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phdhorn

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Everything posted by phdhorn

  1. Gonna get hot today because the front is coming in 3-4 or after. One more.
  2. Gonna get hot today because the front is coming in 3-4 or after. One more.
  3. Cross-posted in 3 threads: The weather pattern has absolutely begun to change. As in seasonal. We might get heat/dry back, but this ain't no 1 day reprieve. This is a huge shift. It doesn't mean the end of summer, but it might be very difficult to return to it like it's been. Rain for most of us starting tomorrow, good daily chances for at least next 7 days if not longer. Temps are gonna go down a good bit somewhere low-mid 90's most days. We might not even hit 90 Friday and somewhere within a few days after. The "Gulf thing" (tropics) will help enhance rain chances and moderate temps, even if it doesn't spin up. This one will affect CenTex more than the thing yesterday. Yes, Virginia, summer as we've known it is over, at least for now and waaay into next week. We'll see what September has to say about it.
  4. Cross-posted in 3 threads: The weather pattern has absolutely begun to change. As in seasonal. We might get heat/dry back, but this ain't no 1 day reprieve. This is a huge shift. It doesn't mean the end of summer, but it might be very difficult to return to it like it's been. Rain for most of us starting tomorrow, good daily chances for at least next 7 days if not longer. Temps are gonna go down a good bit somewhere low-mid 90's most days. We might not even hit 90 Friday and somewhere within a few days after. The "Gulf thing" (tropics) will help enhance rain chances and moderate temps, even if it doesn't spin up. This one will affect CenTex more than the thing yesterday. Yes, Virginia, summer as we've known it is over, at least for now and waaay into next week. We'll see what September has to say about it.
  5. Cross-posted in 3 threads: The weather pattern has absolutely begun to change. As in seasonal. We might get heat/dry back, but this ain't no 1 day reprieve. This is a huge shift. It doesn't mean the end of summer, but it might be very difficult to return to it like it's been. Rain for most of us starting tomorrow, good daily chances for at least next 7 days if not longer. Temps are gonna go down a good bit somewhere low-mid 90's most days. We might not even hit 90 Friday and somewhere within a few days after. The "Gulf thing" (tropics) will help enhance rain chances and moderate temps, even if it doesn't spin up. This one will affect CenTex more than the thing yesterday. Yes, Virginia, summer as we've known it is over, at least for now and waaay into next week. We'll see what September has to say about it.
  6. Look, I'm here. Bestest chance of real widespread rain in Austin area coming up this week. That ain't much, but it's all I got. And I ain't got nothin' since June 27. Dealwiddit. Back if necessary (HA!). Or not.
  7. Yes, it did. 1,208 drops. I counted them all so I know. (It really did rain but only enough to re-moisten the horse crap on my street). I haven't posted much in here this summer with good reason. Even this latest pick/choose event is a yawner, it's so hit/miss. I suppose enough costal showers can be scraped up to hit some of us as long as the high is over Colorado. But it's worming back our way by the weekend, so poof. However, it's gonna worm away from us again next midweek. If anything serious happens (LOL!) I'll be back. That promising blob posted about just above me should, yawn, veer SW of us and hit the coast and maybe valley. If it has enough oomph to push widespread rain up thisaway, I'll be back. But yeah, whatever. Have a nice summer!
  8. 'Bout time! (was just coming here to post this). Now all we need is the article in the other thread which says that Austin has gotten big enough to develop a heat island which makes temps hotter than the surrounding areas. Now if everyone would just move out, that would be the coup de gras.
  9. No, they were talking about you can get a good golden shower in Northeast DC for $35.
  10. 80 when I'm here by myself each day, 78 when the wife works from home (3 days per week). Night is 77 with sort of an asterisk. When the Big Calamity comes and we're completely anarchic as a society Mad Max style and robbing/kiling (and driving cool but dangerously), I will definitely outlive most of you, especially if the temp outside goes above 80°.
  11. This ain't good: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/26/nearly-half-of-americans-fall-deeper-in-debt-as-inflation-boosts-costs.html This week of course all the big #'s coming in... key # of course is today's CCI numbers, and Thursday's GDP Q2 released. The icing on the cake is Friday's PCEPI data (which charts costs of goods bought by consumers... that'll tell whether Thursday's GDP report looks shaky (whatever side of 0 it's on), or pretty valid. Good chance it's negative and therefore recession. Maybe it'll skate by with a atom-sized positive #, but I doubt it. Nevertheless the longer numbers portend a more likely recession (now or into the latter half of 22). But I suppose throwing out Opposite Day memos is what you do when your team expects shitty numbers: https://news.yahoo.com/white-house-getting-ahead-expected-195337271.html And, oh yeah, 2 consecutive neg GDP quarters IS a recession. Doesn't mean a big or long one, but yeah, it's a recession. It's never been "official" but it's always the one that we've gone by for oh about 8 decades at least. So yeah, it's a recession if the number says so. So far Wall St. earnings are about 50/50 which is actually better than expected. But Wal-Mart's big bomb definitely is a major downsider for this economy. The numbers this week are probably the most critical since this whole shitty mess began in early 2020. Not only because we'll know where we've been, but as most things that get more data and fill in the gaps, we'll know where we're likely going, and at least an idea for how long.
  12. Well actually that's what it's called when you get crabs from banging someone in her dirty Jeep.
  13. Well I suppose this is technically true, it's more like two galactically different decades. Yes Tiger won his Masters in a brilliant if last-ditch effort in '19 but he really was mostly shit after 2009 and didn't do much of anything for the second 10 years of the century. Even in his 2019 Masters year he missed the cut in two of the four majors and finished 21st in the USO. I think somewhere in there he managed to crawl back up to the top 25 golfers for a very brief period before tumbling again. The magnitude of that isolated Masters win certainly propped them up even higher in golf history, but technically it was a lone desert island of only one major win in over 12 years. You know, like Larry Mize. And except for a second in the PGA a few years back, he never got closer than being in a pack fairly far back tied for 3rd in any major for the second decade. And it got noticeably worse after 2012. I think it's more accurate to say that Tiger saw that success around the turn of the century but only briefly afterwards. It boggles the mind to think what he would have achieved had he not become a narcissistic shithead, but oh well them's the breaks.
  14. Something apparently he's very used to with waitresses.
  15. Didn't realize you all were any relation:
  16. Nope. But that was really unusual, a front moving in its typical SE direction through Texas also had a typical frontal line that curved toward the SW. A number of complex factors caused this front to slow down and allow the dry line to catch up to it. A situation develop where a gravity wave outflow (i.e. the juice needed to stir up the atmosphere on an otherwise very untypical day for that) followed this dry line SW, and the different set of circumstances enabled supercell formation on a day that was very unlikely to have it. Both conditions enabled both the strength and direction of the tornado. It would take a lot of eggheaded explanation to describe exactly what happened and most are beyond the average person's understanding (and some of mine) but let's just say that the combination of factors which influenced strength, and those which influenced direction, probably a once in a 1,000 year combo together, combined to form that event. Although each of them happens by themselves somewhat frequently in spring in Texas, the two coming together at that point were very, very unusual.
  17. Got a surprising couple o' tenths last night in the rainforest here. Pretty boy on KXAN said at 6 it's all over but for once it wasn't. It was hot enough that outflows came in from the NE and stirred up enough juice to rain. That's 2 measurable rain events in the past 5 days. Better build that ark! Okay, today there is still a small chance that the storms will come in from the SE this time, but less coverage. Nevertheless enough punch (and the center of the high is farther west than forecast) that some "on the edge of the high" showers could hit us. Enough to mention at least. While these showers "unusually" came in from the NE, it's not really that weird in the summer. The lows which form in the Gulf and try to break through the usual high dome squatting on us will spin c-clockwise and drop rain from the NE. Which is what happened. Actually I was surprised that the rain made it to the Hill Country without drying up - the high can evaporate that stuff with little problem usually. But as I said the center wobbled a little farther W than predicted, so it didn't dry up the rain. For once the rain won. That said, put on your body-length ice pads, because the high is gonna wobble back - later weekend is gonna heat up and 106° or thereabouts is proally gonna happen Sunday and/or after. For today, at least there's a fighting chance Mabry don't make it to triple. Would like to see the streak broken (although most of us wouldn't know a tinker's difference between 99° and 100° - it's all mental). Remember the average high right now is about year's max - 97° - so it ain't really that much lower. I think it really starts being felt after about 103°.
  18. Judging by WH presser today, trying to soften the blow, tomorrow's report is going to be bad.
  19. One final one. Amazing... from my house thermometer
  20. Keep bringin' it on, beyotches (but I'll say a silent little brief prayer for youse, although I'm masturbating violently right now).
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