LCHorn
Full Members-
Posts
3359 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Store
Downloads
Recruiting - 2020
2019-2020 Football Season
Football
Entertainment
Sports
News and Business
Cloak Room
Transfer Portal
Recruiting
Events
Everything posted by LCHorn
-
Texas Recruiting Notes 2025: Duck Around and Find Out
LCHorn replied to texifornia's topic in đ€«$9.95đ€«
A fact likely not lost on any other school paying attention. Itâs going to be much more expensive to add DT depth this coming cycle. -
Looks like a McLane/Purpura signing. Maybe we can follow-up with a former Mets All-Star from ten years ago and/or someone with Texas ties willing to accept the veterans minimum because their fastball canât break glass.
-
Texas Recruiting Notes 2025: Duck Around and Find Out
LCHorn replied to texifornia's topic in đ€«$9.95đ€«
Something else to consider is that the transfer portal has made the risk/reward for the athlete totally different. If youâre trying to maximize NIL commitments and, say A&M, makes an offer you canât refuse, now itâs comparatively painless to transfer to your second choice later. TL:DR- a lot of high school athletes will make the decision based on NIL. Transfers are probably more focused on depth chart and talent development (presumably because they are looking to upgrade on wherever they started, or in Bear Alexanderâs case, where they ended up). -
Not wireless It would be a little narratively weird to reveal Bernard as the secret mastermind running the Silo, only for there to be a different cabal behind him. Iâm a little skeptical that the show wants to make a magic memory potion to the solution to many of the mysteries. If they wanted to go there I think theyâd have used (or foreshadowed the use) of it in season one and judicial would threaten it as a punishment. This might be totally off base, but when you have low tech sci-fi itâs easier to make problems dramatically interesting. If, for example, it ends up thereâs an AI running the place or Bernard is actually 400 years old and heâs a whiskey swilling cyborg then it lessens the stakes. Iâm avoiding Wikipedia for fear of book spoilers, but I think Silo is a revolution parable examined through science fiction, maybe a little like The Moon is a Harsh Mistress (which did have an AI now that I think of it).
-
How he built back the Democratic Party in Wisconsin is important, too. Yes, the Wisconsin state party wanted to win elections, but Wikler sold the stake holders on building up the county and local parties first. Itâs playing the long game in a way Iâve wished donors for the Texas Dems would insist upon.
-
Total War Saga: Troy Released (Free Aug 13th only, Windows + Mac)
LCHorn replied to atomheartbevo's topic in Video Games
I remember hating it but I also bought it at release and it was a buggy mess. AI is terrible but thatâs a common TW complaint. -
Counterpoint: Bidenâs Ukraine record would look a lot worse if Russia used some kind of tactical nuke and Iâm not convinced theyâd be any more of an international pariah than they are already. Also, if the Johnson led House could have passed the appropriations for the transfer of materials earlier, Biden would look a lot better. Agree on the failure to seize the moment, however. Letâs also not forget the how much public friction there was between Austin/DOD and Ukraine leadership on tactical decisions about a thousand pages ago on this thread.
-
Texas Recruiting Notes 2025: Duck Around and Find Out
LCHorn replied to texifornia's topic in đ€«$9.95đ€«
College sports and pro sports remain apples to oranges to the extent that colleges retain an enormous regulatory burden (to say nothing of custom-notice we are still requiring athletes and schools to comply with the NCAAâs degree progress to preserve eligibility). The beauty of NIL is this facilitates that-if volleyball players feel underpaid because Gatorade doesnât see the same endorsement value as football then itâs the private market, not the school, that is depriving them of that. Iâm a little skeptical of collegiate athlete endorsement value, which I think will keep the costs low enough that enthusiastic donors and collectives will be able to keep the bigger schools from monopolizing the athlete market (itâll still be big money but I donât see Nike paying Michael Jordan money to Arch Manning or Travis Hunter unless they demonstrate it in the NFL). Weirder to me than NIL is how the revenue sharing will work-thatâs potentially a huge expense to the schools, many of whom are already begging for cost relief and have to borrow it from academics. If universities truly see athletics as the âfront doorâ of the school, we may see athletics need to be brought in more to the university budget rather than kept separate (though UT and Ohio State will likely the the last two standing if this occurs). -
Texas Recruiting Notes 2025: Duck Around and Find Out
LCHorn replied to texifornia's topic in đ€«$9.95đ€«
Youâve already acknowledged this but thatâs not NIL money. Now that the wealthy can play NFL owner/GM at a much smaller buy-in, in an environment that also benefits and seems more fair to the athletes, I just donât see public support for going back. And as a Texas fan, we shouldnât want that, either purely from self interest or because this new economic reality benefits schools with large and wealthy alumni networks. If that reinforces a model pushing universities towards growing the alumni base and making their earning potential greater, then great (as thats part of the role of universities, anyway). -
Texas Recruiting Notes 2025: Duck Around and Find Out
LCHorn replied to texifornia's topic in đ€«$9.95đ€«
Who is âtheyâ? The court has already ruled against the NCAA trying to limit it. You think Congress is going to be taking this up? -
I took the kids yesterday-itâs not terrible but isnât going to be a classic like its predecessor.
-
All Encompassing Mortgage and Real Estate Thread
LCHorn replied to UTPhil2006's topic in Business and Markets
Good luck trying to tease that out of the data. Itâs probably more measurable in a place like Lexington, which is really only memorable because of Snowâs. -
Sean Harrisâs point was the failure to break with them is signaling to independents that you agree. Ezra Klein would also remind us this isnât just on trans rights-this is a hole host of Dem culture issues and is why the party itself has become toxic. You have to align yourself with BLM, the socialists, the HRC, the unions, etc., and there is so little room for dissent that it makes it hard to run as anything but a party loyalist.
-
Ezra Klein was on PSA and talked about how this came to be-the Democratic Party is overly beholden to single issue groups from the left and they exaggerate the support for those individual issues as a result. Itâs one reason (and just picking on this because the Republicans used it so effectively) they are afraid of antagonizing the trans rights community by running candidates more willing to signal unfriendliness to their favored issues.
-
Watch Crane turn around and give it to Verlander.
-
To echo this, that was his main point (not necessarily on the merits of trans rights, itself), but that she didnât adequately respond to a voters perception that her priorities would favor this over their own economic concerns. This is a little bit adding my own analysis (on what he said), but I think he would agree that a) female candidate of color, b) running as a Dem, c) short campaign timeline so only a limited amount of messaging can be broadcast made it harder than it should have been to test what voters needed to be told about candidate Harris and her priorities that would move them to supper her. The whole thing is worth a listen because Miller (who is gay and therefore a little more intimately familiar with voter data when LGBT issues are involved) is willing to debate the guests and not just take on faith an analysis that might feel true but could be overlooking something in search of that explanation (like your point about the swing state/trans advertising). Anyway, bringing this back to the OP, I donât think there are any grand takeaways here besides donât skip a primary season again (which is team Bidenâs fault).
-
Sean Harris on the Bulwark podcast last week brought this up. In his opinion, this was a really salient issue* to swing voters and the Kamala campaign made an enormous tactical failure in not rebutting it in front of a large audience like the debate or on Rogan. I disagree this, but several of these podcasts guests or hosts have made the case that the biggest weakness of the Kamala campaign was 2020 candidate Kamala. *it was salient in as much as it became a proxy for leftist cultural stuff like latinx, pronouns, DEI, etc.
-
Again, the only people feeling sorry for them are themselves. Iâm sure you saw the âwhat I make, what I spendâ Reddit thread that went viral a few years ago, in which the author showed how quickly $650k annual income or whatever it was could get spent on the Bay Area on housing, child care, etc. It went viral because of how tone-deaf it was. Youâve got a woman facing lifetime infertility because her pregnancy couldnât be legally terminated, a 1st gen American worried about his parents getting deported, and a upper East side family weighing whether Goddard or a nanny makes the most sense. Iâve got only so much bandwidth for selling sympathy, who should I be prioritizing?
-
Some good ideas⊠And some bad ones. Some of what youâre proposing might have been a little facetious so I wonât rebut them individually, but I agree with you that the Democrats need a hard pivot back to âYou arenât rich? We are for you.â Iâve been wondering why they arenât more pro-labor (I.e., using the party communication apparatus in support of workers trying to unionize); perhaps thereâs a good reason for that (doubt, perhaps, that a new union member in 2024 votes Dem), but thatâs kind of the re-orientation they need to make. There was a NY Times post election op-ed that made the case that Kamala was too cosy with the wealthy to attack them (the piece sort of blamed her brother in law who is an exec at Uber). From a messaging standpoint that needs to change, but it also needs to permeate down to the local level so that the party is recruiting candidates more like Jon Tester and less like your boy Talarico (not that Talarico is bad rep, but heâs basically been a politician since he was a UT student). Was this a humble brag? Are you afraid of alienating the voters making $400k-$999k? Your belief is what is dooming the party, not just in economic issues but the social issues animating that particular group. Bringing it back to @Snake Diggityâs ideas, there is a need for a radical revisioning of the party and if that means ejecting some of the winners in the 21st century economy then so be it. The plan needs to start with âwhat positions are capable of building a durable majority?â and then proceeding from that so we can break the doom loop in which every election is a change election.
-
Pretty crazy that guy is 80.
-
All Encompassing Mortgage and Real Estate Thread
LCHorn replied to UTPhil2006's topic in Business and Markets
This is getting off track from real estate, but your presumption about the down river impact of union pay might seem intuitively true to you, but I can think of at least five rebuttals, also that seem intuitively true, that would refute it. What is it about this particular conclusion that, lacking data to support it, you find so compelling? Hereâs an easy one thatâs going to be wildly deflationary compared to union pay-AI is going to make a ton of jobs pretend work over the next five years. Employers are going to be doing reduction in force, not because they arenât making money, but because their employees are idle. This is going to hugely impact tech and the ânew middle classâ thatâs come to replace industrial work. I think youâve mentioned you have your law degree, even if youâre not really practicing-AI is already making paralegals superfluous labor and thatâs just with where the technology is today. -
All Encompassing Mortgage and Real Estate Thread
LCHorn replied to UTPhil2006's topic in Business and Markets
You think the rate of inflation is going to be impacted by union members making up about a 10th of the workforce? And that this is potentially more impactful than tariffs? What ever do you base this on? -
I usually cook my roux a day in advance because I like to play chicken toasting the flour.
-
They kind of have to-they spent so much on the Anne Rice rights and need programming to broadcast and sell to the streamers.
Football ... Basketball ... Baseball ... Other Sports ... Futbol ... đ€«995đ€« ... Gambling ... Movies & TV ... Music ... Hobbies ... Lulz ... Food & Travel ... Daily Texan ... Business and Markets ... Cloak Room ... Help ... For Sale ... Board Discussion ... Subscribe!... Donate!... COOKIE MONSTER!