Update:
First, the round of rain we got this a.m. was actually predicted but I didn't put it in yesterday. Rest of today will be soupy, infrequent on/off light rain, one of those armpit kind of days.
Second, here we go... the next 3 days should be a roller coaster of a few moderate/heavy rain periods, mostly overnight. The ingredients are really there for some heavy rain - the only reason flooding won't be bad is because this stuff will keep moving through. Explanation follows forecast. Today: again, periods of light to moderate, very brief rain, but more of just a humid, cloudy day. Wed: starts off dry, but a big complex of heavy rain should move in after dinner, last well into the night. Periods of moderate to heavy rain for most of us, a couple of severe storms, but not widely forecast. Thurs: rounds of significant rain early overnight, slowly taper off say by lunchtime. Fri: System sweeps out overnight, slow clearing - but front not quite through until overnight. Sat: Paradise (but breezy) - front goes by, drops temps well down into the 70's for high. Breezy enough to affect passing games Sat - maybe.
Explanation:
There's a big storm system swinging down from central Pacific coast. It's driving right for us. Pamela, a now Cat 2 hurricane, will be drawn to us by this low.. it'll rain out in SW Mexico and more or less shred apart, but all that moisture will stream right up our way. The bulk of this moisture will start to reach us tomorrow night (first round of rain). But when that low pushes in (overnight Wed to Thurs) it's gonna get a jump start of instability plus a ton more of moisture, which is going to ramp up the rain. The bulk of this clash will be out west of us, say between Lubbock and San Angelo, but the momentum and movement will bring a good amount of the result of this clash into ATX. NWS has flash flood watches Wed. night, where some 2-3 inches are expected here, about 4-6 west of Blanco into the Hill Country and west. However, 7+" are possible in any spot - including ours. With autumn systems like this, they're often big rainmakers. We won't be smack in the bullseye, but the bullseye can move. As I always say with stuff like this (which could be a next-to-nothing burger or Genesis 6, Part 2), watch the radar early. Then we'll know more or less where the bulk of it will go.
This shouldn't be a widespread severe event, or an apocalyptic level flood, but with this very strong clash of two powerful lows, you gotta be on watch.
More when the rain really is 'posed ta hit tomorrow.