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statsman

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Everything posted by statsman

  1. From your lips to God’s ear, but I’m not going to set myself up for disappointment OU losing to non-P5 teams, going back: 2009: BYU (finished 11-2 and #12) 2005: TCU (finished 11-1 and #11) 1996: Tulsa (finished 4-7) and TCU (finished 5-7) So, after 1996, OU has only lost to exceptional non P5 teams. In 1996, they were so shitty, they lost to two bad non P5 teams. I remember an average Army team giving them more of a game than they wanted, but they squeaked past them. I hope OU is shitty like it hasn’t been for decades, but they’ll have to show me.
  2. I trust your evaluation of their program, but I have seen so many fatally flawed Texas teams use program muscle memory, significant talent advantage in a couple of units, and a deeper dig into the schematic bag than they really wanted to make, in order to soundly beat a lesser foe, and quiet the wolves. It’s certainly not a sign of program health and the piper will have to be paid at some point (David Ash carried nine times in a thumping of NMSU in 2013; how did that work out?) , but I expect a thirty point win to be more likely than a slight defeat, for OU.
  3. Oklahoma is going to work Tulane, hard. It will be a win by a large margin, requiring more pre-game installation and intensity than they ever wanted to put into it.
  4. Look, it’s pretty clear they’re not playing more than 13 games, so why not?
  5. EPL star Georgie Best quotes : “I spent a lot of money on booze, birds and fast cars. The rest I just squandered”. "If I had to choose between dribbling past five players and scoring from 40 yards at Anfield or shagging Miss World, it'd be a hard choice. Thankfully, I've done both." “I used to go missing a lot. Miss Canada, Miss United Kingdom, Miss Workd…” Best was a lot like Mantle- he blew through one liver, got a transplant, and blew through it, too, dying at 59. That’s one thing you can say about Bobby Layne- he didn’t take a liver from the transplant list, leveraging his name for a few more weeks at the expense of someone else, making promises to stop drinking that he knew he wouldn’t keep. He used his liver up, and that was that.
  6. When does Klatt come on? Today?
  7. Here is an article that explained how a real life middle class functional couple lost a lot of money. TLDR: seemingly legit financial advisor “invested” their money in sub-optimum financial instruments that paid high commissions to the salesman. https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/a-couple-won-the-powerball-investing-it-turned-into-tragedy-fc8fd31c?st=3vtaqccscun8f9e&reflink=mobilewebshare_permalink I wouldn’t be surprised if athletes meet a lot of guys like that.
  8. Jackson Arnold- is he on a multi year NIL deal? Is it guaranteed (assuming he doesn’t quit or transfer)? Maybe he just needs time to work this out, or maybe both parties need a change, but either way, is there a multi year parameter involved?
  9. What? Are you still thinking that Hamas is hanging out in the barracks at Fort Arafat? That’s not how this works. Hamas imbeds among civilians and limits the civilians’ egress. Please answer the question- what should the rule of war be about enemy troops/militants imbedded among civilians?
  10. When Hamas puts its forces in civilian centers, they (Hamas) commit a war crime. When Israel bombs them, there, it is not committing a war crime. If Gaza has a NICU unit, and Sinwar puts his command post right next to it, it is not a war crime for Israel to bomb it. That’s an extreme example to illustrate a point. If you don’t like the formal rules of war, what is your proposal to change them to? Is it your contention that the U.S. committed a war crime when it bombed Dresden? I know that’s what Nazi leaders proposed in the Nuremberg trials. Golda Meir said, “We can forgive them for killing our children. We can’t forgive them for making us kill theirs”.
  11. Alabama needs to handle Wisconsin. I had never been much of a “root for the conference” guy before, but now it can matter.
  12. Big early inter-conference showdowns: LSU loses to USC- B1G over SEC TAMU loses to ND -(quasi-ACC/future B1G) ind over SEC UGA beats Clemson - SEC over ACC Fla loses to Miami - ACC over SEC Texas beats Michigan - SEC over B1G How much will these games matter in December, when the CFP is allocating at-large bids? At least Texas made a contribution
  13. Just a thought- maybe they could lift the curse by giving Leach’s widow the money they owe. (To be safe, if it was me, I’d adjust for inflation at the least)
  14. The B12 habit is to have that patsy in week 1. Even Texas did that, but Texas is enough of a draw that UT-Rice in week 1 is still broadcast worthy. It’s not like the B12 has more attractive slates in later weeks, because they all put their patsies in week 1. In subsequent weeks, the SEC and B1G will still have a greater number of interesting games. (I know that Iowa-ISU is more interesting to B12 fans that Texas-Michigan; the problem is that there just aren’t enough B12 fans, so it should be trying harder, not less).
  15. Sure. The ratings were dominated by P4 teams playing P4 teams. That’s what people want to watch and the networks want to broadcast. The old B12 IR8 schools are still working the Snyder strategy of using early non-conference games with patsies as a way to tune up your team while picking up wins. That was ok in a conference with headliners like NU, OU, Texas, TAMU; the media contract would still be good. Those teams are gone, now. Nobody is tuning into B12 games just because they’re B12 games. They need to either be against a real opponent, or on a time when there are no other viewing options. Otherwise, they’re on streaming.
  16. Previously, I called out Oregon as a cotton candy program- a lot of fluff and sugar, but little substance. Check out their week 1 ratings: https://www.sportsmediawatch.com/college-football-tv-ratings/ Idaho at Oregon on BTN: the number three team in the nation drew 425K. Sure, it’s just the BTN, but…FAU at MSU almost doubled the ratings, Friday on the BTN. And Idaho St at Oregon St attracted more eyes on the CW! I get it. The number of Oregon fans only matters to the extent that Phil Knight is still one of them…
  17. It was late, this week, but here it is… https://www.sportsmediawatch.com/college-football-tv-ratings/ The Thursday night NDSU-CU game was the big winner for B12 media partners, bringing ESPN almost 5 M viewers. Next was PSU @ WVU, almost 3M for Fox’ Big Noon. Next is UNM @ Arizona on Saturday, late, nearly 1M for ESPN. North Dakota @ ISU, 315K for FS1. Next, Wyoming at ASU late Saturday, 250K for FS1. UNLV @ UH, 170K for FS1. So, on a week where maybe 15 B12 teams were at home, six games were broadcast (not streamed)? Isn’t it interesting that all but ISU were teams that joined after 2012? All B12 supporters need to be Buffalo fans, in my opinion. (You can bet the league office has noticed)
  18. Stassen.com can run win % for all teams over any period of time. For the last 50 years, it’s: 26. Wisconsin 27. Iowa 30. Okie State 38. Mich State 58. TCU 59. KSU 68. Baylor I think you have recency bias and B12 myopia. Those B1G programs have had great years, big bowl games and high final rankings. There are reasons their fanbases are larger.
  19. ROTY is voted on by WNBA media. Will it surprise?
  20. I think a bigger problem is the small Palestinian children being told, “Here where we live? This isn’t our home. That place 50 miles away? That’s our home. It was taken from your great grandparents by those bad people and you need to grow up and take it back”.
  21. That is some crazy paranoid conspiracy talk. The PA was on a track to being a state? Do you know why the Pa doesn’t have elections in the WB? Because Hamas would win them.
  22. So, just a week after Hamas popped caps into the heads of defenseless hostages, because they would rather they be dead, than lost to them as barter to get murderers out of captivity, we’re going to criticize Israel for not managing the Hamas relationship better. Because, if Israel had used the period of relative inactivity by Hamas to turn the screws on Gaza, all of Israel’s critics would have understood. I guess no one else sees a disconnect between criticizing Israel/Likud/Netanyahu for trying to live with Hamas pre-Oct 7, and criticizing Israel for not agreeing to a cease fire that will require them to live with Hamas going forward? The cease fire is a myth. Israel won’t agree to one that allows Hamas to exist- that would be a surrender for Israel and a victory for Hamas. Hamas won’t agree to a cease fire that doesn’t guarantee their survival. Israel plays along to satisfy its (dwindling) western allies. Hamas plays along to satisfy Qatar and Egypt. Neither side will give. I suppose Israel could change governments, and the new one could make a deal and let the old one get tagged for the blame…of trading over a thousand murderers for a couple dozen surviving hostages, which seems like a really awful agreement. (Sinwar is free today because he was released in a similar deal before). I get that family members of hostages want any deal, no matter how bad, if it gets their loved ones back. It has to be agonizing, knowing that the hostages are being abused, tortured and killed, with no one in Hamas particularly invested in them living. They have to realize, at some level, that all these ceased negotiations are just a show.
  23. Yeah, a lot of the week 2 commentary about the B12 getting games on SEC in week 2 could be echoed by the AAC as UTSA gets a game on ESPN in week 3 (when they play at Texas)
  24. Interesting fact: without parsing for FCS vs FBS opponents, or P5 vs G5, Texas and Texas A&M are each 61-39 over their last 100 games. (If you do make distinctions for competition, Texas vaults ahead)
  25. Studdard is listed with six years in the NFL; he played in 25 games. Three of these guys played in2006, without VY (Scott gone, replaced by Hills). Do you remember that as a particularly dominant line?
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