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phdhorn

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Everything posted by phdhorn

  1. This is true, but they also set odds to pull in the most $ they can. Odds aren't always the most logical analysis of everything, they're the most cost-inducive. At this point just after the season, sure odds are great for laying perhaps a future money bomb down, but essentially right now they're virtual Hail Mary's. There is way, way, way too much stuff that can happen (free agency, injury, act of God, whatever) to give anyone a true idea of how next year turns out. If you take a look at this page, you can see that most of the WS winners (since '85 when this began) were nowhere near the favorites (very few were < than even 300+ odds; in fact most of them were huge underdogs). Conversely, very few of the favorites just after the season end up winning, or in many cases, even being close. You can see the odds of course changing often through the seasons on that page. And a great majority of the time, a team in the WS the year before doesn't make it back the next year. Setting odds now isn't much of a guarantee of anything, even a non-cellar finish. Of course the teams that finished strong this year will be near the top now, but that's just to get bettors in on the now-less-focused action (this is where they hope that a guy lays down that "longshot" bet in Vegas or whatever). The Astros have a strong core and of course, nothing else factoring in right now, should be a contender again. But odds at this time of the season? They don't mean much except for a slap bet in Vegas.
  2. Thx. Yeah most of the rain totals for a local area are often simply done/compiled by the TV stations, i.e. KXAN does one for our viewing area. You'd think there'd be a handy-dandy database for Texas rain totals by this or that category, and maybe there is for free somewhere, but I don't know where. I used to use NOAA data but those sites were changed or something. But this is NOAA and it's free, and not really so bad. Anyway, once you get used to the NOWData product it's not really that laborious to check, plus it gives you means, totals, averages, etc. in the result - pretty sweet for a free product.
  3. There really isn't a free one. Maybe some Frankie has done some private spreadsheet and it's out there, but I don't know about it. NOAA/NWS has for-pay products which they sell (TV stations, analytic agencies, etc.). But not what you want. I think the closest you can get is this. A little clunky but it gives you what you're looking for, more or less: 1) Go to https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate 2) Click on the map for the area you want to look at. 3) The next page should default to NOWData (the leftmost of 4 column headings) 4) Click the locale in the box you want to look at, click "monthly summarized data" button, then select range, variable (Precip is in that), and "Sum" under "Summary" (unless you want another category under this). 5) Click "go" and you'll get a table of the monthly rain data. (once you set the variables, you can pretty quickly select a locale in the box w/o resetting it and see each regional office). To go out of that particular weather office region, go back to the map and click another place and you can set up again.
  4. Average around town 2". As predicted. Good rain day everywhere. 35" so far '21, about 4" above avg. Good precip year.
  5. Man I gotta see Manfred handing the trophy over to Snitker (and/or the Doveys?). LOL, that oughta be classic. Probably his nightmare come true.
  6. Shutting out the opponents to cap a series win is pretty salty. Got damn Atlanta could pitch.
  7. Meh, there are a few left. 2-3 who are still key players. You can google 'em, easy to find. Anyway, never been a huge Braves fan but you gotta love the way their pitching especially stepped up the last 3 series and man talk about timely hitting, and Freddy Freeman is the best player in baseball period the last month. Not even close.
  8. Haven't watched much of the series, but I'm an NL'er usually (favorite team is in NL) so I'm stoked that the underdog Braves have put together a helluva run in the last 3 weeks. Congrats! I wouldn't say Fuck the Astros, but I'll like 'em better again once they get rid of the last of the cheaters. Anyway, league over cheating for me.
  9. SEE Ya! (Actually, in ancient Rome, "thumbs down" meant let the guy live, "thumbs up" meant yeah, go ahead, kill the bastard. But that's just a technicality here). COCA won't rescind the verdict, but he might get another stay here or there, you never know.
  10. Tell your friend that only two times a night is a veritable vacation in the South Pacific.
  11. That's a problem for a urologist, although granted there are plenty of Surly experts here who can by their own admission do surgery. Just ask.
  12. West Virginia's season has been a roller coaster, bad losses early, but they seem to be coming on. The win was no fluke (even with ref help). Neal Brown is a damn good coach, I'm just not sure if he can deliver consistency up there. But my guess is WVa will be a tougher game or at least as tough as Iowa State. I don't see any way they win that one in Hooterville.
  13. Theoretically sure. LT will cover that.
  14. They lied. It was herpes. Trust me on this. Edit: WL should win, but I don't see any 55-7 or 70-3 or whatever bullshit. I give it maybe 14 max. But if they do, well, yeah, I know how that feels, doing it to WL a few times in that 10 game no-lubing streak.
  15. Sorry, we're at the point now where satire seems too real to life. Gotcha. Sad times indeed. - Roger the Shrubber
  16. Why? With a few exceptions (cf. Overshown) our linebacking corps has been beyond god-awful most of the last 10 years, give or take the one lone star here and there. Can you remember a year in the last 10 that we've had at least two crack linebackers on the field at the same time? I can't. Most teams' linebackers have been better than ours. Hell, Dillon could have transferred from Iowa High School and been better than most of our linebackers. This guy played better than our LB's The failure of our linebackers IMO il has been the #1 reason why our defense has essentially been mostly shitty most of the last 10 years. And yeah I'm looking at the DL in saying that.
  17. My favorite graphic on that was Texas leads FBS with 5 "come from ahead" 4th quarter losses in the past 2 years. Hey, at least we're #1 in something!
  18. I think our Big 12 Farewell Tour is going splendidly, don't you? (Hell, maybe SEC will form a developmental sub-league next year, and we'll kick ass in that!)
  19. Yeah, kicking Westlake's ass 10 years in a row did get tiring. WL should win Friday but enjoy it, you'll lose Dodge and it'll show. Meanwhile, good luck getting to .400 in the "rivalry" this week.
  20. The LT of the last 2-3 years is nothing like the LT of the 2000's- 2010's. They played some of the sharpest, most aggressive, and disciplined football in Texas High School history, and have six C's to show for it. Westlake is now that team - until Dodge retires next year, then they'll be down again. Not sure why LT's quality has gone down, except that for those years the school district was THE place to move in Texas, and kids came in at an unprecedented pace, and they simply out-talented everyone. Now with the burbs getting farther out, newer teams like Vandergrift and even Drip are getting to that level, while LT has kind of settled down housing wise. However most dynasties are cyclical anyway, and it's to be expected that after a 12 year absolutely kick-ass run, LT is just in a relative dearth. Westlake of course was exactly like that until Dodge got there - 15 years of relative medoker between Neptune and Dodge. Just what schools do...
  21. I'm in San Diego right now. Fuck football, I got better things to do. Already had shots.
  22. Like 7 out of the last 10 years' similar questions at this time. "What if every other big 12 team lost all of their remaining games and we won all of ours by 45 points every week!?!?!?! Fuggitall...
  23. STFU, our unis are better!
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