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Everything posted by phdhorn
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Well, it was kind of like 66-3. She got one little FG in the middle of an otherwise total rout.
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#depptoo
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Oh ok. I thought this was "homeless guys open mic night." Thanks for clarifying. Crowd reaction: - Portly gent(?) upper left of stands looks bored or hungry. - Lady in Red (hey, great song title!) looks uncomfortable but needs pic. - Guy to her left looks like he's about to throw up. No really, nauseous. - Girl to his left looks relaxed but content, almost in a trance. Perhaps the Ecstasy is about to kick in. - Guy with glasses in row below is about to kick someone's ass. Man he REALLY HATES Johnny Depp music. - Girl in front of him is snapping a pic - only it doesn't look like it's aimed at him. Maybe she likes the amp setup. Well, at least Johnny's having fun... isn't he? Right, Johnny? Are you having fun? You look... engaged. I know I know bad word after the last few weeks, but...
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Might need a stop somewhere between Los Angeles and San Diego
phdhorn replied to C-Man's topic in Food and Travel
I think that's a great idea. Just because it's not so far from LA to San Diego doesn't mean you can't stay overnight and soak in one of the little coastal towns. Wife and I did this last fall and I really enjoyed the drive. Personally I liked Encinitas, then Del Mar. Cozy little beach towns and something about Encinitas just warmed up to me. Lots to eat and shop. Perfect for a night stay then couple hour look-around, and then back on the road. Plus it's near Cardiff State Beach which is a wonderful place to stop for an hour or so and just kick around with your feet in the surf. Encinitas has a variety of 2-3 star places for $150ish. Don't regret making the stop although I probably wouldn't now that I know what it's like. But for a first-timer I think it was really fun. -
Posted pa's pics before. At noon I'll go out and wail some Taps on the sax, and raise the flag to full staff, as is the Memorial Day custom after having it at half staff in the morning (plus after having it 1/2 staff after Uvalde the past 3 days). RIP those who died so that we might live.
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What are y’all buying for the next grid failure?
phdhorn replied to Homercles's topic in Daily Texan
Yeah, but I don't anticipate needing much more than that. However, like I said, if I know they're forecasting a freeze or particularly bad storms, I'll load up about 80 gals - if I'm lucky enough to get warning. The 60' isn't the distance from my house to the generator, once set up. That's the distance I have to wheel it around the house from storage to the plug. It's sitting 3 feet outside my window around the back part of the house... anyone trying to steal that puppy will need to drag it 2/3 of a football field to their vehicle. Trust me, I'll know. Plus I can lock the wheels. Anyhoo, even with our deteriorating infrastructure, > 1 day of needing this thing to work seems very unlikely - for now. -
What are y’all buying for the next grid failure?
phdhorn replied to Homercles's topic in Daily Texan
This is essentially what I just did. I'd have to roll the generator about 60 feet around my house, but I have a place to set up on the deck. Then I simply will take the bigass chord with the bigass European style plg and put it into the bigass socket. Start yon engine and then hit interlock and breakers and we're (hopefully) in business. I agree that almost all power outages aren't a big deal for the first hour or so, so I didn't really want the expense and overkill of a Generac on a slab. Plus they eat up propane, and I wanted gas and gasoline. If I hear of a big freeze coming I'll go fill up a 10 gallon can and that should get me through a couple of days (otherwise nope, not gonna store more gas than my mower needs). Anyway, hopefully I'll rarely need the big ol' thing but now it's in place. -
Agatha went quickly from TS to C1 overnight in the Pacific. But - it's going to be an Atlantic hurricane once it passes over Mexico (will devolve, then re-strengthen, and head N/NW). Likely destination not sure but possibly across the Caribbean into Florida or whatnot. Chances of a NW turn into TX right now low.
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What are y’all buying for the next grid failure?
phdhorn replied to Homercles's topic in Daily Texan
Then that's Kuhorrd. -
What are y’all buying for the next grid failure?
phdhorn replied to Homercles's topic in Daily Texan
*cord -
Looking at an OSS or Rugged Obsidian for the SW .45 ACP.
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What are y’all buying for the next grid failure?
phdhorn replied to Homercles's topic in Daily Texan
Thx for the comments. I purposely had a 50 amp inlet box installed to take over 72kw. -
What are y’all buying for the next grid failure?
phdhorn replied to Homercles's topic in Daily Texan
Bump. Just did an upgrade of my outside panel to allow for interlock switch, and installed a plug for the generator - wanted to upgrade since panel is > 25 years old and needed a better layout for today's standard and we're flipping much of the house this year anyway. Next stop is to buy a generator. Opting for either a 13k or 15k "gen on wheels" most likely DuraMax dual (gas + gasoline). 17K is about the biggest you can get on wheels; after that you get into big leaps in price and much fewer (and therefore more expensive!) options. The ones I want run about $1,000-$1,500 depending on capacity. 15K should run all of our stuff with little interruption, and I will get as big as I can in that style (archetype). I want big enough to run the whole house more or less (thinking more of summer than winter) and dual so if we're stranded for 4-5 days due to ice or whatnot I can use both as resources Don't want Generac, very nice and cushy, but not worth the $5-$7 (well at least up to now in civilization) to run it very scarcely, and these things wear out in 10 years anyway. Plus, much beyond 15K and you get into stationary platform-mounted systems. Nope, not worth it IMHO. A bit of a hassle to wheel it over and plug in, but again these things wear out even with little/no use and I want the portability. FWIW, total cost will be around $3.5K. If your panel can fit an interlock switch, more like $2K. You want advice I can provide. -
2021 - Is inflation finally back in the conversation?
phdhorn replied to Reagan1k's topic in Business and Markets
Some good numbers just released. Inflation definitely cooler in April than before (but still pretty bad): - CPI had first decline in 17 months: 6.3% YOY (vs. around the 8%'s the past few months) - Core PCE (w/o energy/gas) down to 4.9% - 3rd straight month of down. - YOY CPI "down" to 8.3% from previous 12-month rolling 8.5ish. - Consumer spending (to me) surprisingly has continued to be positive, if barely, 0.9% last month (March revised slightly upward). The good side is that these indicators clearly show a cooling off, however brief. The bad side is that May has been a brutal month for energy/gas/housing, far worse than recent, and May's figures (released late June) are expected to not be April's. So will this be a rest stop on the steep stairway to more inflation/recession, or a true top of the coaster track? I think it'll be the beginning of a s-l-o-w cooling off, expected to last well into the fall, but slower is better than nothing. However, a return to the "glory days" of <2% inflation is probably way off right now. So the mantra is, "still kinda sucks, but the suckage was less last month. We'll see how the suckage fares after a very bad May, next month." -
Lots of unusual about that tornado. Not only the slow speed, but the tornado itself followed a rare path - moving NE→SW, the opposite of most storms. A rare condition as well is that the tornado popped up right inside the frontal lift boundary, so it curved along the frontal line itself. Again, pretty rare. That system simply rode the frontal boundary down into N. Williamson, re-emerged briefly as an F-4 in Cedar Park (enough to take out half an HEB and a small part of a subdivision), lifted again, and re-emerged in West Lakeway, heading SW in the Bee Creek area, where it again dropped - as an F-4 down by RO Drive. It crossed 71 about 3/4 mlie east of the Pedernales Bridge, entered yet another subdivision, was ready to buzzsaw that to nothingness - and then just simply dissolved and lifted, this time for good. I went out to clean up in that subdivision the next day. I drove out 71 and for about 250 yards the road itself was pulled up. There was a swatch of dirt left where the pavement was. When I got inside the subdivision, which had a lot of trees, I came upon devastation for only a small length- and then you could actually see the curve of the tornado's shape as is suddenly lifted. What was left was a clear arc - the curve of the funnel, where on one side nothing was disturbed, and "inside" it, everything was nothing but wreckage. I'll never forget that curved line, though. Too much else to talk about, but that storm was heading straight for me - if it hadn't followed the curve of the front - in other words if the frontal boundary had been straighter - I probably would have not had a house. As it was, it curved more W and went 5 miles west of me.
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2021 - Is inflation finally back in the conversation?
phdhorn replied to Reagan1k's topic in Business and Markets
Well, "officially" a recession has been 2 proven quarters of contraction in a row (measured by various means). Lots of people still use this, although the NBER defines a recession as "a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months..." But I agree with you that the impression or dread of recession can alter company/consumer behavior, and sometimes bring them on faster. However, there have been a number of times where the country followed a negative month by a positive one. -
2021 - Is inflation finally back in the conversation?
phdhorn replied to Reagan1k's topic in Business and Markets
Ouch. 1st Quarter GDP -1.5% (after 2021 4Q was + 6.9%). Not totes unexpected but worse than predicted and not great to see that much of a swan dive. And jobless claims are ticking up, again to be expected with economic contraction: https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/first-quarter-gdp-declined-15-25-worse-than-thought-jobless-claims-climb/ar-AAXKVmD Recession is a bit closer today than yesterday... but time will tell (June's report is gonna be very bad... or just a little bad.....) -
1) right on time. These things, always, always spin up at the beginning of hurricane season in the southern Gulf. One of these is almost always the A or B storm of hurricane season. 2) these never, ever go into Texas, once in a blue moon far south Texas.
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1.5" last night in Bee Cave. Will have to machete through the jungle undergrowth later today. Stuff should green up nicely until at least 2nd week of June. We'll see after that.
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Not too often you see a severe thunderstorm warning Three counties or 90 miles long. But if it wasn't for the line, the storms would be worse and possibly spawn tornadoes. Line is a little nasty in places but quick moving and almost threw three county area now. I don't expect to see widespread damage though certainly a few trees and shingles can be blown off in this thing. Lighter rain continues off and on the next few hours.
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Everyone is getting rain out of this. Everyone. Every. Single. Person. in Hays Travis, and Williamson. If you don't think you are or will you're either lying through your teeth or dead. Mild severe thunderstorm going through, spotty damaging winds but not really too terrible. Followed by some more rain and less severe after it into the early morning. Exactly as they predicted, right smack dab on the nose.
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Yeah, we actually went there first, but it was closed (Mondays) due to short staffing problems.
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Thanks for the tips. Based on reviews and a few suggestions, we went to Nicha's 410. They really weren't too bad, good enough for non-connoisseurs. And the Marg was actually pretty delicious.
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Hep me fellers. Entertaining some post-wedding friends from D.C. San Antonio today for fajitas. Not sure if anything is good in Riverwalk area, but good if so. Otherwise we can travel somewhere just for them. La Fonda? Los Barrios? I'm just a simple Austin caveman and I'm frightened by your San Antonian array of Mexy eats. Thanks in advance. BTW wedding rehearsal supplied by Hyatt Fajitas in Austin Friday night. If you're still wondering, holy sheet they are still slamming. Since the 80's; No dropoff. Yes, yes they are good. Thx.
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What partt of this didn't YOU PEOPLE understand?? Huh? (Although I stayed overnight in Lockhart after my kid's wedding. Didn't seem to rain much here. I think forcefield parked it here. But apparently Bee Cave got lots of rain... As always). Staying in Lockhart is... unique. Best Western, baby! Haven't gone to the weather videotape the past 2 days due to wedding prep, so haven't followed the updates. But 2 days ago models were VERY aggressive with tons of rain starting Monday but especially midweek. I'll follow up today as it might be an extreme (I.e. flooding) scenario. I'll be back evening
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