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Starfleet Command

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Posts posted by Starfleet Command

  1. 5 minutes ago, Gourmand said:

    They were 3-7 vs Oakland last year and then wiped them out in the divisional series. You think playoff experience didn't matter then?

    No. I think they were playing far below their talent level for that 60 game season and their playoff run was more akin to how they should have been playing the entire season. 

  2. 9 minutes ago, Gourmand said:

    You're also ignoring the obvious and unquantifiable advantage of postseason experience. How many postseason games have White Sox players experienced vs the Astros roster?

    I'm not a big believer in that mattering much.  If you think postseason experience is so material, then maybe we should start Greinke in game three or four?  He has more experience than anyone on the roster.  How much post-season experience did Framber have last year when he was by-far our best post-season pitcher?  

  3. 5 minutes ago, Helobious said:

    This is maybe the dumbest post in the thread, a thread which I have posted a lot in. We’re not the Royals. We have the money to do whatever we want. Ownership just likes to pretend we don’t. Also I don’t see all these holes you speak of. Catcher, center for sure. We have 2 of the top shortstop prospects in baseball in the minors, that’s no long term concern. 6th lowest team ERA in baseball this year, better than the Astros. Pitching isn’t a huge concern. The Yankees have a World Series shot every year they’re just run by morons.

    Neither of those SS prospects are going to be ready to contribute next season. Yankees were also near dead last in WAR for CF.  You’re starting 1B is a rental.  Torres hasn’t played well since 2019. Urshela has been a JAG this season.  Like many other teams, the Yankees may exceed the LT threshold for a single season, but they aren’t going to go above it for multiple seasons and incur the draft penalties. 

  4. 7 minutes ago, Helobious said:

    God I hope you’re right

    It won’t make a difference. This was likely the Yankees best chance to win a WS for a long time.  You don’t have money to fill the holes that have developed on your roster with all the arb money you will be hit with this off-season. 

  5. 2 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

    oh, we're definitely going to lose.

    but your very specific reasoning doesn't really take into account the fact that they played 6 games against ~playoff teams in their last 35 while we stacked up games against the rays (3), a's (6), m's (6), and padres (3).

    also you can start not including greinke in your "argument", unless you also want to include verlander, who should see an equal amount of meaningful time this series.

    We’re talking about hundreds of innings combined between these two teams over that time span. I guarantee the variance in offensive talent over a sample that large is less than 10% while the difference in results are substantially larger than 10%. It’s just silly to argue that they don’t have a marked advantage there.  
     

    On the other hand we hit and field better than they do, which is hardly nothing and could also be the difference in the series. 

  6. 2 minutes ago, Gourmand said:

    the point of this post is that all y'all with disposable income need to bet against your Astros and pay for the joy of another ALCS appearance or get paid for the good guys falling short.

    I don’t gamble on sports but I would put it at something like 55/45 Sox. Elite SP are just so valuable in the post-season where you can club other teams over the head with them in a way you can’t in the regular season where keeping them healthy is much more important than winning any particular game. 

  7. 29 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

    the sox staff is not the same as it was a couple short months ago.  if you wanna drag urquidy and garcia through the mud, you may want to take a look at what the white sox guys have been up to.  they will probably shut us down, but they were much better earlier in the year when we (checks notes) kicked their ass 5/7.

    Lynn, Giolito, and Cease each have an xwOBA less than .300 since September 1. LMJ is the only Astros starter to meet that mark.  Garcia is at .355 and Greinke is at an insane .447.  Anything can happen in the post-season but, IMO, the Sox are more likely to win this series. 

    • Fuck You 2
  8. 2 minutes ago, ztejas said:

    Maybe. You don't want Stanton tying it up this early, though. 

    I would have tried to let him get through but what the fuck do I know. 

    Their pen just isn’t that deep though.  Brasier particularly isn’t that good. 

  9. 5 minutes ago, shadow_operative2.0 said:

    Their game scores for September were 54-50. You are the one that said ‘elite’, which is statistically false. 

    GS encompasses a number of things over which the pitcher has little to no control. In terms of K/BB and quality of contact, the things pitchers have a lot of control over, Eovaldi has been elite. He has a .267 xwOBA for instance since 9-1 which is as elite as it gets for a SP. 

  10. 1 minute ago, henrygandorf said:

    this seems harsh and inaccurate.  except the greinke stuff - i'm fine if he's left off the roster.

    the white sox are a shitty road team.  if we can somehow get to 2-0 heading to chicago, i feel pretty good about urquidy in g3 and garcia (if necessary) in g4.  you're not asking for anything more than 4-5ip, 2er in games against i assume rodon and...dk?  cease?

    lance then becomes the fallback option in g5 at home on full rest.  if we can't win that game then what's the fucking point anyway?

    The Sox have three starters who have been as good, or better than, our best starter in LMJ, and that’s not even counting Rodon whom I’m assuming only pitches as a reliever/opener, if at all.

     

    It would be one thing if we had a deep and talented pen to fall back on, but that’s not the case at all as we only really have Pressly, Graveman, and maybe Pressly as well above average relievers.  Stanek is great against RHB but you don’t want him pitching to Grandal or Moncada. 

  11. 16 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

    I’m not surprised they went with the chalk. The more I think about it though the more I think I’d have gone Framber, Lance, garcia (Urquidy if I didn’t need him in the first two games for multiple innings) Framber Lance. 
     

    It's tough because things fall off so dramatically after Lance and Framber.  I don't like the idea of pitching either of LMJ or Framber on short rest as you're asking for a 4+ walk outing on short rest from them, but I also loathe the idea of having any of Garcia, Urquidy, and especially Greinke pitching more than 3 innings.  Garcia and Greinke imploding in the second half has crippled the Astros' chances of advancing deep in the post-season, imo.  The team is just going to have to score a lot of runs to have a chance.

  12. 18 minutes ago, Pimphand said:

    So the dude who has one quality start in 9 starts is your undisputed staff ace? LOL

    Eovaldi has been excellent this season.  I'd give the slight edge to the Yankees with their pen but I wouldn't be surprised at all if Eovaldi out pitches Cole with how pedestrian Cole has performed over the past month.

  13. Just now, IDIOTsavant said:

    These two aren't really the same. The Tigers actually have a fair bit of young talent coming up with no real SS prospects and no real money on the books outside of the next two years of the disasterous Cabrera contract. They could use veteran leadership for the long term, and there is the Hinch connection. Given some of the contracts given out by Detroit in the past, I could see them going over the top with an offer ($300M+) that Houston just refuses to match.

    Yeah, i've been thinking for a while that may be where he ends up if the Yankees don't get him.

  14. 5 minutes ago, TonyTexas said:

    I disagree with just about everything in this post. The great thing about baseball is that, with so many games, statistics typically are a good indicator on who you are. The Yankees offense sucks. Bottom 1/3 of the league bad. On the other hand, TB’s offense is good. Only the Astros scored more runs. And their pitching staff’s ERA ranked 4th.  

    The Yankees have actually hit the ball quite better than the Rays this season but have had very poor batted ball luck.  

  15. 2 hours ago, Scraps said:

    My educated guesses (So probably all fucking wrong)

    Who is playing between the Red Sox/Yankees at this point really shouldn't matter.  

    We will get the early game Thursday -  roughly 4pm

    We will either get the fucking 1st or 2nd game Friday(along with ATL/Mil either 1pm or 3:30pm) because the Red Sox/Yankees v Rays will be at night(6pm), and  LA/Stl v SF that will be a later game as well(8:30).  

     

    I'd prefer the Red Sox.  The Yankees ceiling is just much higher even if they haven't played up to it this season.  Also, the Rays won a bunch of games this season but I don't see them making it to the World Series.  Their offense, imo, is smoke and mirrors and their pitching staff is limited right now.

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