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LCHorn

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Everything posted by LCHorn

  1. I think it’s #1 but I’m always surprised I don’t see it written about, talked about on podcasts, etc. Maybe the media exhausted themselves over it in 2018 and I was paying less attention. I’ve probably listened to Tim Miller on the Bulwark podcast and Pod Save America 80 hours over the last month and they’ve definitely talked about #2-#5 but nothing on Russian “investments”.
  2. I'd love a recommendation for a pool resurfacing pro in Austin if anyone has one.
  3. That’s just because Tucker is aloof. I hope we offer him market but it’s easier to get average production in the outfield and upgrade elsewhere. One thing I want to take a closer look at is our peers bench production. We’ve got probably 800 at bats with, at best 650 ops. Some of that is bad luck (I wouldn’t expect Chas to repeat last year but this level of production is unexpected), but it’s also a place to upgrade for a low relative cost.
  4. Look, if the window is closed, who cares if the payroll is $65m or $165m? Bregman appears irreplaceable in 2025 and 2026 is going to be contingent on replacing Tucker or his wins.
  5. The last couple of years on most longer contracts are shitty anyway; I don’t know why that should be a hindrance. I’ve been moved into the “pay whatever the market requires” camp by the relative paucity of replacement candidates. Particularly with a hole in LF, 1B, and ideally hunting an upgrade in CF.
  6. So I listened to that yesterday because a Klein/Buttigieg combo is like crack to me, and Mayor Pete as always delivered. That said, I think his failure as a candidate (and to some degree as a surrogate) is because his communication style is exactly what someone of my education and social class wants to hear. He’s a little like Elizabeth Warren in that he proposes solutions that seem appealing because they are based on data, are constructive, etc, but is almost over polished for an electorate raised on reality TV. I don’t think he or Ezra laughed or cracked a joke in the whole hour. I get that they want to discuss serious topics, but if he dares to run again he’s got to try to entertain a little. It also made me think that maybe he’s a better Senate candidate than Presidential candidate. He can be Gen X Daniel Patrick Moynihan.
  7. Yeah, but that blue Texas sure looks pretty, doesn’t it? Imagine if we can flip it…
  8. Lucky in a statistical sense. You and I both know that pitch a half inch up or down and the batted ball performs differently. If it makes you doomsayers feel any better, take a look at the statistics of the other playoff candidates in both leagues. We’re a little spoiled because the of how well balanced most of the Astros teams have been during this run, but pretty much everyone has a hole or has to pick between defense and offense at a couple of key positions (just like us).
  9. #1, I don’t think more money helps Trump anyway. His cake is baked (you said it on another post and I’ve read it elsewhere-his ceiling is his floor). #2, the Trump campaign is comparatively small with fewer satellite offices; they pretty have to spend their money on traditional and digital advertising because they aren’t set up to pivot elsewhere. I’m sure this is over-reading into it, but I’d presume there’s some realistic reasons to spend in Florida (defend abortion rights) and maybe subordinate but also satisfying reasons (Mar-A-Lago tv’s running pro-Dem ads, maybe trying to shape now what a post-DeSantis Florida looks like).
  10. That’s a little pessimistic. Analytics minded folks would say there’s a spectrum of outcomes and the MLB playoffs aren’t designed to produce the best team. Let’s not forget the run the Rangers went on just last year and the fact the 2019 Astros were the best team in baseball (and it wasn’t close) and still lost because Steven Strasburg’s neck survived one season too long and Howie Kendrick got lucky.
  11. I remember when the Hillary Clinton campaign was thinking it could add in a few battleground states, too. That said, she needs to be spend her money somewhere and it appears no one wants to bank it and use it discreetly to take over the Texas Democratic Party.
  12. Maybe he’s an exception, but when I see 6’6’’, 250 and from Jasper I want to predict a position change once he gets into a college strength and conditioning program. He may end up great but that’s a luxury take if he’s committed elsewhere and needs NIL promises to turn his head.
  13. Agree on this-I’ve talked about this before but I’ve been told UT still has a mixed reputation in some corners of the African American community (mainly urban Dallas and Houston to a smaller degree). It might be that first generation kids don’t have the same inherited baggage, or maybe African parents are indifferent to everything but current academic rankings. Additionally helpful is that there are first-gen African descent kids on campus for pure academics and it’s not a token presence. Either way, there’s quite a few success stories to tout if you’re trying to sell the school.
  14. Also, one more thing--the make-up and prosthetics on Farrell are superb. I don't think I've ever seen someone basically wearing a mask but able to emote and move their face as much as I'm seeing here.
  15. So I finally caught this on Hulu after reading about it here and periodically over the last year. I was a little disappointed and it was not atypical of the weirdness I see in lower budget foreign produced horror films. Plot holes, characters that behave in unfamiliar ways, plot that demands that the characters are oblivious in order to set up conflict. The best “oh shit” moment I won’t spoil and involves a dog, but I’m afraid everything after was underwhelming.
  16. Didn’t we already have a top 5 recruiting class for ‘25 or did that dematerialize after the Pierce firing?
  17. I’m enjoying the fact that they aren’t trying to portray him as some mastermind, which would be dramatically inert. He’s ruthless but only one step ahead. They did do a great job (having someone with Farrell’s charisma does a lot of the heavy lifting) of making the audience root for a villain. Also, in for Cristin Milioti. She’s always fantastic and this looks like a great role for her.
  18. At some point Cameron Rising has to run out of eligibility…
  19. I don’t think that’s anything exceptional about Texas (or the US, for that matter-that kind of shit is getting play in campaigns across the western world). Frankly, I’d rather Cruz be running those ads than one promising a tax cut under a Trump presidency more appealing to the “hold your nose and vote R” voter. This is almost 40 year old Liberty County gossip, but top center’s Dad was rumored to have left his family for a gay relationship (back then the whispers would have added “in Houston no less!”, as it was commonly presumed Houston was a place of permissive immorality).
  20. He said by the industry. The fact that 20th Century Fox didn't adapt all of the Aubrey/Maturin novels after absolutely nailing the casting and terrific work by Weir is unfortunate.
  21. Eh, there’s got to be stature of limitations on blame. Why not blame the Ottomans for resettling thousands of Jews in the Levant after their expulsion from Spain? Or maybe the medieval Arabs for establishing a culture of religious tolerance picked up by the Ottomans that allowed the Jews the right to practice their own religion rather than assimilate (as the Spanish required)?
  22. Valid question but probably not, at this point. Politico ran a piece a few days ago about the Montana Senate race and ad buys are in the can and more money/outreach isn’t going to persuade someone voting against the incumbent. That’s also why the forecasters are so bearish on that one-Tester is going down unless Harris has bigger than expected coattails. Anyway, you could spend it in Michigan but they have a good Dem running and plenty of party infrastructure. Brown in Ohio will run ahead of Harris and is a good fundraiser already. Basically, if you have money it’s spend it on Texas or Florida. Both will most likely lose but the donor network in Texas probably contributes more nationally so letting them see it get spent at home helps future fundraising efforts.
  23. Counterpoint-she was hot. This is why we can’t trust retired Army candidates. At least retired USMC officers know chasing thicc Latinas is asking for trouble.
  24. Ya’ll keep talking fingers and I don’t want to go back through the thread-whose fingers and what’s the issue with them?
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