I’d love for them to sign Correa but I just don’t see it happening.
Personally, I don’t think Crane wants be stuck paying Correa after the Astros’ window closes. Crane has shown a willingness to spend up to the LT threshold when the Astros are competitive, but will likely cut payroll down the bone like he did last time when they are rebuilding. It sucks but at least we’re not like the A’s and Gaurdians and look to limit payroll in the middle of a competitive window. All in all, I think he’s a savvy owner who makes good hires (Dusty excepted) and is at least willing to spend when he believes it’s in his interest as an owner to spend.
Also, I don’t think the world will end if the Astros fail to sign Correa. There are other areas where they can spend to improve the team and reach the LT threshold, which I think they will do. Ultimately the success of the Astros in the next 5-8 years will depend on Click’s transactions, drafting, IFA signings, and luck. I don’t think Click’s an idiot and he was a solid hire at the time but I think some causes for concern are beginning to emerge with him. Luhnow IMO could be scummy in how he operated but I don’t think Click will end up performing at his level in keeping the Astros at the bleeding edge of talent evaluation/development.