into each lives. It worked for Lasso because they all were in the same org-it doesn’t work when Liz just happens to run into Paul or then meets up with him intentionally later and has skittles. You can’t do dramedy if everything feels like bullshit, there are no stakes. Also, and maybe this is just me, but did someone tell the actor that plays Brian to be a mimic of Sean Hayes? If I was gay I’d be pretty irritated that too much of my representation is dependent on the stereotype of gay men as overly emotional and somewhat shallow. And when did Brian become so close to Gabby that he drops by unannounced for advice, and she’s home in the middle of the day without work to do? Jesus, I should live in socal.
  25. Not in the UT system…
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