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LCHorn

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Everything posted by LCHorn

  1. The decrease is because a greater proportion of home sales than 2021 is coming from new construction in the $500k or below range. Builders need to move inventory. Everyone else has a 30 year note at 3% they don’t want to lose.
  2. I would caution anyone from misreading “price” as “value”. Values, for the most part, don’t appear to have fallen by much in the aggregate (just my opinion, but I think homes in the $1m-$1.5m or so aren’t moving and that’s probably the weakest part of the demand curve).
  3. Property law in general is a dismal area in which to practice.
  4. Use parchment paper-it’ll not burn between the stone and the pizza.
  5. LCHorn

    Texas Primaries

    You know the world has gone to hell when there’s value in groveling to Kyle fucking Rittenhouse for an endorsement.
  6. Well, she should be assured of a rehabilitation admin job and then she can shop for races in ‘26 or ‘28 and won’t be limited to California.
  7. Man, kids are mean. I’ve been coaching ours since they could speak that they can’t be bystanders when they see bullying, they’ve got a responsibility to fight it, even if it’s not happening to them.
  8. I feel like if you’re going to the Bullock it’s a lot easier to go east-west than head downtown (plus trying to park). I’d go to someplace like Salty Sow on Manor or stalk @HenryJames at Sour Duck. Maybe Dai Due. Hotel Ella is also close for something fancier.
  9. This asshole in particular raises my blood pressure. His district SHOULD be competitive enough it at least sends someone somewhat moderate.
  10. I kind of like that the takes on the main characters don’t quite match what I had in my head. Also, the actress that plays Mariko is ridiculously hot.
  11. I tried to bring that home the other day and my wife got upset because it’s not organic. She’ll happily eat Chuy’s, of course, which I’m sure is all grass-fed and antibiotic free.
  12. LCHorn

    Texas Primaries

    Allred “did I mention I played in the NFL?” is basically a sacrificial lamb. Surely there’s local races where the money might be spent to more advantage.
  13. Dalio has spent way too much time with sycophants…
  14. LCHorn

    Texas Primaries

    Don't ask @Neonmoon for advice, he managed to pick something even worse than O&G....
  15. Admittedly I follow Texas baseball less closely than I do football and basketball, but I think some of his lack of support is an acknowledgment that he’s not a good fit. Good coach, bad fit. It’s a little like a marriage where it works but everyone is exhausted from trying so hard. I think the jury is still out on Sark but he at least knows (and/or has help) to fully utilize all the advantages that UT can provide to build a program. I think the programs (regardless of sport) that will be most successful in the next decade will need to have more than a good coach-they are going to have to be able speak to today’s athlete, be able to provide a robust suite of training tools (nutrition, mental health, facilities), promote the program state-wide to help midwife NIL support, help provide promotional opportunities, etc. Ironically I think Mack Brown would be particularly well suited to it if he were 30 years younger.
  16. LCHorn

    Texas Primaries

    I certainly don’t wish him ill, but Allred doesn’t appear to have any of the personal charisma that made Beto a tremendous fundraiser.
  17. Me too, I think I read he moved out of Austin. My only interest after seeing that trailer is based on my appreciation for his past films.
  18. LCHorn

    Texas Primaries

    I think the problem is more that the right is happy to acknowledge it’s fascism and will wear those anti-democratic bonafides happily. That makes pointing it kind of a “Don’t throw me in the briar patch” kind of thing.
  19. LCHorn

    Texas Primaries

    As long as I’m shitting on Democratic organizations I should probably hit Travis County, too. They are appear to be well-run, have enormous local support, and would potentially be the ideal county organization for grooming the next generation of statewide office holders. However, to get there you’ve got to sit people on the council, at the county, on school boards, etc., and they are terribly captive to careerists like Watson, Celia Israel, and Brigid Shea. I don’t have a problem with any of those people politically but they need to step aside so someone else can/must get some experience.
  20. LCHorn

    Texas Primaries

    Not that anyone asked my advice, but one message I would be spending every state dollar I could beg would be “Republicans-bad for business.” They’ve got to crack that messaging nut because there’s just not enough of the 2020 Biden constituency groups here where (to your point) rallying them wins a state election.
  21. I know via secondhand that he needed to rally basketball stakeholders around the firing and it was far from a consensus. I also think that part of it was because he was personally reluctant and hoped that Beard could somehow exonerate himself or that some alternative option (to firing) might present itself. That said, I think there was pressure from other donors and from the Presidents office and his attorney acting like a giant asshole didn’t help. Anyway, to bring it back to Pierce, I don’t think the investment is there (both because he’s not a CDC hire and because a Mack Brown like cultivation of donors is unusual). He’s clearly a good coach and the team usually improves as the season goes on but he may be a relatively inferior program manager to other options.
  22. LCHorn

    Texas Primaries

    I actually wasn’t proposing that-I meant run for a state-wide office and win it. Whoever is first on the Dem side to do so is going to wield an enormous amount of power over what the next iteration of the state party looks like (for one they are going to have built a parallel organization that will likely BECOME the state party in order to win in the first place). This might be wishful thinking on my part but I would hope the money would follow. His two main jobs, in my opinion, are to fundraise and recruit candidates for office and he’s very weak at both. His second job (and that of the state board) is to articulate a vision that appeals to TEXAS voters (regardless of what’s going on nationally). In this they’ve regard they are particularly terrible. Finally, with what limited resources they do have they should be trying to a) using Texas as a laboratory and b) trying build up the county chairs. I think they are risk averse and kind of lazy overall and have been hoping that demographics and urban centers would save us and it’s clearly not happening.
  23. I think that’s a good point but the context is different. If that coach (the one we’re potentially firing) had taken over from a two time national championship winning coach and the program had lost momentum but it wasn’t a total rebuild, then yes, I think we would entertain it. Particularly if we could see that we, regardless of the performance overall, appeared to be 4th or worse amongst regional rivals.
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