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LCHorn

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Everything posted by LCHorn

  1. I don’t want to be overly presumptuous about farmers in Iowa, none of whom I know and in a state I’ve never visited. That said, I grew up around SE Texas rice farmers (and after rice didn’t make money they cycled through sorghum, soybeans, even cotton and of course now everyone is growing corn) and they are just are plenty happy to take a handout. I watched those families get bailed annually in the 80’s and that “bail-out” money wasn’t going to just food, it got spent in new trucks, boats, 4 wheelers and the like. I wouldn’t get overly sanctimonious about their dislike of federal support when it’s meant for them. I’ll tell you something else you probably don’t know about those hard working, independent problem solvers. Most of them aren’t farming anymore (too much work, too little profit) but they are still getting USDA money for leasing their fields to other farmers, sometimes just for leaving them fallow. These are the same people, mind you, passing along emails later forwarded to me that claimed Obama was a Muslim jihadist back in 2005. I’m sure that’s migrated to Facebook or other social networks, but I’m sure the rhetoric about Harris isn’t any less racist.
  2. I’m sure you can search his posts, but he would do Counselor riffs every time Nate Paul was brought up. One of our losses with his passing is a fuller account of his detective work on the cartel money laundering.
  3. Except they fired the guy most responsible for whatever authenticity was ascribed to their polling.
  4. Looks awesome. Fassbender struggling with a southern accent is also a fun part, RIP Lobo and his full memorization of The Counselor screenplay.
  5. I appreciate that they are trying to expand their audience but you’re right, she really was. I would hope they know that and decided to proceed anyway because they had a show runner lined up with a really good take (that said, checking out IMDb right now and her resume is light).
  6. Now @Wulaw Horn, @UTPhil2006, @Neonmoon and I trying to imagine if this is good or bad for the bond market..
  7. I'm with @henrygandorf in that Trump has a "to death do us part" hold on the party. That's also why he needs to be in jail.
  8. Nothing is dominating the headlines for 3 days. If you go listen to a Pod Save America podcast from last Friday it’ll feel like it was recorded 4 years ago. The media barrage of everything is a fire hose right now, it’s like everyone is on cocaine.
  9. The Pod Save America guys talked themselves out of recommending Kamala appear on Rogan* and responding to this kind belief is a good example of how they are wrong. *they said it was because Rogan will start bringing up bullshit “data” in support of anti-vax and she would get bogged down in it. I haven’t heard them be so protective of her previously-I think you gotta let her cook. In regards to the “you’ve got to destroy it to save it” rhetoric, I think that should be such a layup I’m just shocked she’s not frothing at the opportunity. That said, it speaks to the failure of the party (this isn’t on her) to better articulate a counter to “Make America Great Again” as a vision of what it DOES need to look like.
  10. My wife and I have had the same conversation and are similarly perplexed how people like @BurntOrange&White manage it. You should read up on how Iran went from the most Western friendly nation in the Middle East to 40 years of religious terrorism under the theocracy. One crucial step was the wealthy elites thought, after the Shah fled, “it’s okay, we can control Khomeini.” Most of them would end up fleeing themselves or in prison. So not entirely the same but another example of unforeseen consequences. The lesson should be that we don’t want kings in this country, whether by divine right or anointed by the market.
  11. Calling my shot-MBS improve by 100 bps on 11/6 (I actual think 125 but trying to temper myself).
  12. Ach! You beat me for the same joke!
  13. I actually think she’s had good work done. She doesn’t look like cat ladies I see and looks older but smoothed out. Caveat, I’ve never seen her in anything else so I don’t have that picture of youth in the back of my mind. Personally I’m more distracted that everyone has zero money concerns and can leave their doors and windows open without mosquitos getting in.
  14. To add on to this, to the extent that such a thing can be orchestrated, the GOP is working overtime to convince their constituents that Trump WILL win. I’m not a conspiracy theorist (the rumor there is this is to set in motion support for post loss election fraud claims, as in “how could we lose if all the polls said we were winning?!?!”) but elites in the party are clearly repeating it.
  15. I’m finding I disagree with Nate Silver enough that I hate to use him as an authority, but one thing he said that I agree with is that incumbency may not be an advantage any longer. That said, I don’t think the fence sitters breaking for the challenger can be presumed.
  16. Dickson in the 2017 Texas Bowl is the best punting performance I’ve ever seen in my life. Missouri beat us in every phase of the game except one and he was superhuman. It was really the capstone to two years of dominant punting and a good example of why Scipio Tex calls special teams excellence a cheat code. You think every teams isn’t trying to do that? The point is no one is very good at it, even Banks who was a punter himself. Better to let the cream rise and pay market in the portal. They aren’t getting paid freshman DT money and there’s far more immediate return on investment.
  17. I feel like the analytics guys would always have a transfer punter/kicker identified and ready to bag in the new NIL era.
  18. Haha, I remember WAT from IT. I’m surprised he hasn’t Darwin’d himself by now.
  19. Sorry, what’s your objection? You don’t think it’s normal to provide a framework in which opposite party affiliated voters feel more comfortable voting for your candidate? Historically that is how most campaigns have been run.
  20. You may not be familiar with VoteVets but that’s probably targeting Republican voters. They are big supporters of national security Dems who have won in purple/red districts.
  21. Haha, they don’t care. They’ll do a couple of weeks of talking about themselves (it’s their favorite subject anyway). Whatever drives eyeballs. I’m sure Lee Greenwood is very familiar with who pays the bills after managing to be a one hit wonder who still makes a leaving at it forty years later, but I bet he never imagined sharing the marquee with the founder of Death Row Records.
  22. If you’re a regular slate reader, your concern might be tempered by the fact they’ve run a “this is the end of the republic as we know it” article daily since 2007.
  23. She should have done it at Kyle Field for the lulz…
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