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phdhorn

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Everything posted by phdhorn

  1. phdhorn
    That is indeed a sweet guitar, but I think Ruby's '61 lefthanded Tele is one up.
  2. phdhorn
    Like near zero. Partly, and partly because there's nothing to trigger lift/storms.
  3. phdhorn
    Back from dinner. It was good. Cap (go ahead, say forcefield if it makes you happy) held over us. Just apparently not enough lift. Once again SPC/NWS nailed this forecast. Bravo. I think the tornado in N. Wille pooped out due to daylight waning, among other things. Good. Surprised to see a tornado watch still in effect (until 11), possibly the ability for a little disturbance to kick up, but to my eyes it should be over for today. I'll check back to see if any radar pops up, doubt it.
  4. phdhorn
    Yes. I'm leaving to meet/eat near Barton Springs with my daughter who's on the way from Dallas back to San Antonio. Yer on yer own. Zero hour is now → 7 p.m. or so. So far the cap is holding around us (ATX), but could bust open. Storms could form very quickly on top of us. Good luck, we're all counting on you.
  5. phdhorn
    Well, THIS is so Austin, lol... ... but I'm gaining confidence that the donut hole will fill in soon.
  6. phdhorn
    Big storm just popping up N. of SAT... that's where the (largely imaginary for now) line is going to form up NE and if possible on us. Next hour will tell. Stuff getting nasty up 35 right now.
  7. phdhorn
    I thought Blacklab was a hot blond cheerleader from Kentucky or somewhere. (Smuggs beat me to the Ross ID by a minute or two).
  8. phdhorn
    NWS has upped the chances for storms in ATX a bit, threw in a slightly higher chance of tornadoes, but mostly east/northeast of ATX. Large damaging storms can still be expected here/there Williamson Co. and north into and past Dallas. Been watching the line, southern end is popcorning up/down, but I expect more development as the dry line is moving into more favorable conditions, and the cap is holding although not strongly. If those storms start growing on the south end, I'll be back. I'd say main diff. from this a.m. is storms more likely thru Austin, but even with more severity possible, still scattered in our area. Still up the 35 corridor is the bullseye.
  9. phdhorn
    Jeff Ross. Big on celebrity roasts. Not dead. Yet. Wait until tonight. Reminder: Don't go to that restaurant and pose for pix with anyone. RIP GG.
  10. phdhorn
    They're lowering tornado chances in this round because in all likelihood it'd be a fast-moving and thing squall line. Hail and wind are the main components of this prediction. The cap is strong over this area, and yesterday it held, which is why storms didn't flare up, not a lot of lift. Today the cap is still strong, but a little distrubance is going to move up along the dry line and if it's strong enough, will provide the lift to break the cap. If it does, storms will fire up quickly. If current cloud cover holds longer through the day, it'll help, but that's not a guarantee. My guess again is that most of the severe weather will be Belton and up into Oklahoma. With that statement, I just put Austin in the bullseye, but I'm stickin' to my story. Little if any rain/storms for us. Whatever happens will happen mid afternoon into about 6-7 p.m.
  11. phdhorn
    Likelihood of severity and POP are not co-related. Not unusual.
  12. phdhorn
    Very doubtful N. Austin and south. Better possibilities N into Dallas and up. But yeah, I'll let you know. Depends on whether the cap holds, although Austin is maybe too far south for this round, though we're officially (barely) in the enhanced area. Whatever happens will start about noon out west and move east. Anyone going up to Dallas etc. should keep an eye on it.
  13. phdhorn
    It certainly can vary. I looked at NOAA U.S. data and the last the last 2 Januaries and Februaries (21 & 22) were below to well-below average. This March was way above, in fact the highest # in U.S. for any March ever (I don't have to tell anyone in Texas that), but last March was the lowest in 50 years. April is starting out about average (dep. on the source, avg. April tornadoes in U.S. anywhere from about 150-210 or so). There have been 77 confirmed through the first third of the month. (May is by far the highest month avg. in U.S.). Keep in mind as well that about 80% of tornadoes are EF-0 or 1. Anyway, "this year" might be "this March," but otherwise it's kind of normal if not a bit below for 2022 so far. Edit: Here in Bee Cave, where it always rains, we got a tenth last night.
  14. phdhorn
    Gee, I wonder if something happened with Tiger in 2009? Strange that he's gone eleven years with only one big win. Did he change his swing or something? That must have been it.
  15. phdhorn
    The music was so loud you couldn't hear Nance say shit. Un porpoise? That was funny!
  16. phdhorn
    Crowd now heading out to the Strip Mall and the Thrift Store across the street.
  17. phdhorn
    Next year's dinner - Three Amigos or Bill Miller, Bitches!!
  18. phdhorn
    Yes but after 3 misses he finally rimmed it in.
  19. phdhorn
    Upset brewing!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  20. phdhorn
    Tiger Sunday Shirt Tradition: Red Scottie Sunday Shirt Tradition: TV Test Pattern.
  21. phdhorn
    Good god that was an overswing. But he gives no shits.
  22. phdhorn
    Smith could still win this thing!!! And Highland Park has some guys who did good in the pros!!
  23. phdhorn
    Even this guy agrees.
  24. phdhorn
    Probably not dry enough on the green to do the infamous Roll Into Water Death Or 20 Feet Downhill for Schef.
  25. phdhorn
    fixed, and quicker

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