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phdhorn

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Everything posted by phdhorn

  1. Apparently, that's the plan now.
  2. The ones that are shaped like giant 'X' s are the worst! (Glad tho to see that NHC still uses MS Paint for their sophisticated forecasts!).
  3. Heat and drought are on average the biggest killers year after year. More than earthquakes, tsunamis, hurricanes, or any other natural disaster. And make no mistake, drought is a technical natural disaster.
  4. This. Straight out of the constitution, citizens are supposed to have a fair trial. Even shitbags like Cosby. The trial wasn't fair. It was the right appeal decision. As odious as he is, we lose that right, it's over. That said, good luck, buddy. You're gonna to have to live the rest of your life in isolation.
  5. So one man's trash is another man's treasure. Below is an aggy-drawing level explanation of what's up. In as few words as possible, blocking high out in Atlantic is preventing stuff from moving W→E. Another high has been blocking stuff from coming into the NW Pacific coast. On both coasts, the air sinks and is denser, so weather is both squeezed down to the U.S. midsection, as well as allowing the Jet to suck up Gulf air. This is why we've been so moderate and relatively rainy. Their loss is our gain. So who ya gonna route for? Anyway this is a somewhat unique summer pattern, and it's going to keep up to a degree. A front will be squeezed down here by the weekend, still blocked from moving E. So it'll move S. And put a very good chance of rain into Texas for the 4th weekend, as well as milder temps - again. Getting into the 2nd week in July with only 2 days > 100°, well I'll stop there, nojinx.
  6. I wish 'em luck, but the very first thing that popped into my brain when I read the title was this:
  7. Bee Cave got blasted last night, 2" in my rain gauge. Today was just a passing shower, trace. But I expect a full day of rain tomorrow - because Bee Cave.
  8. Quit threadshitting, take it to CR.
  9. I thought that was Derka_Operational or whomever.
  10. The science of building forensics seems to have come a long way especially since 9/11. This agency was formed from that event. I've been reading various things from structural engineers and they can do an amazing job of pretty much pinpointing most building failures, even this one eventually. I don't believe this agency has authority over this particular investigation, but will work with the local and State inspectors to take all the findings and use them to improve building construction nationally. Which is essentially with the NTSB does for the airline industry.
  11. Actually, there is, more or less, and they're down there: https://www.google.com/amp/s/thehill.com/homenews/administration/560311-federal-government-sending-scientists-to-investigate-miami-area%3famp
  12. First thing they should do is re-seed the teams that make the final tourney so that all 8 get a number. Always advocated that. Then the higher number gets H-A-H as necessary.
  13. Sez the guy with the "whatta rack" avatar. Your videos aren't coming out either. if you really want to get down to it, it's a dumb decision in the first place (see Xian's post immediately above this one) to build huge structures in the middle of sea air, on questionable ground, where major storms can cause catastrophe in minutes. But we do and all in all have fared pretty well, considering. I mean if you tell people the worst place to build anything is on a coast, they look at you like you're nuts. But it is. And we've done it well in general. But sooner or later nature will nature and it'll win. I also heard an interview today where a FL building inspector says that chlorides in the air naturally will corrode any steel. Salt air (not in and of itself corrosive but it can allow faster production of chlorides in the air), which seeps into the microscopic pores in concrete (which even the smoothest has these pocks) and begins to eat away at it, will cause it to crack, splay, and weaken, never mind cause oxidation of steel within it. I know this for a fact because I had a steel tank which got exposed for a time to leaking Clorox on my water filtering system years ago, and within a few months the bottom of that tank was eaten away, and I actually sat it on a rock for awhile. Once out of the way of the chlorine, it was fine.
  14. Alright, lemme e-lab-bore-ate. Nice way to usher in July (those who were saying "the cool weather's gone" were a bit preemy, huh? - never say never, but yeah, I know that probably after this stretch we could be in the smelter once and for all, but I have reason to doubt a bit.... another post... remind me to say why). We got an interesting 2-ply scenario here. First, a typical summer savior - weather coming in from the Gulf. A low is moving E to W towards us. This is due to the summer jet lifting more N and allowing the Easterlies to expand and blow stuff our way (which is also why hurricanes come towards the U.S.). So it's always good when we get weather from the Gulf in the summer. But the second situation over the country is a bit unusual... a big blocking high in the East is preventing weather from moving W→E, so the weather is being squeezed SE, much as a winter or spring pattern. And we got that bigass hot high out west baking the NW, which is preventing storms from tracking to the N in the first place, so they are swinging below it into the southwest U.S. So that's forcing a frontal boundary down into Texas, which is kinda rare (although we just had one last week). As a result, we have a one-two punch. The front from the NW will hang out for a few days, and stuff under it, esp. just to its south, will get wet (where that is is a dice roll). The low is going to move into us, and now it looks like it'll collide more with the front to produce more lift, and more weather - this is why models have trended up the past 2-3 days. Of course, this is Austin, and it's summer, so Ron Paul It's Not Happening can dominate (i.e. predicted shit fizzles out). Never say never regarding that in Austin in the summer. But, I think there will be enough mixing up of crap with these two things that it would be highly unlikely that at least something wouldn't fall over you, even if for a brief spell, over the next 4 days. I think a good swath will get a good amount of rain, not flooding or anything, but enough to re-wet the ground and keep temps down yet another week or two (in the summer, every day under 100° is one less day it might go over it). But where this swath is? <crickets>. Hopefully over us. Of course the best thing about this, with or without rain, is temperatures. We're expeting a full 5-6 days of under norms, and at least 1-2 of those under 90° (and despite the weeping/gnashing of teeth above over 2/3 of June, it only officially got over 100° 2 days - that's it. Not as bad as thought). So anyway, this should be a very nice week - yeah a bit soupy but lots of clouds and hopefully some good soaking rain. I. Will. Take. That. Any. Day. In. July. Bitches. So therefore: Today - noticeably cloudier through the day, temps a little lower than the last few, although I could see them getting easily into mid-90's, looking more like 93° or so max in the hottest parts, cooler in most. Chance of spotty showers pretty good starting mid-afternoon. Not everywhere, but enough that a lot of us will see them. Mon-Wed - this is the peak of it all, with Tues-Wed. especially, as the low moves into Texas and bumps into the front. Again, where that front stalls or slows will be the mostest rain. Days will be clearly cooler, lots of clouds again and hopefully a good bit of rain for most of us. I hurt writing that, because it is summer in Austin, yeah right, but I think this is gonna happen to some degree. Thu-Fri - rinse and repeat, but gradually increasing sunshine and temps, decreasing rain chances. Highs back near 97° ish, rain returns to spotty and scattered, but definitely still in the picture. Outdoor plans should be decent today (but watch after about 3-4, but nothing severe or long-lasting). Not so great Mon-Wed, and good enough to risk Thur-Fri. 4th fireworks etc... too soon to comment on that in detail, but probably decent as most of the weather will have ended by then.
  15. Total of 5 (1 more). Mayor also said they "also found some human remains" distinguished from "bodies." You know what that means, and it's fairly nauseating, but not surprising.
  16. Early part of next week good chances of rain Monday and tuesday. Not a washout. Wednesday through Friday, just spotty showers but mostly dry. Temps all week will hover around the 90° mark, a little below July norms. More probably tomorrow.
  17. Yes, it really is. You couldn't design a worse case scenario. A huge fire probably causing asphyxiation, it's so bad that the reporters need to wear masks. Add to that the combination of wind and rain making crane work less than ideal and very slow. The weather has probably greatly reduced the amount of speed at which they can work. My biggest fear is that if anybody has been alive, the smoke will enhance their odds of dying. I suppose the only good thing about that is that they might go relatively calmly
  18. Obligatory:
  19. Yes, but only if he's in charge of home defense fortifications. He shouldn't be put in charge of tactical operations, because he couldn't shoot from even 2 feet and hit anything.
  20. Lots of these guys:
  21. Holy shit, that's beyond funny. Well, it's absolutely pathetic, but y'know, supremely imcompetent funny. But... there's a precedent:
  22. I think we've finally arrived at our decades-long fucked up obsession to be like Portland. Yay!
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