phdhorn

Update: Rain done, more or less. Could be a shower somewhere in the area before sunset. However, the thing in the Bay of Campeche looks to bring better rain chances late weekend/early week. In any event, temps stay down. More if/when.

Update: Not much from my last post.. but the front has stalled south of us about the I-10 corridor. They'll get the big rains today. However, Austin is sort of on the north end of this zone, so (as we've seen already today) rain is still likely around a lot of the area, even if not heavy. No TV weather honk has predicted that the front will move north again (bringing us potentially flooding rains) but that's always a possibility. There's not a lot out on the radar now beyond what's fallen this morning, but that can be deceiving. Stuff will pop up as the sun gets going. My guess is a cloudy day with only short periods of light/moderate rain. If the front moves north or we get a lot of lift going, I'll be back. Otherwise enjoy the fun. If it stays like this it might not even get much into the 80's, but I think enough sun will pop through that we get near or just over 90°. And not a 100 in sight for at least 5 more days. The meteorological season has changed for sure although of course we could easily get hot/dry and over 100 again... but we're done with the marathons. (Meteorological fall starts Sept. 1).

Update: Yeomans (KXAN) put it well tonight: next 2-3 days is a "sloppy" forecast. That's because rain, and lots of it, is still very much in the picture. There's a slow-moving disturbance leaving a weak front behind it. But, that front's still potent enough to do what it did today for 95% of us in ATX. But he problem is that no one can really tell where the front will park - where it does, underneath it, gobs of rain. It moved through Dallas yesterday, Austin and east today, but now it can stall and even move back north - or more south. That's the slop. Still, another little disturbance is coming into the picture and it'll interact with that front. The result: high chances of rain (>70%) the next 2 days. Much of it is gone tonight, but don't get cozy - models are showing a thunderstorm outbreak 3-4 a.m. right in the ATX area. Even if that fizzles, it'll certainly whip back up tomorrow. Widespread flooding is still not out of the picture, never mind the flash flooding (Shoal Creek today had it's 4th highest crest - EVER! - in less than an hour from essentially being a rock bed!). I'll come back to try and give a better idea tomorrow where the rain falls, as the sun heats up and shows the trigger point plus with the possitility of more flooding, I'll try to stay on top of it. ironically, 50 miles one way or another won't get squat. But there's 2 days for everyone to get a piece of the pie. Longer range, the end of August is more like the end of April, and September is shaping up to start cool and wet. If the big heat comes back, it'll have to do it well into the first week of Sept. We might get one of our top 10, even close to #1, rainiest August's ever. Bet you didn't think that would happen 2 weeks ago. Weather, she be funky an' shit. More later.

Flash flood warning for Austin Central till 7:15. "I'm sick of all this rain, I wish it would dry up and we could get some sun and warm weather!!" -Surly

Chances of it hitting 100° today are... not so good...

This one will be different... or else I wouldn't have posted. Went all John Wayne in on today's bitch, but I'm confident. Technically, it ain't even 'posed ta start rainin' until later, but wife reported animals by 2's in N Austin (183/Riata area). And that one was earlier than expected. Radar is showing the main lines coming now. We'll see, I guess.

Today (ATX_): We're gonna get rain today - some people a lot. (1-2 in. here/there, some people >3"). It comes in before dinnertime and lasts from a squall line to well into the overnight. Temps will stay mid-90's today and aren't likely to get above 90° tomorrow. Slow drying, warming trend, but still well lower than what we've had. Long range forecast for late Aug-early Sept is cooler and wetter. Really? We'll see. Enjoy the rain that's coming.

We could hit 100° in ATX proper today or tomorrow as a bit of lull in the rain. But today would be the day, Sunday is supposed to be less hot, and through the next week I think we'll have a few days that don't hit 90°. This has been too hot/weird a summer for me to say "never again (2022)" but the latest monthly forecast (CDC) calls for "normal" temps and precip, and "normal" starts Sept @ 95° and ends @ 88°. I can easily see another 10 days of 100° but scattered and not the endless beatdown. I just hope that fuggin' high stays out over Nevada, which it's supposed to even with this hot summer possibly still having its fingers up our collective asses.

Yeah those guys were probably the kind of kids that wore $800 Nikes to gym class but couldn't play basketball worth a shit. If you get one, if it doesn't have at least five necks, you shouldn't have gotten it.

Thx for this. For years I was a keyboardist and guitarist in bands, so I had to haul not only the heavy bass stuff (although the BW cabinet is sorta relatively light for the size), including a Fender Twin Reverb with the two 5-ton Fender speakers(!). I don't think the gigging will be all that frequent, and I can pop it in.out of my truck. I just figured the 400 would give me the Peavy sound in the bass (which I also like) but a bit more pop than the 200. I suppose if the lugging gets too much I can buy a new-fangled lil' amp (I do love the idea, though hauling a vintage head really isn't much work compared to the other stuff). But this wouldn't be any soundophile's level.. I'm not super-specific on the "vintage" sound. If a newer microhead can approximate it, good 'nuff for me. I might spring for the 400, we'll see.

Question: I have these: I've been out of the gigging game for awhile, and the head seems like it's acting up... Thinking of another head for the BW. Something vintage like this: Question: would you buy this (just over 2 bills) or something newer, like one of the newer little thingies, i.e. minimax, Warwick Gnome, Trace Elliot Elf, etc.)? If it matters, I'm looking for a classic rock tone/vibe, which is why I'd opt for the heavy Peavy mofo, but that's about the only reason. Thanks, I'll hang up and not listen.

Very good, lol. Probably the best part of the movie. Anyway, whatever youse guy'ses little pitiful compounds may or may not have gotten last night, yeah, this isn't the same old shit. We have so many weather things coming together over the next 3-6 days that it's not unpossible we could get into drought-busting categories. I honestly haven't checked the weather a lot the past day, and not much yet today, but I will later. But yesterday models were lining up with much lower temps, a (relatively) lot of rain, and even some mild tropical stuff this weekend. It's a fool's game to predict when/where/how much rain will fall on your little heads specifically, but understand that the big high which always controls our summer weather, and which this year was particularly nasty, came in real early, and didn't break up, has moved in a season fashion away from Texas - it's bigly moved. It's a yuuuge deal. So don't be surprised if the next 5-7 days are very different. No, it's not gonna rain all day every day. Some days it might not rain much at all and git hot. But the point is that this thing as we've known it is blowed up, sir. Yeah, it could creep back in next month. But if the ground gets wet enough now, no way we'll see 10 straight days of 105+ or whatnot. Remind me to tell you about the earth's orbit and northern hemisphere and all that (semi-inside joke). I'll be back if sumpin' is worth pinpointing (esp. the little tropical thing, which has a good chance of shitdumping rain on is, but not quite yet...). Otherwise, - Temps mostly in low-mid 90's (could me MUCH lower if it turns into a rainy day - like this one's starting out) - Anywhere from 1-5 inches over next week for most of us, certainly more for some, and yeah, less for others (pinpointing rain is not anywhere near accurate even these days). Bye, until whenever. Edit: just to keep the record straight, when I talk here I'm talking about oh say ATX and 50 miles radius around it. Other places I can look at if U want. (Never mind that the SE coast and the Valley have been clobbered a good bit the past week or so - their drought is basically gone).

You guys aren't gonna believe the 7 day forecast. Holy shit. Later.

No. A second round is coming. Probably not as widespread as the first. But some people will get more. But... ...Every day for the next 6-7 has a good shot of rain, some days excellent shot. I'll be back if/when.

I have my house windows open. On August 18. At 5 p.m. Hey summer 2022,

I don't think I am. But as for the chance of rain bots, I don't have a problem with them per se. What I do have a problem with is when they do shit like yours did... 90% to 30% to 50% to 70% to 20% within an hour. Shit, you might as well just look out of the window. Those sob's waffle and flip flop more than I do - and that's saying something!

Ugh, "chance of rain" apps. My techgeek wife does it too and it drives me up the freakin' wall. Those black clouds 15 miles to the north think it's 100%. It's gonna rain hard within an hour on almost all, if not every single one of us in ATX. Stick that up the "rain chance" bot's ass.

Gonna get hot today because the front is coming in 3-4 or after. One more.

Gonna get hot today because the front is coming in 3-4 or after. One more.

Gonna get hot today because the front is coming in 3-4 or after. One more.

Cross-posted in 3 threads: The weather pattern has absolutely begun to change. As in seasonal. We might get heat/dry back, but this ain't no 1 day reprieve. This is a huge shift. It doesn't mean the end of summer, but it might be very difficult to return to it like it's been. Rain for most of us starting tomorrow, good daily chances for at least next 7 days if not longer. Temps are gonna go down a good bit somewhere low-mid 90's most days. We might not even hit 90 Friday and somewhere within a few days after. The "Gulf thing" (tropics) will help enhance rain chances and moderate temps, even if it doesn't spin up. This one will affect CenTex more than the thing yesterday. Yes, Virginia, summer as we've known it is over, at least for now and waaay into next week. We'll see what September has to say about it.

Cross-posted in 3 threads: The weather pattern has absolutely begun to change. As in seasonal. We might get heat/dry back, but this ain't no 1 day reprieve. This is a huge shift. It doesn't mean the end of summer, but it might be very difficult to return to it like it's been. Rain for most of us starting tomorrow, good daily chances for at least next 7 days if not longer. Temps are gonna go down a good bit somewhere low-mid 90's most days. We might not even hit 90 Friday and somewhere within a few days after. The "Gulf thing" (tropics) will help enhance rain chances and moderate temps, even if it doesn't spin up. This one will affect CenTex more than the thing yesterday. Yes, Virginia, summer as we've known it is over, at least for now and waaay into next week. We'll see what September has to say about it.

Cross-posted in 3 threads: The weather pattern has absolutely begun to change. As in seasonal. We might get heat/dry back, but this ain't no 1 day reprieve. This is a huge shift. It doesn't mean the end of summer, but it might be very difficult to return to it like it's been. Rain for most of us starting tomorrow, good daily chances for at least next 7 days if not longer. Temps are gonna go down a good bit somewhere low-mid 90's most days. We might not even hit 90 Friday and somewhere within a few days after. The "Gulf thing" (tropics) will help enhance rain chances and moderate temps, even if it doesn't spin up. This one will affect CenTex more than the thing yesterday. Yes, Virginia, summer as we've known it is over, at least for now and waaay into next week. We'll see what September has to say about it.