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LCHorn

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Everything posted by LCHorn

  1. I just presumed that’s Banks since TE’s alternate between receiving and lineman drills.
  2. I’m again trying to read tea leaves, but if you think that retention is going to be expensive, and that depth is the difference maker between teams like Texas and A&M, then that argues for spreading the money around on a greater quantity of lower profile transfers than the Walter Nolan’s of the world. 10 is the under, especially with scholarship limits poised to increase.
  3. Well, in support of your argument (and as a rebuttal against mine), there’s likely donor fatigue all around the big schools and a transfer DT from the Big 12 isn’t likely to have a lot of appeal as a promotional partner to someone like Lamborghini Austin.
  4. If what @closetojumping and others have speculated regarding Harris is accurate, that’s a title in name only and Sark is the real GM. My point is that’s not a model that tends to work outside of a hall of fame type career, and even then it’s questionable.
  5. That’s got to be coming-the stakes are getting too high and schools will need to follow the NFL front office model and then some, particularly since you have to so many more players for transfer candidates plus expanded high school as recruiting becomes less regional for the top 20 or 30 schools.
  6. Yes, but only in Silo 18. Each is independently run, like the Fallout bunkers. That said, I think the show has alluded (or made explicit) that the head of IT can communicate with the other Silos. Which, and here’s a hairy ass prediction for you, is what George was about to discover. If they can communicate with other another then it’s presumably buried fiber optic. And if they dug that deep then perhaps there’s a tunnel beneath maintenance that connects the Silos to one another. Perhaps coordinating the other silos and/or reviving old drilling technology is what allows them to tunnel out of the irradiated zone. One other thought-the transmission bandwidth in the radiation suit camera seemed pretty good considering there wasn’t a transmission tower nearby to transmit signals. I wonder if that’s indicative of satellite communication.
  7. That was my thought, too. Looks like a similar body type to Lance Jackson. I thought the Kwiatkowski defense tended to favor a bigger (more lengthy) DE paired with one a little more fast twitch on the other side. I’m thinking that the floor has gone up, if not the ceiling. Fifth year veterans like Bill Norton probably offer better 2026 value than all but the most elite high school prospects.
  8. A fact likely not lost on any other school paying attention. It’s going to be much more expensive to add DT depth this coming cycle.
  9. Looks like a McLane/Purpura signing. Maybe we can follow-up with a former Mets All-Star from ten years ago and/or someone with Texas ties willing to accept the veterans minimum because their fastball can’t break glass.
  10. Something else to consider is that the transfer portal has made the risk/reward for the athlete totally different. If you’re trying to maximize NIL commitments and, say A&M, makes an offer you can’t refuse, now it’s comparatively painless to transfer to your second choice later. TL:DR- a lot of high school athletes will make the decision based on NIL. Transfers are probably more focused on depth chart and talent development (presumably because they are looking to upgrade on wherever they started, or in Bear Alexander’s case, where they ended up).
  11. Not wireless It would be a little narratively weird to reveal Bernard as the secret mastermind running the Silo, only for there to be a different cabal behind him. I’m a little skeptical that the show wants to make a magic memory potion to the solution to many of the mysteries. If they wanted to go there I think they’d have used (or foreshadowed the use) of it in season one and judicial would threaten it as a punishment. This might be totally off base, but when you have low tech sci-fi it’s easier to make problems dramatically interesting. If, for example, it ends up there’s an AI running the place or Bernard is actually 400 years old and he’s a whiskey swilling cyborg then it lessens the stakes. I’m avoiding Wikipedia for fear of book spoilers, but I think Silo is a revolution parable examined through science fiction, maybe a little like The Moon is a Harsh Mistress (which did have an AI now that I think of it).
  12. How he built back the Democratic Party in Wisconsin is important, too. Yes, the Wisconsin state party wanted to win elections, but Wikler sold the stake holders on building up the county and local parties first. It’s playing the long game in a way I’ve wished donors for the Texas Dems would insist upon.
  13. I remember hating it but I also bought it at release and it was a buggy mess. AI is terrible but that’s a common TW complaint.
  14. Counterpoint: Biden’s Ukraine record would look a lot worse if Russia used some kind of tactical nuke and I’m not convinced they’d be any more of an international pariah than they are already. Also, if the Johnson led House could have passed the appropriations for the transfer of materials earlier, Biden would look a lot better. Agree on the failure to seize the moment, however. Let’s also not forget the how much public friction there was between Austin/DOD and Ukraine leadership on tactical decisions about a thousand pages ago on this thread.
  15. College sports and pro sports remain apples to oranges to the extent that colleges retain an enormous regulatory burden (to say nothing of custom-notice we are still requiring athletes and schools to comply with the NCAA’s degree progress to preserve eligibility). The beauty of NIL is this facilitates that-if volleyball players feel underpaid because Gatorade doesn’t see the same endorsement value as football then it’s the private market, not the school, that is depriving them of that. I’m a little skeptical of collegiate athlete endorsement value, which I think will keep the costs low enough that enthusiastic donors and collectives will be able to keep the bigger schools from monopolizing the athlete market (it’ll still be big money but I don’t see Nike paying Michael Jordan money to Arch Manning or Travis Hunter unless they demonstrate it in the NFL). Weirder to me than NIL is how the revenue sharing will work-that’s potentially a huge expense to the schools, many of whom are already begging for cost relief and have to borrow it from academics. If universities truly see athletics as the “front door” of the school, we may see athletics need to be brought in more to the university budget rather than kept separate (though UT and Ohio State will likely the the last two standing if this occurs).
  16. You’ve already acknowledged this but that’s not NIL money. Now that the wealthy can play NFL owner/GM at a much smaller buy-in, in an environment that also benefits and seems more fair to the athletes, I just don’t see public support for going back. And as a Texas fan, we shouldn’t want that, either purely from self interest or because this new economic reality benefits schools with large and wealthy alumni networks. If that reinforces a model pushing universities towards growing the alumni base and making their earning potential greater, then great (as thats part of the role of universities, anyway).
  17. Who is “they”? The court has already ruled against the NCAA trying to limit it. You think Congress is going to be taking this up?
  18. I took the kids yesterday-it’s not terrible but isn’t going to be a classic like its predecessor.
  19. Good luck trying to tease that out of the data. It’s probably more measurable in a place like Lexington, which is really only memorable because of Snow’s.
  20. So looking at the statistics, rookie Jalen Green appears to be a more efficient player than 4th year vet Jalen Green. For those of y’all more able to watch the games, is there some performance improvements you see that are missed by looking at the stats?
  21. Sean Harris’s point was the failure to break with them is signaling to independents that you agree. Ezra Klein would also remind us this isn’t just on trans rights-this is a hole host of Dem culture issues and is why the party itself has become toxic. You have to align yourself with BLM, the socialists, the HRC, the unions, etc., and there is so little room for dissent that it makes it hard to run as anything but a party loyalist.
  22. Ezra Klein was on PSA and talked about how this came to be-the Democratic Party is overly beholden to single issue groups from the left and they exaggerate the support for those individual issues as a result. It’s one reason (and just picking on this because the Republicans used it so effectively) they are afraid of antagonizing the trans rights community by running candidates more willing to signal unfriendliness to their favored issues.
  23. Watch Crane turn around and give it to Verlander.
  24. To echo this, that was his main point (not necessarily on the merits of trans rights, itself), but that she didn’t adequately respond to a voters perception that her priorities would favor this over their own economic concerns. This is a little bit adding my own analysis (on what he said), but I think he would agree that a) female candidate of color, b) running as a Dem, c) short campaign timeline so only a limited amount of messaging can be broadcast made it harder than it should have been to test what voters needed to be told about candidate Harris and her priorities that would move them to supper her. The whole thing is worth a listen because Miller (who is gay and therefore a little more intimately familiar with voter data when LGBT issues are involved) is willing to debate the guests and not just take on faith an analysis that might feel true but could be overlooking something in search of that explanation (like your point about the swing state/trans advertising). Anyway, bringing this back to the OP, I don’t think there are any grand takeaways here besides don’t skip a primary season again (which is team Biden’s fault).
  25. Sean Harris on the Bulwark podcast last week brought this up. In his opinion, this was a really salient issue* to swing voters and the Kamala campaign made an enormous tactical failure in not rebutting it in front of a large audience like the debate or on Rogan. I disagree this, but several of these podcasts guests or hosts have made the case that the biggest weakness of the Kamala campaign was 2020 candidate Kamala. *it was salient in as much as it became a proxy for leftist cultural stuff like latinx, pronouns, DEI, etc.
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