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LCHorn

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Everything posted by LCHorn

  1. This is where I land, too. I find it hard to be pessimistic about Harris’ chances when the Trump campaign has done absolutely nothing to expand his support. I am hopeful, however, that following a Harris win there is a reckoning among the Dem party elites on how to bring back in white working class males. They’ve basically surrendered them to the GOP and they should be allies, particularly so on the Dem economic platform. It’s a national problem that most likely needs a local solution (i.e,, Kamala trying to create favorable conditions for union membership won’t get it done-Dems need to keep at building the party in red states at the city and county level).
  2. Business decision, less crowded marketplace and not competing with Terrifier 3 and Smile 2. Plus (totally anecdotal on this one), I think A24 has realized that horror films have kind of the same audience and they will hunt for those films rather than need it a seasonal marketing push.
  3. Tony Blair killed his own career. British history is replete with examples of mp’s in disfavor, only to sit on the sidelines and regain power when the political winds shift. I do love how their Parliament requires the PM answer questions on the floor, many of which are challenging or adversarial. There was an audio I heard of Blair in this venue and he was extraordinary.
  4. I tend to presume that people like Harris and Biden are reasonably smart and are backed by folks even smarter, and if they aren’t picking a particular line of rhetoric it’s because it can’t be boiled down to something easy to convey to a low information voter. Also, “aren’t you glad you don’t live in France? Hamburger prices are even worse there!” just lacks panache. And on this note, this is where I admit my own presumptions about election strategy beg to second guess the Harris campaign. It’s also an area where I feel Obama was the weakest-when you are in the clear right side of something you’ve got to beat that case into the minds of thick headed voters. Persuadability is about moving between areas of gray, and electing a felon is clear black and white.
  5. I don't like either, but also asked myself that same question (what sounds better?). She's clearly made it a centerpiece of her campaign message, so I presume it's been tested in survey groups against alternatives. Not to change the subject, but I'm curious whether "equity" has now picked up enough baggage that it's the new "liberal", and you'll see the left try to avoid it.
  6. Their cinnamon rolls taste like church’s old dinner rolls deep fried and then dipped in cinnamon and sugar. Delicious. I know it’s River Oaks (or River Oaks adjacent), but somehow it’s less snotty than the one in Austin.
  7. We were in Madrid this summer and I would be overjoyed if the city leaders started using it as a template for transit and street level development. They have quite a few areas like this that they’ve converted to small green spaces or pedestrian only corridors.
  8. That’s where I’m at and I like the idea. That north part of Congress is getting really ignored by developers and it feels like it should be great place for commercial and restaurants. I think the main losers are going to be that some parking garages are currently configured to push out cars to Congress but that’s fixable.
  9. I don’t think he’s chasing Terry for stars. I was speaking more about getting money commitments from big donors. “Hey X, it’s Sark-we’re going after the #1 DT in the country. He’s from Georgia, committed to Georgia, but he’s never looked around and I doubt they are paying market. Once he realizes what the other DT’s are getting he’s going to open it up. I want to help spur that conversation-maybe he gives us a look or maybe it just makes him expensive for Georgia to keep-Texas wins, either way. Can I get you to commit to $100k of the cost?” Anyway, it’s basic sales and gives the program an excuse to keep a donor involved.
  10. I have a friend that does heavy fundraising for the HRC, and to which I’ve contributed, but I’ve wondered if they’ve ever felt like conjoining the LGBQ rights with the T rights puts them on the wrong side of public opinion. I realize that’s not their goal (it’s to shape public opinion), but it sounds like they are concerned about it, too.
  11. I’m always curious if there’s a part of this that’s about keeping big NIL donors involved, as well. Just like @closetojumping has described Sark, the ones I know are star-chasers, too.
  12. He’s not wrong about Amazon. I chose not to do this, but I could have had a $1.50 roll of tree marking tape delivered to me for free (as a Prime member) overnight last night. There’s externalities clearly not getting captured by price, including creating a work environment for their delivery drivers that gives them accommodations for bathroom breaks.
  13. Bear in mind I agree with you and @wildcat09 (I think the polls are over-representing Trump’s support), but honestly that position isn’t helpful in trying to maintain a healthy skepticism that this is all going to turn out okay. Anyway, I would posit that ground game, as we traditionally think of it, does matter, but it matters more to Dems. The Republicans just have an advantage currently with a greater proportion of reliable voters.
  14. I don’t agree with this position, but let me rebut this or play devil’s advocate. Let’s suggest that Trump, for reasons examined exhaustively (sorry, @bolverk has me fixated on “e’s”) doesn’t need boots on the ground, small dollar fundraising, or even solutions to real problems (at least in comparison to candidate X). A huge swath of the electorate has already made up their minds and he has their vote and the polling is keying on the durability of that support. Harris’s is more volatile because parts of her coalition are still making up their minds (like Arab Americans in MI). I think we have a tendency to over focus on the candidate and not the voters.
  15. They left that hanging, I’m sure intentionally.
  16. Colorado is clearly a winner as the economy continues to transition to one dominated by tech firms looking to establish themselves outside of California. I think about it more about placing a bet on that, and the improved job prospects that come with it, than about the debt itself. $30k-$50k is also not that much money over a lifetime unless your heart is set on working in the public sector (and those jobs generally include some form of debt forgiveness). Try not to look at the world entirely through the context of your personal experience.
  17. It’s only relevant to the degree in which it impacts full employment and stable prices (in other words, housing isn’t getting singled out for special treatment just because it’s very sensitive to rate swings).
  18. Variety top 100 Horror films of all time. The List Appears to be a list more devoted to cinematic touchstones than the scariest films of all time. It’s pretty hard to find some of the pre-1960 stuff scary.
  19. Preaching to the choir, but that's why he has to be re-signed, even if the back-end of the contract is ugly.
  20. Is this the new Halloween/horror thread?
  21. While I agree with fuck Mitch, he’s not stupid and can count to 67. I’m sure he would have been satisfied with an outcome barring Trump from his present campaign.
  22. Watched it last night. It looks good, I think the choice to set it in ‘75 was smart. Everything else is all surface and any connection to the characters is really hindered by the run-time (it doesn’t help that they cast a lead who underplays everything and doesn’t have the charisma to make that work). Pretty much every character acts as if each scene was its own thing rather than telling a story in which the horrors are escalating. Also, I think our team of heroes appear to laze about or sleep until about an hour before dusk and then get surprised that the sun is going down.
  23. I haven’t been there since John Lewis left. Is it worth a visit?
  24. So did Biggio until 2004. There’s nothing about either’s skillset that supports an argument their shit doesn’t work in the playoffs.
  25. It’s very Aggie to use 10 signs when one would do.
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