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statsman

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Everything posted by statsman

  1. statsman
    No, I don’t. But, it’s Louisiana. I have no reason to doubt that they would redirect mid eight figures from legit academic needs, towards football, if that was the only way to compete.
  2. statsman
    I see on multiple message boards this idea that teams can afford the failed coach buyout, or the big NIL, but not both. The assumption being that the source of both is rich boosters? Question- it’s not illegal to pay coaching buyouts out of regular AD funds (recognizing they would have to show a “loss” on the books, that would have to be covered by regular university funds, which is an awful look). When are teams going to do that? (Private schools can probably do it without telling anyone). A school like LSU could pay Kelly’s buyout with university funds, and weather the media shit storm by firing the Athletic Director, right? And then apply booster money to NIL (along with whatever AD allotment the House allows)?
  3. statsman
    Darrell Royal’s quote, facing accusations from the Sooners when he complained about Switzer buying players, was, “If I ever turned the Texas Exes loose on buying players, there won’t be any left for anyone else”. That communicated a couple of things. Frank Erwin was the chairman of the BoR, and didn’t want to see Texas second in anything. There were also powerful governors feeling the same. Royal actually had to use his stature and influence to keep them out of recruiting. Why? Royal felt he had demonstrated that, given a level playing field, he could win a shit ton of games.
  4. statsman
    I imagine they will put him on the S&C and nutrition program, start teaching him the positional requirements, and get him out there competing for playing time. Just like with everyone else. (I agree he has a little more to work with)
  5. statsman
    Scipio put it this way-“Not all defensive minded head coaches fail, but the ones that fail tend to fail the same way- overemphasis on offensive conservatism and stability, to avoid putting the defense in a bad position”. That’s how Muschamp failed.
  6. statsman
    It’s a long story. There are only a few SMU football fans that hung around since the 1980’s. They repeat a tale of their Death Penalty woes as being due to Texas (it’s not true, but Texas was the program they were aiming at, at the time). That has become a theme on their message board- big, bad Texas trying to hold them down, stealing what is rightfully theirs. I know the response from Texas is “Who? What?”
  7. statsman
    I checked out theSMU ON3 board. They are very salty about Texas. On Klatt’s podcast, he noted that the best thing for the SEC is for: 1. ND to lose and open up another at large spot. 2. Texas to beat TAMU to get the number of 2-loss or fewer SEC teams to five, to avoid protracted hair splitting debate.
  8. statsman
    I think you have it backwards. Calculator says 10-2 UGA (win out, no CG) has a 99% chance. 10-2 Texas (1-1, no CG) has 75% chance. That doesn’t make sense to you?
  9. statsman
    Per the ESPN playoff calculator, chances of making CFP: Texas- 10-2: 75%, 11-2: 99%, 9-3: 2% Georgia- 10-2: 99%, 10-3: 83%, 9-3: 51% Ole Miss: 10-2: 86%, 10-3: 62%, 9-3: 1% Tennessee- 10-2: 83%, 19-3: 24%, 9-3: 1% Bama- 10-2: 99%, 10-3: 71%, 9-3: 17% TAMU- 10-3: 58%, 9-3: 5%, 9-4: 1% I am curious about the assumptions that have the SEC CG loss lowering chances versus not playing in the game at all.
  10. statsman
    https://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/_/page/cfbplayoffpredictor2024/2024-college-football-allstate-playoff-bracket-predictor Odds of BYU making the CFP if it wins out the regular season, but loses the conference CG: 34% Same for SMU: 17% Miami: 32% What this means? Upsets have an impact, some upsets will happen. There will be a little chaos.
  11. statsman
    ESPN calculator monte-carlos these scenarios and has Texas probably (74%) getting in at 10-2. It relies on the scenarios where extra spots open up (ND loses, ACC and B12 only get one in), I assume.
  12. statsman
    It’s very interesting that the CFP committee ranked the top G5 school (Bouse) ahead of the top B12 school (BYU). I know that the committee uses early rankings to make points and doesn’t at all feel obligated to maintain a logic consistently through the final rankings, but it’s still very telling about what it thinks of “conferences of equals”.
  13. statsman
    Per Klatt: the argument that hurts Texas is that a playoff contender’s ceiling is demonstrated by their best win. So far, Texas’ best wins are Michigan or Vandy. That’s our problem. If the Horns win out, Texas’ best win will be TAMU.
  14. statsman
    Wow! From Sooner Scoop moderator Q&A: 80%?
  15. statsman
    Well, they played and lost to a 2-5 B1G team, so … maybe? Sagarin has CU at 13. That puts them lower than four B1G teams and six SEC teams.
  16. statsman
    The best thing the B12 has going for it is a media contract that goes through 2031. Absent Colorado, the numbers are not good. If a G5 conference champ is ever seeded higher than the B12 champ, the conference’s rep will take a hit difficult to recover from.
  17. statsman
    Does he mention that Sark was in year 1? That recruits knew who their OL coach was (Flood)? That Venables is in year 3 and Bedenbaugh is likely canned?
  18. statsman
    Lots of Sooner consternation over Fasusi.
  19. statsman
    I count four of those drives as coming against our starters
  20. statsman
    Michigan, 4th quarter, less than 5 minutes left, 78 yards, TD. UTSA, 2nd quarter, 75 yards, TD MSU, 4th quarter, 75 yards, TD UGA, 3rd quarter, 89 yards, TD Vanderbilt, 4th quarter, 75 yards, TD Florida, 4th quarter, 67 yards, TD Arkansas, 3rd quarter, 75 yards, TD So, seven in ten games. Five in six SEC games. Is that good?
  21. statsman
    A SAAB saved my life when a dump truck panic-swerved and drove over me. I walked away unharmed.
  22. statsman
    https://stats.texassports.com/custompages/sports/m-footbl/archive/stats/07/ut12.htm KO time was 2:42 PM. It was a long game. The sun was setting at the end and the lights were on. But still,…”afternoon game at Kyle?” Really?
  23. statsman
    Lole (once a Sooner portal commit) has done a hell of a lot more for us than Damonic Williams (the Sooner portal capture that convinced Lole to bail) has done for OU.
  24. statsman
    I don’t think it was a call. He saw that his guy was going to be covered, that the edge would be set, and went looking for work on his own.
  25. statsman
    Do you know the last time we lost at Kyle Field, at night? 1993. Were you even born? They had a much, much better team than Texas in 1993. You can say “College Station at night” like it means something. Maybe it once did,…back when Texas was a swing state (oops! No CR!), back when the 386 computer was a sparkle in Michael Dell’s eye, when SAAB (look it up, junior) was a Swedish car, and Saddam had been just been shown what’s what. There is no magic about night games at Kyle Field. They get loud. Our offense has hand signals. It will be fine.

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