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LCHorn

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Everything posted by LCHorn

  1. The best thing about voting there is I can pick up paint and whiskey in a single stop.
  2. I’ve been in a bit of a funk since @Bozo_Casanova posted that Nate Silver piece (really just that one Ruy Teixeira link from 2022 that talks about how the Dem party isn‘t able to talk to the working class because I know it’s true), but here’s mine. Forget the candidates, let’s just talk campaigns and the electorate. The HUGE money advantage held by the Harris campaign and the fact it’s being run by folks who are still traumatized by 2016 makes me believe they are taking nothing for granted. Plouffe was on with Dan Pfeiffer on PSA (so the wonkiest of the boys with one of the Harris dominant strategists) and Plouffe admitted internals were much tighter than the public polls. If we take that as true, which campaign is in a position to maximize that? The Harris campaign may not have a simple, digestible message. It might be swimming against economic tides. But, one of those fundamentals of politics is that it is SO powerful to have an actual human, a campaign representative, ask for your vote. The Harris campaign has the money and the logistical support to make that ask. The other part I come back to is that Trump has done absolutely nothing in the last four years to sell himself outside of his MAGA core of support. If he’s picking someone up it’s not because they like the candidate, it’s a protest vote, and I’m hopeful that that sense of dissatisfaction is getting picked up by the polls, but it’s not the same thing as casting the vote. Voters have had their opportunity to vent, so to speak, and some of those Trump voters will now be okay with voting for Harris.
  3. Finally had a good one. Blood In, Blood Out is up there with Goodfellas as the best crime film of the 90's, despite the fact it's truly cheesy at times.
  4. This is probably a decade ago, but I did a loan for someone who owned five McDonalds and they took home about $5k-$6k a month from each (so under $360K annually). It's a good living but owning one wouldn't get you there (at the time, I'm sure there's also better locations than others).
  5. I don’t see Tari really having any trade value. I don’t know why you move him unless you need the roster spot.
  6. Do you reckon that’s an issue that will de-energize Cruz voters?
  7. On the shelf today at Central Market next to the Foodie Freebie eggs and butter.
  8. I like how the media has gotten their fill of “but her interviews!” and now can finally move on to health concerns.
  9. I’m a Green hater because inefficient basketball makes me want to vomit, but he was on fire last night and super, super efficient. Basically all his shots were from 3, he was hitting better than 50% of them, and he picked up four shooting fouls and hit 7 of 8 three throws, scoring 30 on 16 shots with zero turnovers. If he can do 80% of that consistently he’s going to be worth a max deal. He‘s worse defensively, but offensively that’s prime Ray Allen.
  10. I hope you spent less than I did. Now I can’t bring myself to drink it.
  11. True, but that was a different era and the elites from the SOS machine are old. You know Matt Mackowiack-he’s pretty much proof that there’s plenty of money sloshing around to be spent on local issues. You just need someone that can mobilize it and isn’t an asshole.
  12. I suspect @Bozo_Casanova will respond that the money’s been spent, the plans are there, but the neighborhood groups are against and there isn’t any individual stakeholder group with sufficient support to act as a political counter-weight. More from me, but I think this is a downside of 10-1. Maybe the new city manager can build some consensus, we’ll see.
  13. There was a Reddit thread on this yesterday and my straw poll was responses was something like 90% against. I was a little surprised because the posters there seem to hate anyone with money, landlords, etc., and supporting day care for the underprivileged would seem to be consistent with an opposite view. Personally, I think I’d be more supportive if it was the city and not the county administering it. I know we complain about CofA shenanigans but the county taxes make up a huge chunk of our property tax bill and they have far, far less scrutiny over it.
  14. Fugit was fine. Not everyone is Chalamet or DiCaprio talented when they are 15. Almost Famous’ biggest problem is that Crudup is admirably trying but Crowe originally wanted Brad Pitt and that Tyler Dursen charisma.
  15. My friend who went with me to see it upon release was acquainted with Ben and I remember him laughing in the theater and saying he was perfect, fwiw.
  16. He/she should get out more. Travis County DA has “Bad Cop Database” tattooed on his left bicep.
  17. That sounds like a lot of money upfront for $2450/month. I’m presuming that the $160k was purchase plus remodel and not omitting a chunk that was financed?
  18. Haha, I’m going to go half-Lobo on this one. I saw this at the premiere in Austin with John Lee Hancock in attendance. I had followed production and he said it was his dream project (we had a mutual acquaintance and connected previously over our love of Willie Morris). If you had followed the property, it had been in development hell for a decade or more and pretty much every hot shit screenwriter had done a draft. Hancock would parlay his success shooting the low budget The Rookie, and part of why he was able to get attached was that his script would be a lot cheaper than the previous iterations. Anyway, the movie wasn’t bad, but the vibe in the theater was underwhelming and you could just feel the anxiety during the post screening Q&A. Obviously Billy Bob Thornton killed, but everything else seemed like one of those TNT historical TV series but without any of the depth to actually connect to the characters. I do recall Harry Knowles was there, slobbering over Hancock and trying to pretend he saw a different movie.
  19. I’ve been wondering the same, as I think our depth chart is thinner than a recruit might presume. I also wonder if we like, but don’t love, all of those recruits, at least sufficient to commit the kind of NIL that would be needed.
  20. Fud put Skinamarink on his top 100, fwiw.
  21. A Perfect World is it for me. Agree with you about Apocalypto.
  22. I don't think Durant can be a full-time 3 anymore.
  23. While I agree with everything you wrote, I do admit to reading about generals of antiquity committing ritual suicide for losing battles and appreciating the integrity of the act.
  24. I don’t think the Rockets see him as a specialist.
  25. That doesn’t make me mad, rather, it’s a reminder that tribal cohesiveness is a dominant concern at the moment (maybe because the economy IS doing good). I want to punch myself because I’m sick of reading this particular phrase (or hearing it on podcasts), but it’s another “you have to meet the voters where they are.”
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