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phdhorn

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Everything posted by phdhorn

  1. Lahhno, or LAY-no? Not the best place to go but we'll see. Honest to gawd it's hit or miss up there. A big cluster is moving SE from San Angelo, but that looks to go west of Llano. But if it fills in, nope. Best hope is for a brief passing shower, but not a washout, until after 10 or so.
  2. ... and no 90's forecast through next Thursday or so. Will I take this instead? You bet your mother's sweet ass.
  3. I guess it depends where you're going. Out west looks okay, most of the line is N/NE of us. However, there's a complex around San Angelo that's building now, but if you're going south/southwest from us, it'll probably not hit until after 8. Up 71 to Mason/Brady, maybe not. Another big complex, actually the main one, is supposed to hit us around 10 or after. So there should be a break. Other than that, it'll be hit or miss I guess.
  4. Storms have been sliding west to east north of us but are slowly chiseling down toward Austin. Looks like they might get here a little earlier than forecast. Yes, I would say outdoor events around 6:00 or after are at risk now. I'll update later. I do think it'll get pretty stormy though around or after sunset. Williamson County under a severe thunderstorm watch, Travis and South/West are not (at least right now)
  5. People are trying to make this about political positions, but that's not the issue. Yes she happens to believe (or was told what to believe) that jibes with what a lot of her more conservative voters wanted in NW, but that's nothing new. That district is a conservative one. The only issue that matters is her absolute egotism and self-aggrandizement. I don't think most people, even if they disagreed with Ellen Troxclair's political positions, found her to be a Shaggy/Surly punching bag. And that's fine - people with conservative positions up there are more likely to win. Free country and all. This really has very little to do with pure politics. If Lump could advance her position in the world by bashing Ronald Reagan, she would. Her only solid stance is the posing she did on her FU Pay Me site. That's it.
  6. Maybe, but I heard a few out there got hold of it and it never went anywhere. My guess is that they'd try to say it's all made up and put together by hippie commie AOC lovers who wanted to smear her. That stuff would have to be presented in a proper context so as not to just never pique anyone's interest; e.g. a well-respected reporter or something. Just because the shit's there doesn't mean it'll stink. She has a lot of defenders on the "local state" (i.e. state people from Austin). To be effective, it would have to have some context, I'd think. Just putting it out there doesn't make me confident that anyone would buy it.
  7. Well not 'zactly. Only the lucky few in NW Austin where she ran could vote for her in the 10-1 format. The rest of the city is off the hook.
  8. Probably small? Most models have it coming in well after sunset, like 9-10 p.m.
  9. I gave this thread about 18 hours before it started going to shit. So it's pleasantly exceeded expectations (by 5 hours).
  10. Thx. I love the recoil on the larger calibers, which is one draw for me. (Does that sound weird?). I've heard the 2nd+ shot on the 2.0 is a little tougher due to the recoil but I'd enjoy messing with that. I'll def. post pix when I get it.
  11. Many of you probably don't know about or forgot this one, but it got huge press when it happened. Vail 1976 2 cars dropped, killing 4 and seriously injuring 8. What makes it particularly gripping is that one of the cars flipped on the way down, and the very heavy roof/linkage arm plowed through the car, essentially flattening the riders, much like a potato masher: Somehow Car 67, dangling by its thread of steel, stayed aloft. But Car 60 jumped off the line. Its wheel carriage remained attached to the car top. As it fell, the weight of the carriage tipped the car over and it landed upside down in the snow 23 feet up the hill from Car 25. The impact forced the carriage through the car roof, lethally battering the passengers on their heads just as they hit the ground. Ironically, the fact that the cars hung over ungroomed/unpacked snow probably saved the other 8, providing a cushion of sorts - if they had dropped on packed or groomed ground, they would all most likely have died. But it made rescuing a nightmare - they had to wade through hip-deep snow. Sports Illustrated wrote a pretty compelling story on it. It's not overly long, maybe 10 mins. https://vault.si.com/vault/1976/12/13/the-tragedy-on-gondola-ii
  12. Gonna buy here within the next week. Anyone have any feedback on newer 2.0 vs. FS S&W .45 ACP? Was gonna get the full size but have seen good reports on the slightly smaller one. I'm leaning toward it plus it's $100 cheaper. Nowadays a single .45 bullet is giving the entire gun a good run for its $ but I still like/want the big bore. Thx.
  13. Update: Friday night probably gonna rain as a front blows through. Slight severe very scattered. Saturday maybe rain in the morning then drying. Sunday-Monday no rain, temps high 80's.
  14. Combo of a little hubris, new variant infections (UK and India) bad organization, vaccine shipment delays (that one not their fault), and one of the most densely populated countries in the world doing what they might be expected to do - infect. Like India. Very surprised it didn't happen last year, so this don't surprise me at all. They're saying call off the Olympics. Might have time to rescue it, but it doesn't seem like a good idea at all right now. I'd recommend a slight change in plans. Still have them but for instance this would be the diving competition:
  15. So what's the deal with a few recent studies I've seen that say if you wait longer than 1 month between shots on the Pfizer (specifically ~ 3-4 months), there's a good chance it'll be more effective against variants and/or increase your immunity? And likewise, could some people get the first shot then simply "skip" the second and wait for the booster (or is the booster exactly = to each of the first two shots?). https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-01299-y Edit: might go in one of the other threads, but I figure we're essentially post-Covid at least for now and in the U.S. Whatever...
  16. Ah, got ya. Yeah, that I can't imagine. That will cripple her for the rest of her life. It's a good object lesson that it's best sometimes to shrug shoulders and just let it go (although of course I don't blame her for this evil done).
  17. Probably this, but she just witnessed a maniac shoot a gun into a car. And now he's next to her - with said gun. Wondering if she was coerced to get away and STFU... maybe not since they probably didn't know they killed someone until later (news). But when they found out... well now we got ourselves a HUGE pressure situation and coercion is possible.
  18. A couple of people on here are saying "no way" but again I don't think so. If you habituate crime, your moral compass sinks to near zero and you can do shit over and over and not blink when the pressure is on. But my guess is that these twats are just greenies with shitty dispositions and tempers. And if someone's like that in the first place (i.e. idiotic and volatile), that same personality trait will eventually well up in them to "act." Add to this now that the driver now has the additional pressure of wondering if the shooter is going to threaten her - "you tell and you'll regret it." Or maybe just feeling the pressure of wondering if this shooter will get riled up that there's a witness and wondering if/when he's coming at her. Don't tell me she's not under a ton of pressure here to give it up, especially because at this point she'd get the lesser of the sentences. It's totally possible that they've been involved in crime before, and if so it'll make it more difficult for them to fess up. But I still think there will be something, some way that one or both of them can't live with the pressure. I would assume that they had no idea that a kid was in the back seat, or intended to kill anyone. But now that his temper has rewarded him with a killing, that's a whole 'nother level of existence. People crack eventually. I think one at least will if they haven't done illegal shit before this.
  19. I agree with you. And look, Count shows Austin's homeless population grew a lot from 2017-2020 Same paper, a year earlier. They reported, among other things: - 11% increase in homeless, 2020 from 2019 - 45% increase in # of unsheltered homeless people, same span - 20% drop in sheltered homeless people, same span - 7% increase in housed people from 2018-2020 - 25% increase in same from 2016-2020 - highest # of homless, lowest # of sheltered since 2011 Now, it's very possible that these numbers aren't true measures of increase, just a snapshot, as the pro-homeless advocacy official said: “We’re not reporting that there is a 45% increase in unsheltered homelessness in our community. I want to make that really clear,” Mollica said. “The PIT count will tell you that that’s what happened when we counted folks in one night. But ECHO doesn’t believe that from (the) 2019 to 2020 PIT count we’ve seen an increase in 45% of unsheltered homelessness in our community.” Fair enough, but that's the point, and that's your point, and I agree. In other words, they have no fucking clue as to how many homeless exist, or even how many more (or less) have entered this city since the camping allowance went into effect. All of these numbers are dice rolls. And again, another quote from an ECHO exec: “So, is homelessness increasing in Austin or are we actually getting a more accurate count? We think that we’re getting a more accurate count of the existing homeless population,” she said. You think? But you really don't know, do you? You base your conclusion on running out one night and taking a head count? Don't think that's gonna cut it. The answer is, we really don't know. And with the camping ordinance lifted, it's very possible that the "one night count" crowd missed some spots. But even if it's true that the camping allowance didn't cause a huge rush into town (but I absolutely believe it caused an increase in the population, no question in my mind), that's not the point. The point is that the homeless shouldn't have been allowed to plop down almost wherever they felt like it. So whether it fostered an increase or not, that's a secondary issue. The real issue is much of the city was starting to look like the worst parts of New Delhi, or even worse, San Francisco. That's the reason the ban won in a landslide. The rest really is academic.
  20. The driver will crack and confess. I would bet on it. Unless they're experienced criminals, but they sound too stupid to be.
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